ASA ASA
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 19, 2017
Lions vs Bears
Bears
+3 +100 at Bovada
Tie
Play Type: Top Premium

ASA PLAY ON 10* Chicago +3 over Detroit, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET

The Lions won at home 38-24 over a terrible Cleveland team last week but it wasn’t nearly that easy.  Detroit was actually down 24-17 late in the 3rd quarter and they were outgained by a bad Cleveland offense in that game.   Speaking of the bad Browns offense, they put up over 400 yards last week on Detroit including 200 on the ground and were +10 in first downs.  On top of that, Cleveland blew a number of scoring chances including getting inside the Detroit 5-yard line twice and coming away with zero points.  Definitely a deceiving final score and a game Cleveland could have won.  Chicago has been more than competitive at home.  They beat both Carolina and Pittsburgh here and lost tight games to Minnesota & Atlanta.  Last week was the first time they were favored at home this year facing Green Bay and the laid an egg losing 23-17.  Detroit has a winning record at 5-4 but we feel they are overvalued because of that.  The fact is they have been outgained in 6 of their last 8 games.  On the season they are -14 YPG and -0.2 YPP which is very similar to Chicago who is -24 YPG and -0.2 YPP on the year.  Chicago at home, getting points, with a big edge on defense (9th overall to 23rd) is a solid play.  The Bears are 8-1-1 ATS their last 10 as a home dog and Detroit is just 2-13 ATS after scoring 35+ points.  Take Chicago.   

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 19, 2017
Chiefs vs Giants
OVER 45 -125 Lost
$125.0
Play Type: Premium

ASA PLAY ON 8* Over 45 Points - Kansas City @ NY Giants, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET

KC is off a rare poor offensive performance scoring just 17 points vs Dallas two weeks ago.  They’ve had two weeks to get ready for this one and you can bet they’ll be much better offensively.  Before their game vs Dallas, this Chief offense put up at least 24 points in every game but one this season and that was against Pittsburgh who’s defense is among the very best in the NFL.  Now they face a worn down Giant defense 82 points in their last 2 games alone.  Last week the Niners got to 31 on this defense and that’s a SF offense that has been terrible as of late having not topped 10 points in any of their previous 3 games.  The KC offense is 1st in YPP and 5th in YPG so they will move the ball and they will score plenty of points in this game.  Can the Giants put up offense as well?  We think so.  The KC defense is not very good this year.  They rank 30th in the NFL allowing 390 YPG on 6.0 YPP.  The Giants haven’t been great offensively but they have reached at least 21 points in 5 of their last 7 games.  They only two defenses that held them under 21 points during that stretch were the LA Rams who rank 1st in defensive efficiency and Seattle who ranks 7th in defensive efficiency.  We expect New York to get to 20 points here which should easily send this OVER the number as KC has the ability to top 30 here.

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 19, 2017
Bengals vs Broncos
Broncos
-2½ -113 at BMaker
Lost
$113.0
Play Type: Premium

ASA PLAY ON 8* Denver -2.5 over Cincinnati - Sunday at 4:25 PM ET

The Bengals are in a very tough scheduling situation playing their third straight road game (@ Jacksonville, @ Tennessee, now @ Denver).  Cincy lost the first 2 on this road trip and have won only once away from home this year and that was @ Cleveland.  If you take out their win @ Cleveland, the Bengals are 0-4 on the road and have been outgained in all 4 games by a combined 650 yards.  Denver has hit the skids but their opponents have had a lot to do with that.  Their last 3 games have come against KC, Philadelphia, and New England, with the most recent two being the favorites to make the Super Bowl in the NFC & AFC.  The defense has fallen off against those potent offenses but still ranks 2nd in the NFL in total defense.  They will look much better in this one facing the worst offense in the NFL as Cincy averages only 274 YPG.  Last week’s home loss to New England wasn’t nearly as bad as the final score.  Denver was outgained by just 57 yards but got in a hole early due to a fumbled punt and 100 yard kickoff return by New England.  In fact, the Pats had only run 5 offensive plays last week and already had 14 points.  Denver was forced to play catch up which they are not suited to do.  They shouldn’t have to worry about that this week vs a poor Cincy offense.  Both these teams are 3-6 and looking for a win.  We like the home team over the road weary team here.  Take Denver.

SERVICE BIO

The owners of American Sports Analysts (ASAwins), Lee Kostroski & Mike Merlet, have a combined 50+ years in the industry.  Both started with Doc’s Enterprises, Lee in the late 80’s and Mike in the early 90’s.  After learning the handicapping trade from one of the best in the business, they started ASA Inc in 1997 and have been going strong ever since.  They have been known throughout the industry for their success on BIG GAMES including their 10* Midwest Game of the Year.  They have posted a winning record on Top Games in 14 of their 19 football seasons giving them the much earned reputation as the top BIG GAME HANDICAPPERS in the country.  ASA is located in Madison, WI and they have also become known for their “Midwest ties” and handicapping prowess in the heart of the country – especially the Big Ten.     

ASAwins has appeared on numerous radio shows throughout the country as special expert football guests  including Tampa, New Orleans, Madison, Milwaukee, Memphis, Las Vegas, and Denver just to name a few.  They were also featured on the ESPN website with gaming writer Chad Millman during the 2011 season. 

ASAwins handicapping methods have been developed through years of hard work and research. Rather than implementing one specific strategy as many handicappers do, they intertwine many different philosophies when it comes to making football, basketball, hockey, and baseball selections.  They utilize their massive database that goes back over 30 years and can give them in depth information on any situation you can think of when it comes to handicapping.  That’s not where they stop however.  They also research stats and film each week to evaluate the upcoming match ups on the field along with speaking with their personal contacts throughout the country (especially in the Midwest).  On top of that, they analyze each pointspread (and their movements) comparing them with their own water tight power ratings to find where an edge might be found.  So as you can see, just because a game may fall into a successful system or the scheduling looks good to go against or with a certain team, that doesn’t mean that ASA automatically uses it as a selection. It must go through their in-depth process with all things considered before they give it the ASA stamp of approval. Looking at games from all of these angles gives ASA the best of all worlds when it comes to handicapping. Their handicapping theories have proven successful over the years because they provide their customers with the one thing they look for in this industry and that is WINNING RESULTS! 

Lee & Mike at ASAwins have stood the test of time in an industry that makes it very tough to do so.  Their 50+ years of experience will give you the WINNING EDGE you need.  Sports wagering is an investment and it’s time you hire ASAwins as your stock brokers!