Larry Ness Larry Ness
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Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 25, 2021
Blazers vs. Clippers
Clippers
-3 -104
  at  PINNACLE
in 10h

My free play is on the LA Clippers at 10:40 ET.

The Los Angeles Clippers welcome Portland to Staples Center on Monday night, still searching for their first win of the season. The Clippers have had to dig themselves out of double-digit deficits in both losses, exerting a lot of energy to get back into the game, only to fall short in the fourth quarter. LA trailed by as many as 19 points in a season-opening, 115-113 setback on the road vs the Warriors and then fell behind by as many as 16 points in a 120-114 home loss to the Grizzlies. The Clippers need to figure out how to make up for the loss of superstar Kawhi Leonard, who remains out indefinitely as he rehabs from an ACL tear in his right knee suffered during the playoffs last June. Paul George has carried the scoring load for the Clippers offensively (35.0-10.5-5.0) but he needs some help from his teammates.

The Blazers visit LA at 1-1. Portland was upset 124-121 at home by the Kings on Wednesday but then routed the Suns 134-105 on Saturday. CJ McCollum paced Portland with 28 points on 10-of-19 shooting from the floor, while Damian Lillard added 19 points and eight assists. Four Blazers are averaging in double digits, led by guards McCollum (31.0-4.5-3.0) and Lillard (19.5-3.5-9.0) plus center Nurkic (14.5 & 13.0).

The Lakers got their first win of the season last night at Staples Center (also, after an 0-2 start) and it's their co-tenants turn to get win No. 1 tonight.

Good luck...Larry

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 24, 2021
Celtics vs Rockets
Celtics
-5 -115 at linepros
Won
$100
Play Type: Free

My free play is on the Bos Celtics at 7:10 ET.

The Boston Celtics made the Eastern Conference Finals in THREE of four seasons, before going just 36-36 and losing in the playoffs' first round last season. Head coaching 'savior' Brad Stevens is now in the front office and the Celtics have a new head coach in Ime Udoka. Houston was a Western Conference-worst 17-55 last year, as  the Rockets initiated a full rebuild following the early-season trade of James Harden and opened the new season with an exciting, albeit overwhelmingly youthful, roster. Boston opened its season with 138-134 double-OT loss at the Knicks and appeared to run out of gas in the second half of their home opener against the Toronto Raptors on Friday. Boston was outscored 64-36 after the intermission in their 115-83 loss to the Raptors, a defeat in which the Celtics were booed by their home crowd, and first-year coach Ime Udoka described his team as being "punked" and "outplayed" by the Raptors. Houston was 'spanked' 124-106 in its opener at Minnesota but then routed OKC 124-91 back in Houston.

One positive for the Celtics in their loss to the Raptors was the return of veteran Al Horford, who missed the opener against the Knicks following a positive COVID-19 test. Horford added 11 points and 11 rebounds plus added four blocked shots in just over 24 minutes. He felt fine," Udoka said. "He actually wanted to play longer. We wanted to keep him around that 25-minute (restriction), so when his time was done in the fourth, we pulled him there. Brown (27.5 & 6.5) and Tatum (19.0 & 8.5) give Boston two OUTSTANDING players and the team has excellent depth.

Before the Rockets traded James Harden to Brooklyn and initiated their rebuild, Houston signed free agent forward/center Christian Wood with the intent of showcasing his offensive versatility. Wood averaged 21.0 PPG and 9.6 RPG in 41 games before getting hurt last season and opened this season with a clean bill of health. Wood scored 31 points and grabbed 14 rebounds in the Rockets' 124-91 victory over the Thunder on Friday, after getting 16 & 9 in the Wednesday loss at Minnesota. Veteran guard Gordon is still around and he's second on the team by averaging 18.5 PPG. The Rockets had a great haul in the recent draft with SG Jalen Green (No. 2 overall pick bypassed college to play in last year's G-League) plus the 6-10 Alperen Sengun (Turkey), the 6-8 Usman Garuba (Spain), and guard Josh Christopher (ASU). 2nd-year head coach Stephen Silas needs to blend that youth with veterans like Wall (?), Gordon, Augustin and Theis.

The Rockets should be seeing a light at the end of the tunnel by season's end but for tonight, I'm backing the Celtics to NOT fall to 0-3 and will lay the points.

Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 24, 2021
Grizzlies vs Lakers
Lakers
-6 -102 at pinnacle
Lost
$102.0
Play Type: Top Premium

My 9* Situational Stunner is on the LA Lakers at 9:40 ET.

The Los Angeles Lakers dropped their season opener 121-114 to the visiting Golden State Warriors and then lost another home game on Friday, 115-105 to the Phoenix Suns. Meanwhile, Memphis began its season by scoring 132 points in an 11-point home win over the Cavs and then last night, right here in Staples, beat the Clippers 120-114.


Memphis PG Ja Morant (19.1 & 7.4 APG last season) has scored 65 points in the two wins, which is no surprise. However, De'Anthony Melton's 42 points (on a combined 17-for-30 from the floor) and Desmond Bane's 41 points have SURE been eye openers. Jaren Jackson Jr. missed the Grizzlies' first 56 games last year while rehabbing a knee injury suffered the previous season. He wound up taking the court just 16 times, the last two of which being arguably his best, when he averaged 18.0 points in losses to Utah in Games 4 and 5 of their first-round playoff series Jackson looks very healthy so far, averaging 17.0 & 6.5. The team's new center, Steven Adams, looks like he's lovin' Memphis, averaging a double-double 12.5 & 11.5 for his new team.


LBJ had 34 points and A.D. had 33 but the revamped Carmelo Anthony-led bench chipped in with just 29 points, 26 fewer than the Warriors' backups were able to contribute to the win, as the Warriors beat the Lakers on Tuesday. Russell Westbrook was one Lakers starter not at the top of his game in his Los Angeles debut. He was held to eight points, five rebounds and four assists, missing all four of his three-point shots and hitting just 4-for-13 from the floor. Against Phoenix, LBJ (25) and A.D. (22) were far from in top form plus Westbrook struggled again, despite almost recording a triple-double (15-11-9). Russell was 6 of 15 from the floor (0-3 on threes) plus made just 3 of 8 FTs. 'Melo had 16 points and LA's reserves played a little better, combining for 37 points to the Suns' 28.

So what's up in LA? Will Westbrook eventually fit with James and Davis? Time will tell. Right now, after an 0-6 preseason, the Lakers are looking to avoid starting 0-3 for the SECOND time in their LeBron James-era. LA does catch Memphis in a tough spot here, playing on back-to-back in Staples, as part of a four-game Western trip that will conclude with Games against the Trail Blazers and the Warriors. In contrast, the Lakers' upcoming schedule is favorable, with games against the Spurs, Thunder, Rockets twice (both at home), followed by another home game against Oklahoma City. LA will never admit to it, but the "panic button" has been pushed. Expect to see a full four-quarter effort from the home side and I believe that'll result in the Lakers' first win and cover of the season.


Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 24, 2021
Magic vs Knicks
UNDER 215½ -107 Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

My NBA 10* O/U Game of the Week is on Orl/NYK Under at 7:10 ET.

Orlando went 48-34 in the 2017-18 season (lost in conference semis) but the last three years, has played .416 basketball without even 'sniffing' a playoff berth. Orlando is in full rebuild mode this season and new head coach in Jamahl Mosley, who doesn't have a lot to work with. Meanwhile, the Knicks ended a seven-year postseason drought last year by going 41-31. New York lost in the first round to the Atlanta Hawks, who made it all the way to the East Conference Finals.

Orlando opened its season by allowing 123 points at San Antonio and then 121 points at home to the Knicks, to open 0-2. It could (will be) a L-O-N-G first season for the Magic and Mosley. The Knicks preceded their win over the Magic by topping the Celtics 138-134 in two OTs in their season opener. The Two teams now play a quick turnaround game Sunday night at MSG.

It's really hard to know what to make with Orlando. The Magic's inexperience has been exposed during an 0-2 start. In their season opener Wednesday at San Antonio, the Magic led for much of the first quarter and remained within a possession of the lead well into the second quarter but fell 123-.97  Against the Knicks on Friday at home, Orlando fell behind for good fewer than four minutes into the game. The Magic went 0-for-8 from the floor while being outscored 16-0 over the final 4:34 of the first quarter and trailed 36-16. Final score; 121-96. The Magic's starters in the first two games, Cole Anthony, Mo Bamba, Wendell Carter Jr., Jalen Suggs and Franz Wagner, are all 23 years of age or younger. Plus all FIVE are first-round draft picks

Randle (35-8-9) and Fournier (32 points) led the way in the 138-134 win over Boston, as New York shot 48.6% from the floor, including 17 of 45 on threes. Friday night in Atlanta, Randle had more modest totals of 21-10-7 and Fournier added "just" 18 points. However, the team shot 500.% overall, including 24 of 54 on threes. What's going on with ALL the threes, has the defensive-minded Tom Thibodeau turned into Paul Westwood?

