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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Feb 26, 2020
Mavs vs Spurs
Spurs
+5½ -110 at Bovada
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

ASA 3* play on: San Antonio Spurs +5.5 over Dallas Mavericks, 8:30PM ET

The Spurs are finally home after their annual Rodeo Road Trip which saw them play eight straight road games. Not only were they on the road the entire month of February but it included a schedule of the Western Conferences best teams (Clippers, Lakers, Blazers, Nuggets, Thunder, Jazz and Thunder again). With three days rest they are prepared to take on the instate rival Dallas Mavericks. The Spurs won 2 of their three final games against the Thunder and Jazz but were then blown out in their most recent game against the Thunder. We like the situation as good teams bounce back off horrible showings. Despite an overall losing record the Spurs average loss margin is just -1.2PPG this season overall and +1.2PPG at home. In their own building the Spurs are about league average in both offensive and defensive efficiency ratings, which should be worse given their overall record. Dallas though does have the 2nd best point differential on the NBA at plus +6.9PPG and are 19-9 SU away from home but those numbers are somewhat misleading based on scheduling. In their last eleven road games the Mavs are 7-4 SU BUT only two of those wins were against winning teams. They also have road losses to the Hawks, Wizards and Suns in that stretch. The Mavs with Luca were recently favored by 4-points at Orlando who isn’t as good as this Spurs team, even without Aldridge tonight. Since 2017 San Antonio is 17-8 SU (68%) at home as an underdog with an average margin of victory of +1.3PPG and covering by nearly 5PPG. The Dog has covered 8 of the last ten meetings. Grab the points!

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 26, 2020
Rutgers vs Penn State
OVER 137½ -109 Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

ASAwins 8* PLAY ON Over 137.5 Points - Rutgers vs Penn State, Wednesday at 7 PM ET

We’re getting some decent value on the OVER in this game.  These two met back in January and the total was set at 140 (now 137 or 137.5).  They combined to score 133 points in that game which is part of the reason for the lower total here.  However, a closer look reveals these two both played poor offensively yet they still pushed near the mid 130’s.  In that first meeting they combined to shoot 46 for 119 overall (38%).  Even worse from beyond the arc where they combined to make just 8 of their 36 attempts (22%).  The one thing they did do in that first game was get to the foul line quite a bit (42 FT attempts – 33 made FT’s).  While we expect both teams to play better overall offensively, we can probably count on a bunch of FT’s again these teams foul a lot.  Penn State fouls more than any other team in the Big 10 averaging 18 per game while Rutgers averages 17 per game.  PSU is dead last in the conference in FTA allowed/FGA allowed and Rutgers is 11th.  The Nittany Lions shoot the 3 well (4th best % in Big 10 play) and if Rutgers has a defensive weakness it’s defending the arc (6th in the Big 10).  The Scarlet Knights, on the other hand, score most of their points inside the arc (1st in the conference at 60% of points scored) and PSU is 8th in the league at defending 2-point shots.  Penn State is one of the faster paced teams in the Big 10 (45th nationally in adjusted tempo) and Rutgers would prefer to get up and down as well even though they rank in the middle of the conference in pace.  PSU has had back to back poor offensive performances after averaging 78 PPG their previous 8 games.  We expect them to bet back on track at home tonight where they average 77 PPG.  Rutgers has scored at least 66 points in 4 of their last 5 games including topping 70 in 3 of those games.  We like this game to push into the 140’s tonight so we’ll grab the OVER.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 26, 2020
Utah vs Stanford
Stanford
+7½ -104 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

ASAwins 10* PLAY ON Stanford -7.5 over Utah, Thursday at 10 PM ET

Utah has one of the youngest teams in the nation with 3 sophomores and 2 freshmen in the starting line up.  They also bring 2 more freshmen off the bench as part of their top 8.  Because of that, they have really been poor on the road this year many playing in venues they’ve never seen before.  The Utes are 0-7 SU (1-6 ATS) on the road in Pac 12 play with their losses coming by margins of 4, 16, 16, 18, 19, 19, and 39 points.  As you can see only one competitive game in the entire bunch.  They are averaging just 61 PPG on the road and have been held under 60 points in 5 road games this season.  The Utes have made only 38% of their shots away from home and just 28% from 3 point land.  That’s going to be a massive problem tonight as they face a Stanford defense that ranks 5th nationally in defensive efficiency holding opponents to only 60 PPG at home.  This is also a game the Cardinal have been waiting for after leading @ Utah with 12 seconds remaining in regulation but losing in double OT.  Stanford averaged a putrid 0.77 points per possession in that game (their lowest of the season) and still had a shot at a road win.  The host is 7-1-1 ATS the last 8 in this series and it looks to us like Utah’s freshmen (4 in the top 8) are hitting a wall late in the season losing 3 of their last 4 games.  With their road struggles already in place we see Stanford winning this one by double digits. 

SERVICE BIO

The owners of American Sports Analysts (ASAwins), Lee Kostroski & Mike Merlet, have a combined 50+ years in the sports betting industry. Both started with Doc’s Enterprises, Lee in the late 80’s and Mike in the early 90’s. After learning the handicapping trade from one of the oldest in the business, they started ASA Inc in 1997 and have been going strong ever since. They have been known throughout the industry for their success on BIG GAMES including their 10* Midwest Game of the Year. ASA is located in Madison, WI and a foundation of their handicapping prowess revolves around the heart of the country – especially the Big Ten.

ASAwins has appeared on numerous radio shows throughout the country as special expert football guests including Tampa, New Orleans, Madison, Milwaukee, Memphis, Las Vegas, and Denver just to name a few. They were also featured on the ESPN website with gaming writer Chad Millman during the 2011 season.

ASAwins handicapping methods have evolved through years of with hard work and research being the anchor of their success. Rather than implementing one specific strategy as many handicappers do, they intertwine many different philosophies when it comes to making football, basketball, hockey, and baseball selections. They utilize their massive database that goes back over 30 years and can give them in depth information on any situation you can think of when it comes to handicapping. That’s not where they stop, however. They also research stats and film each week to evaluate the upcoming match ups on the field along with speaking with their personal contacts throughout the country (especially in the Midwest). On top of that, they analyze each point spread (and their movements) comparing them with their own power ratings to find where an edge might be found. Lastly, their predictive analytics or math models predict the outcomes of games based solely on numbers and statistics that aren’t swayed by the human element. So, as you can see, just because a game may fall into a successful system or the scheduling looks good to go against or with a certain team, that doesn’t mean that ASA automatically uses it as a selection. It must go through their in-depth process with all things considered before they give it the ASA stamp of approval. Looking at games from all these angles gives ASA the best of all worlds when it comes to handicapping. Their handicapping theories have proven successful over the years which has them as one of the more tenured experts in the industry.

Lee & Mike at ASAwins have stood the test of time in an industry that makes it very tough to do so. Their 50+ years of experience will give you the WINNING EDGE you need. Sports wagering is an investment and it’s time you invest in the known commodity of ASAwins!