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NBA SUBSCRIPTIONS
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27-17 NBA RUN! ASA was in the midst of another winning NBA season before the halt in early March due to the pandemic. This restart is going to offer a TREMENDOUS opportunity to capitalize on soft lines by the oddsmakers as they adjust to the new situation. We are poised to CASH IN and invite you to do the same! *HUGE DISCOUNT!*

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Mar 05, 2021
Capitals vs Bruins
Bruins
-128 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Free

ASA NHL FREE PLAY ON Boston Bruins -130 over Washington Capitals, Friday at 7 PM ET - Taking a strong team like the Bruins off a loss is a good long-term proposition. This is particularly true when they are on home ice and when they are laying a reasonable price. You can check the boxes on both of those items for this one and we will not hesitate to get involved here. The Capitals snuck out a 2-1 win in the shootout at Boston Wednesday and now the Bruins seek revenge. Washington has been hot but the Bruins are 5-1-1 on home ice this season and have a better goal differential (+8) in comparison with the Caps (+5) on the season. Washington entered Wednesday's game on a run of 4 losses in 7 road games so it is not as if traveling had been going all that well for them. The hungry Bruins get revenge here. They had outshot them in each of the 3 most recent meetings prior to registering just 19 shots on goal in Wednesday's loss. Payback time. Lay it. Take Boston.

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Mar 05, 2021
Lightning vs Blackhawks
OVER 6 -105 Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

ASA NHL TOP PLAY ON 10* Over 6 Goals – Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning, Friday at 8 PM ET – Yesterday's game ended up a 3-2 overtime win for the Lightning.  Both teams used their top goalie last night.  That means their only choice tonight is to go with those guys again (unlikely) in the 2nd of a back to back or go to their back-ups (likely) tonight.  That being said, we like the over plenty in this one.  The Lightning back-up is Curtis McElhinney.  He allowed 4 goals in a 5-2 loss to Chicago the last time he faced them.  The Blackhawks back-up is Malcolm Subban.  He allowed 5 goals when he most recently faced TB and that was in January.  In the other half of that same 2-game set in mid-January, the Hawks also used their other netminder Collin Delia and he also allowed 5 goals to Tampa!  The point is that when it is not starting goalie Kevin Lankinen between the pipes for Chicago, the Lightning have feasted.  If Lankinen did go tonight it would be the 2nd night of a back to back and that is not a good situation.  If Subban goes he allowed 5 goals in his most recent start and that was also his only home start this season.  If the Lightning did go with Andrei Vasilevskiy tonight it would be the 2nd night of a back to back and that is not a good situation.  If McElhinney goes, he is coming off a good start but allowed 6 goals in the start right before that and also struggled against Chicago when he most recently faced them.  We have a total of 6 goals to work with here and Tampa Bay is off back to back low-scoring games but this was on the heels of a 14-game stretch in which TB scored at least 3 goals in 12 of the 14 games!  The Blackhawks lost last night's game on home ice to these Bolts in OT by a 3-2 final but entered that game scoring an average of 4 goals per game on home ice this season.  Given all of the above, we expect each team to get to 3 goals in this one and that would lead to at least a 4-3 final here.  Tampa Bay's only other road back to back this season saw the 2nd game total 7 goals.  Chicago's only other home back to back this season saw the 2nd game total 9 goals!  Based on value and the situation - and the fact the markets have not yet adjusted to a total of 6.5 goals - still holding solidly at 6 as of mid-morning, we like OVER here.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 05, 2021
Valparaiso vs Missouri State
Valparaiso
+7½ -110 at Draft Kings
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

#873 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Valparaiso +7.5 over Missouri State, Friday at 9 PM ET - Valpo is playing their best basketball over the last month or so. They are 7-11 on the season in MVC play but 7-8 SU their last 15. Four of those eight wins have been tight games with Valpo losing by 7 or less. We’re getting some value her because the Crusaders lost both games vs Mizzou State by 13 & 10 points way back in early January with Valparaiso wasn’t playing well. They were 3.5 point underdogs in those game and now getting 8 = value in our opinion. Down the stretch this team beat Drake (2nd rated team in the MVC), lost by 2 vs Loyola Chicago (top game in the conference) and beat Indiana State (4th ranked team in the league). The Crusaders are now 5-1 ATS their last 6 games vs teams with above .500 SU records. Missouri State has won 7 of their last 8 games but they played the worst teams in the Missouri Valley down the stretch. Valpo has had a number if players in the rotation miss games this season but they are at full strength now and they are better than their 7-11 conference record. Defensively they’ve been solid over the last month allowing only 2 of their last 9 opponents to get to 70 points. The Crusaders were 4-1 ATS this year as dogs of 7 or more in conference play and we like this one to go to the wire. Take Valparaiso and the points.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Mar 05, 2021
Evansville vs Indiana State
UNDER 135 -115 Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