The bottom line is, I can't see the Knicks pushing the pace in this one from the opening tip until the final horn, with Philadelphia coming to town next. New York has also seen the total go under the number in SEVEN of its last nine after a SU/ATS road win in which it scored 120 or more points in. Play under.

Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 24, 2021
Colts vs 49ers
49ers
-4 -101 at pinnacle
Lost
$101.0
Play Type: Top Premium

My 10* SNF Magic Game of the Month is on the SF 49ers at 8:20 ET.

Week 7's SNF features two teams badly in need of a win. Indianapolis is 2-4 but plays in the weak AFC South. Tennessee leads at 4-2 but has to host the Chiefs on Sunday, off its MNF thriller over the Bills. In contrast, San Francisco is 2-3 and is stuck in the NFC West, which features the NFL's only unbeaten team (Arizona at 6-0) and the LA Rams, who are 5-1. That said, the team that loses here will see its playoff chances headed for 'life support,' even though the season has yet to reach its midpoint. The Colts have been consistently inconsistent this season but they're off a big 31-3 win over lowly Houston at home. The 49ers are hoping to bounce back after they lost 17-10 at Arizona in their latest matchup. That came two weeks ago, so they're now fully rested after their bye week, which really came at an opportune time early in the season.

Carson Wentz, the former Philadelphia Eagles QB was acquired in the offseason that reunited him with Frank Reich, who was Philadelphia's offensive coordinator for Wentz's first two NFL seasons (2016-17). Wentz looked like he was headed to stardom when he threw a career-high 33 touchdowns against seven interceptions in 2017 but his production went down after Reich departed to become the Colts' head coach. Wentz had just 16 TD passes and a career-worst 15 interceptions in 2020, losing his starting job to Jalen Hurts. However, reunited with Reich has worked out well, with Wentz completing 64.2% for 1,545 yards with nine TDs and just one INT (102.4 QB rating. In fact, Wentz is looking to throw multiple TD passes for the FOURTH straight game Sunday night. RB Taylor started poorly but has averaged 99.3 YPG over his last three, after rushing for 145 yards with two TDs vs Houston. WR Pittman leads with 31 catches but the bad news is that TY Hilton, who returned from a neck injury with four catches for 80 yards in his 2021 debut, has been ruled out. The Indy defense is solid, allowing 21.8 PPG (11th).

San Francisco was on the verge of a QB controversy but Trey Lance, who started against Arizona, sprained his left knee in that game and was ruled out Friday. Jimmy Garoppolo will be the starting QB, as he returns from a calf injury that caused him to miss the Week 5 loss to the Arizona Cardinals. "During the bye week, we made great strides," Garoppolo said Wednesday. "It will get better every day. Right now, it feels great." Jimmy G has completed 66.1% for 925 yards with five TD sand two INTs. Is he San Francisco's QB of the future? Not sure! The team's running game has been devastated by injuries but has still managed to average 122.0 YPG (12th). It won't help Jimmy G that George Kittle, the best TE outside of Kelce, remains out but WR WR Deebo Samuel had 71 yards from scrimmage and his fourth career TD run in Week 5 loss to Arizona, plus has at least five catches in four of five games this season (31 catches / 17.7 YPC / 3 TDs). The Nick Bosa-led defense (Bosa has five sacks, the most through five games for the franchise since Bryant Young had six in 2005) is allowing a modest 329.8 YPG (6th) but 23.8 YPG (16th)?

Here's two contrasting trends. The 49ers are a horrific 0-9 their last nine as a home favorite (aren't they due?) but 11-5 ATS in non-conference games. Sometimes, when a team is rolling and on a win streak, a "bye week" can throw a proverbial "monkey wrench" into their well-oiled chemistry, but in this case, the bye came at a great time for a San Francisco team that opened 2-0 but has now lost THREE straight. "We could easily be sitting at 5-0 right now," 49ers left tackle Trent Williams said. "Obviously, we're not. We're 2-3 but we go back and revisit every loss, you can find some good in that. There were some things where we could have won some games but we didn't take advantage of the situations." He may be exaggerating a little but the 49ers are NOT a sub-.500 team. Lay the short price as San Francisco moves to 3-3.

Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 24, 2021
Falcons vs Dolphins
Dolphins
+2½ -110 at Caesars
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

My 9* Losers Day Out play is on the Mia Dolphins at 1:00 ET.

Atlanta joined the NFL in 1966, the same year Miami entered the AFL. The Falcons have been to just ONE Super Bowl (2016) and blew a 28-3 lead. The Dolphins won back-to-back Super Bowls ('72 & '73) and have NOT won one since. 2-4 Atlanta is at 1-5 Miami on Sunday in what I'm dubbing a "Losers Day Out" play. The Falcons are 2-3 but note that the wins have come over the Giants and Jets, who are a combined 2-9. Miami won at New England in Week 1 but has since lost FIVE in a row (1-4) The Falcons have played the Dolphins just three times in Matt Ryan's career (Atlanta is 1-2) but note that in each meeting, Miami's had a different QB lead them. That trend will continue Sunday, as Tua Tagovailoa has never faced Atlanta. Previous Miami QBs that Ryan has gone up against are Chad Pennington (2009), Ryan Tannehill (2013) and Jay Cutler (2017).


Let's start with Ryan. and one of the silliest nicknames anyone has ever given someone who has NEVER won anything, "Matty Ice." Are you kidding me? Yes, Ryan has thrown for better than 4,000 yards in 10 straight seasons but the ONLY time he led his team to a Super Bowl was in the 2016 season, when the Falcons lost in OT after leading 28-3 in the third quarter. Ryan is completing 69.1% for 1,332 yards with 10 TDs and three INTs but his receiving corps is not what it used to be. Rookie TE Pitts (24 catches) could be a future star but WR Patterson (25 catches / 11.8 YPC / 4 TDs) is NO Julio Jones. As for the running game, Atlanta averages just 3.7 YPC on 91.0 YPG (24th). The offense is averaging only 21.0 PPG, which does NOT bode well with a defense allowing 29.6 PPG (30th).


OK, the Dolphins can match Atlanta's ineptitude both offensively AND defensively. Miami is averaging only 16.5 PPG (29th), while allowing 29.5 PPG (29th). Yes, the Dolphins were beaten by Jacksonville 23-20 in London Last Sunday, allowing the Jags to snap a 20-game losing streak. However, Tua returned against the Jaguars and did some good things, completing 33 of 47 passes for 329 yards and two TDs, as the Dolphins converted on 9 of 17 third-down plays.  It doesn't help that Miami ranks dead-last in rushing at 71.5 YPG (3.7 YPC). Miami's top playmakers right now are TE Mike Gesicki and rookie WR Jaylen Waddle. Gesicki has 30 catches for a team-high 342 yards and one TD, while Waddle has a team-high 37 catches for 301 yards and three TDs (note: his 8.1 YPC is FAR below what was expected.


Miami does have the disadvantage of coming home from London WITHOUT a week off and Atlanta does come in off a bye but that won't deter me from playing the Dolphins in this one. Let me note that Atlanta was a horrific 1-11 ATS vs non-conference opponents from 2017-19 and has done better in 2020 and the early part of 2021 (4-1 ATS), but I want NO part of them laying points here. Miami was 10-6 SU last season and ended the year going 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in its final six home games. Of course, the Dolphins are clearly NOT the same team they were in 2020 but a loss here and one can 'put a fork' in Miami's 2021 season. I won't beat a dead horse." This is my last try on Miami.


Good luck...Larry 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 24, 2021
Chiefs vs Titans
Titans
+4½ -110 at Caesars
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

My 9* PERFECT STORM is on the Ten Titans at 1:00 ET.

The KC Chiefs have won the AFC West each of the last FIVE seasons but here in Week 7, find themselves 3-3 and tied for last-place in the division they've recently dominated. Good news is that the Chargers and Raiders are just 4-2 and the 2021 season features 17 games. The Titans opened the season losing 38-10 at home to the Cardinals and the loss was a bit of a shocker. SIX weeks later, Arizona is the NFL's lone unbeaten at 6-0 (5-1 ATS). Tennessee has won four of five since, losing only 27-24 in OT at the Jets (now that REMAINS a head-scratcher!). KC is off 31-13 win at Washington, while Tennessee is off an impressive 34-31 home win Monday night over the Bills.

