Bryan Power Bryan Power
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Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 17, 2018
Seton Hall vs Creighton
Seton Hall
+5 -105 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Top Premium

8* Seton Hall (8:30 ET): The Big East is a top-heavy league this year w/ four perceived NCAA Tournament "locks," these being two of them. Ironically, I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if Creighton ended up finishing ahead of Seton Hall in the standings when all was said and done. But, here, I think the Blue Jays are laying too many points. Sure, they should be highly motivated after being routed by Xavier over the weekend (92-70). But this is a Seton Hall team that's already beaten them once, 90-84 as five point favorites, and given that result and corresponding spread, I'm a little "miffed" by the oddsmakers call for this one. Revenge can often be overrated in this sport and if Creighton does win here, it would likely be by the slimmest of margins.

Prior to beating crushed at Xavier Saturday, Creighton's only loss in its previous 10 games was the one to Seton Hall. The Pirates have really had their number the last couple seasons, taking four of the previous five meetings. The last one, which saw both teams come in on the fringes of the Top 25, saw Seton Hall rally back from a 13-point 2H deficit. Since then, the Pirates' ranking has only continued to rise (currently #19). Creighton, meanwhile, won its next four games, but then was severely outclassed by Xavier. The Blue Jays committed 20 turnovers in the loss and second leading scorer Khyri Thomas was 0 for 8 from the field. This team is 40-18 ATS the last 58x it has been favored, plus 11-0 SU at home this year (averaging 93.5 PPG). So I understand, it's somewhat scary to fade them in this spot. But, realize that Seton Hall is 22-8 ATS the L30x it has been an underdog!

There have been only two instances of the Pirates getting points this season. They won both outright. Both were narrow wins, at Butler and at Louisville, but that's impressive nonetheless. Now, Seton Hall was recently routed as well, losing 84-64 at Marquette last week. But they quickly bounced back to take care of Georgetown, 74-61 as 12-pt chalk, on Saturday. The Pirates come in averaging a healthy 80.0 PPG themselves, so it will be difficult to defeat them by any kind of margin. These teams just seem so close that it seems foolish to want to lay points. 8* Seton Hall

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Jan 17, 2018
Tulsa vs Temple
-6½ -105 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Top Premium

8* Temple (6:00 ET): This is not the same Temple team we've been accustomed to seeing through the years. They have just one conference win; ironically it came at SMU, who had a 33-game home win streak at the time. That's probably the most shocking singular result we've seen in AAC play so far this season. Unfortunately for the Owls though, they couldn't follow up. Saturday saw them lose here at home, in overtime and at the buzzer to UCF, 75-72. They were 7.5-pt favorites as Memphis had not won a road game all season prior to that. In their last five games, the Owls have lost by three points or fewer three times. Similar to yday's winner on Northern Iowa, I find it "curious" that a team near the bottom of their conference would be favored like this. It worked yday, so I'll lay it again!

Tulsa hasn't exactly been setting the world on fire either. They come into tonight's game on a three-game losing skid. They did just take Wichita State to the limit on Saturday, losing only 72-69 as 12.5-pt home dogs. But I say it's fair to question what the Golden Hurricane will have left "in the reserve" here. They led by 10 in the first half, but attempting only five free throws (for the game!) really hurt. Also, while Tulsa may have started 3-0 in AAC play, let's remember how badly they were beaten last week in their most recent road game. It was a 104-71 loss at Houston. Their lone "true" road win this year came at Tulane on New Year's Eve. 

Temple actually has some revenge to exact here as they lost LY's only meeting, 70-68, right here in Philly. They also lost the second meeting of 2016, by 19, at Tulsa. With so many close calls in a 1-6 (SU) stretch, I have to believe the worm will soon "turn" for the Owls. Their shooting also has to improve, right? (Been below 35% three of the last four games). Tulsa allowed its opponents to shoot 55.2% and 50% in its previous two road games. Though they lost close last time out, the Golden Hurricane pulled off a number of close wins earlier in the year (beat UConn in 2OT), so their record could easily be worse. After playing well and coming up short against Wichita State, I see this being a major letdown spot on the road. 8* Temple

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Jan 17, 2018
Penguins vs Ducks
UNDER 5½ -115 Lost
Play Type: Top Premium

10* Under Penguins/Ducks (10:05 ET): What if - before the season - I told you that neither the Penguins or Ducks would make the playoffs? Right now, that's a distinct possibility as both birds are flying far lower than projected. Pittsburgh, having won four in a row, would be the final team in the Eastern Conference playoffs right now. Out West, Anaheim is on the outside looking in, four points back and needing to jump two teams. So this is a pretty important game for both. A decline offensively can be directly attributed to each team's struggles. The Pens are just 15th in goals per game and that number would be far lower if not for the league's top ranked power play. Anaheim is 25th in goals per game. 