#869/870 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* Under 135 Points – Evansville vs Indiana State, Friday at 3 PM ET - We love the value here on the UNDER. These 2 met twice in mid February and the totals set on those 2 games was 123.5 and 127. Both went OVER the total so now we are getting Friday’s opener at 135 which is a full 11.5 points higher than their first meeting. Were the oddsmakers that far off with their initial totals for those meetings? No. The teams went crazy offensively in those games which pushed both over the total. The first meeting ended with ISU winning 76-70. The 2 teams combined to take only 93 shots in that game but made 53 of those shots which was 57%. They also combined to make 41% of their 3-pointers. In the rematch the 2 teams attempted 104 total shots and made 60 of those for 58%. The also made 44% of their 3-pointers in that game. For comparison’s sake, for the season these teams make 43.7% and 44.3% of their shots (38% and 33% from beyond the arc) so both hit WAY above their averages in those 2 games. They were both very slow paced games as we can see by the total shots and that’s not surprising as Evansville ranks 355th (out of 357 teams) in tempo while Indiana State ranks 219th. The Sycamores are very solid defensively ranking in the top 100 in defensive efficiency (4th in the MVC) and while Evansville is not a great defensive team, ISU still performed well above their offensive expectations (based on facing Evansville’s defense) in the first meetings. 135 may not seem like a high total, but keep in mind ISU has had 9 of their last 10 totals set at 137.5 or less and Evansville has had only one total ALL SEASON set higher than 135. Now we are at a neutral site in St Louis and it’s tourney time. One and done. We expect both defenses to perform much better this time around and another very slow paced game with limited shot attempts is on tap. Unless they both go off the charts again offensively, this one should stay UNDER the total.

SERVICE BIO

The owners of American Sports Analysts (ASAwins), Lee Kostroski & Mike Merlet, have a combined 50+ years in the sports betting industry. Both started with Doc’s Enterprises, Lee in the late 80’s and Mike in the early 90’s. After learning the handicapping trade from one of the oldest in the business, they started ASA Inc in 1997 and have been going strong ever since. They have been known throughout the industry for their success on BIG GAMES including their 10* Midwest Game of the Year. ASA is located in Madison, WI and a foundation of their handicapping prowess revolves around the heart of the country – especially the Big Ten.

ASAwins has appeared on numerous radio shows throughout the country as special expert football guests including Tampa, New Orleans, Madison, Milwaukee, Memphis, Las Vegas, and Denver just to name a few. They were also featured on the ESPN website with gaming writer Chad Millman during the 2011 season.

ASAwins handicapping methods have evolved through years of with hard work and research being the anchor of their success. Rather than implementing one specific strategy as many handicappers do, they intertwine many different philosophies when it comes to making football, basketball, hockey, and baseball selections. They utilize their massive database that goes back over 30 years and can give them in depth information on any situation you can think of when it comes to handicapping. That’s not where they stop, however. They also research stats and film each week to evaluate the upcoming match ups on the field along with speaking with their personal contacts throughout the country (especially in the Midwest). On top of that, they analyze each point spread (and their movements) comparing them with their own power ratings to find where an edge might be found. Lastly, their predictive analytics or math models predict the outcomes of games based solely on numbers and statistics that aren’t swayed by the human element. So, as you can see, just because a game may fall into a successful system or the scheduling looks good to go against or with a certain team, that doesn’t mean that ASA automatically uses it as a selection. It must go through their in-depth process with all things considered before they give it the ASA stamp of approval. Looking at games from all these angles gives ASA the best of all worlds when it comes to handicapping. Their handicapping theories have proven successful over the years which has them as one of the more tenured experts in the industry.

Lee & Mike at ASAwins have stood the test of time in an industry that makes it very tough to do so. Their 50+ years of experience will give you the WINNING EDGE you need. Sports wagering is an investment and it’s time you invest in the known commodity of ASAwins!