Patrick Mahomes is completing 69.0% for 1,887 yards with 18 TDs and eight INTs. Those are impressive numbers but let me point out that his eight INTs in six games (242 attempts) compares VERY poorly to his total of just 11 INTs the last two seasons combined (1,072 attempts). KC's running game took a hit with Edwards-Helaire (304 yards of 4.7 YPC) missing last week and now being placed on IR. Mahomes still has the best WR/TE combo in the league in Hill (46 catches / 5 TDs) and Kelce (38 catches / 4 TDs). KC's defense is struggling, ranking 28th in both scoring D (29.3 PPG) and total D (410.5 YPG).

Tennessee QB Tannehill (63.4% for 1,467 yards) has just six TDs and four INTs. His two-best WRs (Jones and Brown) are both hurting and their status will become available no sooner than Saturday. However, RB Henry continues to prove he can 'carry' Tennessee's offense. He had just 58 yards (on 3.4 YPC) in the Week 1 loss to Arizona but he's run for 100-plus yards in FIVE straight (averaging 145.0 YPG). He has three TDs in the last two games, giving him 10 on the season. Defensively, the Titans are only slightly better than the Chiefs, ranking 24th in allowing 26.8 PPG on 384.0 YPG.

Here we go. A combination of turnovers (Kansas City leads the NFL in giveaways with14) and shoddy defense from Kansas City has contributed to the Chiefs being just 3-3. An interesting note is that Kansas City has gone "over" its projected season win total seven years straight coming into the 2021 season, so to keep that streak alive it'll now have to "run the table." More notably, going back to the middle part of the 2020 season, Kansas City's win and cover still makes them just  3-11 ATS its last 14 games (79% "go-against").

Until Kansas City can show any type of consistency from week to week, I have a hard time trusting the Chiefs, especially on the road against Tennessee (which is NO Washington). Take the points.

Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 24, 2021
Lions vs Rams
OVER 50 -118 Lost
$118.0
Play Type: Top Premium

My 9* NFL "Featured" O/U is Det/LAR Over at 4:05 ET.

The 0-6 Detroit Lions will be in Los Angeles on Sunday to take on the  5-1 LA Rams. QB Jared Goff, who the Rams made the overall No. 1 pick of the 206 Draft will be back in LA to face his former team for the first time since the Rams engineered a trade last offseason that brought QB Matthew Stafford to the Rams from the Lions. The move to secure Stafford has gone well, as the Rams sit at 5-1,  just below the 6-0 Arizona Cardinals in the NFC West. As for Goff's move to Detroit? Not so much! The same cannot be said for the Lions. Detroit is 0-6 and still looking for its first win under first-year head coach Dan Campbell. Speaking honestly (rare for any coach or manager these days), Rams head coach Sean McVay said the handling of Goff's departure wasn't exactly a smooth process. "I wish there was better, clearer communication," McVay said. "To say that it was perfectly handled on my end, I wouldn't be totally accurate in that. I'll never claim to be perfect, but I will try to learn from some things that I can do better, and I think that was one of them without a doubt."

Goff is completing 66.8% for 1,505 yards with seven TDs and four TDs. He doesn't have much to work with as the running game averages 91.8 YPG (23rd). RB Swift is the team's leading receiver (34) and TE Hockenson checks in with 32. Neither player averages as much a 10.0 YPC! The Detroit defense gave up 76 points in its first two games but then held opponents to just 20.7 over its next three. However, Joe Burrow  and the Bengals scored 34 points against them last Sunday and now the Lions face ex-teammate Stafford, who could easily wind up with a career season.

That's saying something, as Stafford had thrown for more than 4,000 yards in EIGHT different seasons. However, he's completing 69.5% through six games for 1,838 yards (that puts him on pace for about 5,200 yards in this 17-game season) and he's thrown 16 TDs against just four INTs. His QB rating of 116.6 is almost 16 points higher than his career average of 90.8. The Rams running game is no bargain (103.5 YPG ranks 21st) but Stafford has a pair of excellent veteran WRs in Kupp (46 catches / 7 TDs) and Woods (29 catches / 3 TDs), a second-year WR in Jefferson who has 17 catches (had just 19 in his rookie season) and a quality TE in Higbee (22 catches and two TDs). The LA defense is allowing 21.2 PPG (10th) and won't feel threatened against a Detroit offense averaging only 18.2 PPG.