But one positive for the Ducks this season is the other side of the ledger. They are 7th in goals allowed and 6th in penalty killing. Still, it is predictably difficult to win games when you can't score consistently. They scored only one time in a loss to Colorado Monday, their third loss in four games. In all three losses, they've been held to two goals or less. Four of their last five games have stayed Under as they have been one of the top Under teams in the league this season (29-15-1). That includes a 12-3 mark on home ice when the total is 5.5. They are also 10-3 Under off a loss by 2+ goals. John Gibson is expected to be between the pipes tonight and he has a .930 save percentage his L4 starts.

Has Pittsburgh found a goalie? Tristan Jarry has a remarkable .949 save percentage in six road starts. That's good because Matt Murray remains out w/ a personal issue. The Pens have scored at least four goals in every game during their current win streak and that many in five of their last six games. But the one loss during that stretch saw them get shutout. Beating the Rangers 5-2 despite going 0 for 3 on the power play Sunday was impressive, but they also scored five PP goals their three games prior to that. They have averaged 39 shots the last four games. But that should start to decline. But their penalty killing has been very good of late, including a 6 for 7 performance on Saturday vs. Detroit. 10* Under Penguins/Ducks

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Jan 17, 2018
Jazz vs Kings
UNDER 202½ -105 Lost
Play Type: Top Premium

10* Under Jazz/Kings (10:05 ET): A matchup of two of the five "slowest" (in terms of # of possessions per game), one of them also being the lowest scoring team in the league, seems ideal for an Under play. Sacramento is dead last in the league in offensive efficiency and points per game. Utah is 28th in points per game (ahead of only Memphis and Sacramento). Neither team broke 100 pts in its last game, Utah losing to Indiana (at home) 109-94 and Sacramento losing to OKC 95-88. I simply don't see a lot of points being scored in this game either. Take the Under. 

One thing we can almost certainly count on in this game is better defense from the Jazz than what we saw from them vs. Indiana. They let the Pacers shoot 53.2% from the field, just the 4th time a Jazz opponent was better than 50% in the last month. Utah ranks 6th for the season in points per game allowed. Based on opponent adjustment alone, we can be confident in defensive improvement here. Sacramento shot below 40% in their last game and is the ONLY team in the league not to be averaging a full point per possession. HC Dave Joeger knows his team's "lot" and is consciously making the decision to "go young" while resting some of his veterans. Expect growing pains. Since December 8th, there have been only three times where the Kings have shot at least 50% from the field.

Utah is in the bottom six in points, rebounds and assists per game. They are just 4-15 SU overall the L19 games, a stretch which can be tied to the absence of Rudy Gobert. They have failed to score 100 pts in four of the last six games. The road has been quite unkind as they're only 4-18 SU this year. On average, their games are bottom five in the league in total points per game at just 202.5. (Only San Antonio, Memphis and Boston see fewer). The Jazz do not shoot the ball well as their FG% for the season is only 43.9% on the road. Sacramento, across the board, is the worst offensive team in the league. 10* Under Jazz/Kings

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Jan 17, 2018
Pelicans vs Hawks
-2½ -110 at MyBookie
Play Type: Top Premium

8* New Orleans (7:35 ET): Admittedly, this seems like a difficult spot for the visiting Pelicans, who are off a pretty thrilling overtime victory last night in Boston. But a similar spot (albeit in a different sport) didn't deter me from taking Dallas in NHL last night and nor will it deter me here where once I again I simply bank on the fact that the road team is significantly better than its host. In this case, we only have to lay a short number to go against an Atlanta team that has the worst SU record in all of basketball at 12-31 SU. Seems easy enough, no?

Furthermore, it might be the Hawks that are in prime letdown mode here. On Monday, they upset San Antonio here at home, 102-99 (+5.5). Keep in mind that was a Spurs team that came into the game w/o Kwahi Leonard and then lost Manu Ginobili to injury in the 1st quarter. With an edge in both rebounds and fast break points, it seemed simply as if the Hawks "wanted" that one more than the Spurs did. But something to keep in mind is that this has not been a good team to bet when off a SU victory. They're just 1-10 SU in that role this season, 3-7-1 ATS. With the number so short in this one, a fade is heavily advised. 

New Orleans is looking for a fourth straight win here, which would be a season-high. This is the fourth time they've won three in a row. Anthony Davis has been just plain ridiculous lately w/ 93 pts and 33 rebounds the last two games. Yes, defensively, the Pelicans have their issues. Fortunate for them then that Atlanta isn't a great offensive team. Meanwhile, the Pelicans currently rank 7th in offensive efficiency (average 111.2 PPG). Something else to keep mind here is that New Orleans led Boston by double digits much of the way last night. So don't let the fact the game went into OT fool you. The Pelicans looked like the better side most of the way and that was against the #1 team in the league in defensive efficiency. They now have a winning road record this season. 8* New Orleans


The time has come for Bryan Power to EXPAND! Having achieved a tremendous amount of success, Power is expanding his reach in 2015 as he proudly announces the formation of Power Sports Picks (that's "PSP" for short). Power Sports Picks promises to deliver the same quality analysis (and same amount of winning) as before, only now with a FULL TEAM assembled, the SKY IS THE LIMIT!