Then again, I'm predicting that Goff has his best of the season here, against the team that "done him wrong!" Goff is going to have his hands full with this aggressive Rams pass rush, but I don't think he'll go down without putting up a fight. That said, Stafford appears to be "a man on a mission" this year (finally on a team with a real chance to make some 'noise' in the postseason) and I have a hard time seeing the Lions slowing him down on his own field. With these two highly motivated QBs going head-to-head, all signs point to this total blasting past the posted number sooner, rather than later. It's Goin' Over. BE THERE!

Good luck...Larry

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 24, 2021
Bengals vs Ravens
Bengals
+6½ -112 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

My 9* Las Vegas Insider is on the Cin Bengals at 1:00 ET.

It's Week 7 and Sunday's game between the 4-2 Bengals and 5-1 Ravens at Baltimore means a win by Cincy ties the two teams atop the AFC Central (with Cincy owning the tiebreaker) but a win by Baltimore moves the Ravens two games ahead of the Bengals. The Bengals have looked good so far but they will have to overcome recent history that reveals that since Lamar Jackson became the starting QB midway through 2018, the Ravens are 5-0 against the Bengals. That said, Baltimore head coach John Harbaugh is taking nothing for granted. "The (Bengals') whole team is one of the best teams in the National Football League right now," Harbaugh told reporters. "There's no question about it -- just watch them play. ... We've got our hands full."

I couldn't agree more with Harbaugh. Joe Burrow, who actually made LSU's Ed Orgeron look like a 'real' head coach, went 19-for-29 for 271 passing yards, with three TDs and an interception last week to guide the Bengals past winless Detroit. In doing so, he became the second first- or second-year QB ever to throw for multiple TDs in each of the first six games of a season, joining Dan Marino (not bad company!). Burrow is completing 70.7% for 1,540 yards with 14 TDs and seven INTs. He has the best RB on the field Sunday in Joe Mixon (480 yards on 4.3 YPC with 3 TDs) plus owns a good receiving corps. WR Chase has 27 catches, averaging 20.5 YPC with five TDs. Boyd and Higgins are solid possession receivers and TE Uzomah has 14 catches (11.8 YPC / 3 TDs). Cincy's real improvement is on defense, as the Bengals are allowing 18.5 PPG (5th) on just 331.0 YPG (8th). The Bengals ranked 26th in total defense and 22nd in scoring defense last season.

Baltimore lost RBs Dobbins and Edwards before the season started but Baltimore still averages 155.2 YPG on the ground (4th). That's because Lamar Jackson has run for 392 yards on 6.1 YPC with five TDs, Jackson is having an excellent season throwing the ball as well, completing 67.5% for 1.686 yards with nine TDs and five INTs. TE Andrews (34 catches / 13.8 YPC / 3 TDs) leads the team in receptions but WR Brown has 32 catches (15.2 YPC / 5 TDs). The defense is not quite as dominating as years past but is allowing a modest 20.7 PPG (7th) in 359.3 YPG (18th).

Yes, this is Baltimore's third straight home game but this is a different Cincy team than the Ravens have faced in recent years. Joe Burrow is "special" and the defense is GREATLY improved. Baltimore crushed the Chargers last Sunday but back in Week 5 (MNF), Baltimore needed a 16-3 4th quarter to get into OT vs the Colts, before winning with a TD in OT. This is a "statement" game for Cincy. Are the Bengals real or are they 'Memorex?' Take the points.

Good luck...Larry

SERVICE BIO

Age: 67 (turns 68 in November).

Years in handicapping: Larry entered his 38th year as a professional handicapper in September of 2021.

Achievements in handicapping: 1985 Castaway’s Pro Football Challenge Champion, then the most prestigious handicapping contest in Las Vegas; 1999 Stardust Invitational semi-finalist.

A member of the original cast of Proline (began in 1985), the nation’s longest running pre-game handicapping show on the USA-TV network (also hosted Sports Desk on the same network from 1996-98). In then joined the panel of The Winning Edge in the early 2000s. Although well-known on TV for his expert game analysis and no-nonsense handicapping style, Larry may be best known for his radio work. He hosted his own syndicated call-in radio show, Sports Central. It aired live from Bally's Casino in Las Vegas in the early to mid-90s and at one time was heard in more than 100 markets.

Systems used for handicapping a game: Fundamental and statistical analysis. "I'm not typically a trend and system kind of guy," Ness says. "I look at team strengths and weaknesses and compare them. It’s an all-encompassing thing and over 35-plus years, you get good at it."

Star Ratings: 9 and 10*s are considered "Best Bets." All other plays are rated between 6 and 8*s, depending on strength and/or price.

Release Times: Larry releases "daily sports" (MLB, NBA, NCAAB and NHL) on the day of the game. His full card is almost always available by 10:00 ET (save Late-Breaking games). In the FB season, Larry begins releasing plays as early as Tuesday. His full CFB card is typically complete by Thursday (on Friday, at the latest) and his full NFL card will be mostly complete by Friday (definitely by Saturday at 3:00 ET).

38-Club Play: It represents Larry's 38 years in the business and gets his highest star rating (10*s). Expect no more than one of these plays per month, per sport during the regular season.

LEGEND Play: Larry's often been referred to as a Las Vegas legend and he's 'borrowed' the title for his other "signature play.". Larry's LEGEND Plays were previously available to only a select group of private clients but they are now available to all, via the internet. Like his 36-Club plays, expect no more than one play per month, per sport (rated 10*s).

Game of the Month and Game of the Year Plays: Always rated 10*s. Las Vegas Insider: Throughout his 36 years "in the business," Larry has become known as "the ultimate Las Vegas insider." The contacts he's developed over more than three decades (on both sides of the 'counter'), are arguably "unmatched!" He confers daily with 'his 'friends' and when "all the stars align on the same game," Larry releases an exclusive Las Vegas Insider (rated between 7 and 10*s).

Oddsmaker's Error Plays: Larry uses this term with "great respect" (and not very often), as he counts among his very closest friends many of Las Vegas' most famous and respected Sport Book directors (past and present). However, when Larry feels "the line is significantly off," he'll release one of these "not to be missed" plays (rated 9 or 10*s).

Situational Stunners: Larry's a fundamental handicapper at heart but he does pay attention to team and situational trends (especially in MLB). When his fundamental handicapping and a strong trend or situation match up, he releases a Situational Stunner. He began releasing these plays in MLB '09 and he's expanded them since,to all sports (rated from 7-10*s, based on strength and/or price for moneyline sports).

PERFECT STORM: Larry just added these plays the last few years and his accompanying expert analysis makes these popular plays self-explanatory (typically rated 9 or 10*s but moneyline sports may be rated 7 or 8*s due to price).

Weekly and Weekend Wipeout Winners: Larry added this self-explanatory moniker just a few years ago. They've become immensely popular and why not? Who wouldn't want a game that has "blowout written all over it," supported by Larry's expert analysis (rated between 7 and 10*s, depending on strength and price).

Superstar Triple Play: Over the years, many of Larry's regular clients have clamored for more three-game reports. You asked for it and Larry's responded. Back in the late 1980s and into the mid 1990s, 900-numbers became "the rage." While a panel member of Proline (see above), Larry created the Superstar Triple Play. One call got you three Superstar Triple Plays (in a particular sport). For almost a decade, anywhere from 1,500 to 3,500 callers responded each weekend, when Larry offered his famous "Superstar Triple Play" pitch on Proline. Starting in 2009, Larry began going "Back to the Future!" Look for 3-game reports this FB season on Saturday (college) and Sunday (NFL). Get three plays on a single report from Larry (many will be TV games), the originator of the "Superstar Triple Play!".

Late-Breaking Plays: Larry will always go back and take a "second look" at each day's card, after posting all his games. When he finds something he missed the first time around, he'll release a Late-Breaking Play. These plays are more prevalent in sports like baseball and basketball than football (typically rated at 8 or 9*s).

Quote: "No one works any harder and my work-product speaks for itself," Ness says. "I have a no-nonsense style and my logic is easy to follow. Anyone buying my plays will know exactly what I was thinking when I made the selection. After 34 years, the Larry Ness brand is instantly recognizable and my analysis ranks with the best in the industry."