MIKE LUNDIN'S MARINERS @ BREWERS FREE PICK

The Seattle Mariners have won four of their last five while the Milwaukee Brewers had dropped five straight before beating Cincinnati twice over the weekend. I think we're getting an excellent price on the visitors to keep it close here at Miller Park Tuesday night. 

Seattle southpaw Marco Gonzales (8-6, 4.38 ERA) has recovered nicely from a rough stretch and enters this contest 3-0 with a 2.33 ERA in his past three starts. Gonzales is hard to beat when he's on a roll and the Mariners are 14-6 in his last 20 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. We can also note that the Brewers are 0-5 in their last five games vs. a left-handed starter.

The Brew Crew turn to right-hander Zach Davies (7-1, 3.06 ERA) who was smacked around for five runs on nine hits and three walks in 2 2/3 innings last time out. He's never faced the Mariners but could be in for a tough one here with the M's averaging eight runs per game over their last five.

Free pick on Seattle Mariners +1.5. 

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Tuesday's card features a TOP RATED MLB PLAY OF THE DAY (RUNLINE) which is included in Mike's 3-GAME HIGH ROLLER REPORT.

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MLB 3-PACK

The Philadelphia Phillies snapped a seven-game slide with a 13-7 triumph over the NY Mets Monday night. I think they look good to make two on the bounce here with Jake Arrieta on the mound. 

Arrieta (6-6, 4.12 ERA) is coming off back-to-back quality starts and limited Washington to two hits and one run in six innings in his last start. He has already faced the Mets twice this season, allowing just five earned runs over 14 innings of work and owns a 2.50 ERA in 12 career starts against them. 

The Mets hand the ball to Walker Lockett (0-1, 23.14 ERA) for his second start of the season. He suffered plenty in his first start when he was smacked around to the tune of six runs in just 2 1/3 innings of a 7-4 loss to the Cubs at Wrigley Field. 

It's also worth noting that we will see two of the worst bullpens in baseball at display tonight with the Mets' (5.36 ERA) even worse than the Phillies' (4.67 ERA). 

Mets are 8-23 in their last 31 road games. Phillies are 20-7 in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Mets are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia.

Over is 10-3-1 in Mets last 14 overall.

8* play on OVER.

MLB 3-PACK

The Philadelphia Phillies snapped a seven-game slide with a 13-7 triumph over the NY Mets Monday night. I think they look good to make two on the bounce here with Jake Arrieta on the mound. 

Arrieta (6-6, 4.12 ERA) is coming off back-to-back quality starts and limited Washington to two hits and one run in six innings in his last start. He has already faced the Mets twice this season, allowing just five earned runs over 14 innings of work and owns a 2.50 ERA in 12 career starts against them. 

The Mets hand the ball to Walker Lockett (0-1, 23.14 ERA) for his second start of the season. He suffered plenty in his first start when he was smacked around to the tune of six runs in just 2 1/3 innings of a 7-4 loss to the Cubs at Wrigley Field. 

It's also worth noting that we will see two of the worst bullpens in baseball at display tonight with the Mets' (5.36 ERA) even worse than the Phillies' (4.67 ERA). 

Mets are 8-23 in their last 31 road games. Phillies are 20-7 in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Mets are 1-5 in the last 6 meetings in Philadelphia.

Over is 10-3-1 in Mets last 14 overall.

8* play on Philadelphia Phillies. 

TOP RATED 10* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY (RUNLINE)

The Cleveland Indians needed extra innings to take care of business in the opener of this three-game series Monday night. They're a red hot 9-2 over their last 11 games and 6-1 in their last seven, and I expect a more comfortable win for the surging Tribe Tuesday night. 

Cleveland right-hander Shane Bieber (6-3, 3.86 ERA) held Texas to two runs on five hits with eight strikeouts in six innings last time out. He has recorded 20 Ks over his last two starts combined and should have little to fear from this weak KC lineup. 

The Royals counter with right-hander Glenn Sparkman (2-3, 3.62 ERA) who held Minnesota to one run over a career-high seven innings of a 4-1 victory versus Minnesota on Thursday. That was home at the K though; note that Sparkman has struggled on the road this year posting a 7.82 ERA over five appearances (two starts). 

Royals are 12-42 in their last 54 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Royals are 1-4 in Sparkman's last 5 starts. Indians are 5-1 in Bieber's last 6 home starts.

10* play on Cleveland Indians -1.5. 

SUPER EARLY BLUE JAYS @ YANKEES TOTAL

The first game of this three-game series saw a total of 18 runs scored while the teams combined for just seven runs in Game 2 Tuesday night. I think the finale will be a relatively low-scoring affair and stay under this bloated number.

Toronto rookie right-hander Trent Thornton (2-5, 4.25 ERA) is 1-1 with a 3.52 ERA in his past four starts and has allowed just a pair of runs while striking out 14 over his last two trips to the mound. Thornton has compiled a 2.96 ERA in nine road starts on the season. 

The Yankees hand the ball to left-hander James Paxton (5-3, 3.75 ERA) who has allowed three runs on 13 hits with 14 strikeouts in 11 innings in two starts since coming back from the injured list. Paxton is 3-3 with a 4.69 ERA in seven career starts against the Blue Jays who rank among the worst in the leagues for runs scored (26th) with 4.11 rpg.

8* play on UNDER. 

GAME OF THE WEEK (MLB): TOP RATED 10* MAJOR WAGER RUNLINE

The red hot LA Dodgers have won seven of their last eight. The lone loss during that stretch came in the opener of this series Monday night, but they bounced back with a 3-2 triumph in Game 2 and look good to make it two on the bounce here as two inexperienced pitchers will clash on the mound Wednesday afternoon. 

Dodgers' right-hander Tony Gonsolin is set to make his MLB debut after posting a 2.77 ERA in eight minor league starts with Triple-A Oklahoma City. The timing is perfect as he'll face a reeling Diamondbacks side that has struggled to manufacture runs while losing seven of its last nine games. 

Arizona hands the ball to rookie right-hander Taylor Clarke (1-3, 6.48 ERA) who has been smacked around plenty lately going 0-2 with a 10.00 ERA in his last five starts. His very last start, Clarke was tagged with six runs on seven hits (two homers) in just three innings of an 11-5 loss against a weak Giants lineup. 

The Dodgers' bats are among the best in the major leagues, and I expect an easy win for the visitors. 

10* play on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5. 

WEDNESDAY NIGHT MLB MONEYLINE MASSACRE

The Philadelphia defeated the NY Mets 7-5 on Tuesday and have now answered a seven-game slide with back-to-back wins. The Mets on meanwhile have dropped three in a row and seven of their last 10. 

Tonight the Phillies hand the ball to Nick Pivetta (4-2, 5.54 ERA). The 26-year-old right-hander will be looking to bounce back from his worst start of the season after giving up six runs in 5 1/3 innings at Washington. He did, however, hold Cincinnati to one run in a complete-game victory last time out home at Citizens Bank Park where he's 4-1 on the season. 

The Mets turn to left-hander Jason Vargas (3-3, 3.75 ERA) who was tagged with four runs in 4 2/3 innings at the Chicago Cubs last time out. His mind might not be at the right place at the moment after receiving a fine for a verbal altercation with a reporter from Newsday. "It's unfortunate for all parties," Vargas said in a statement to the media. "An unfortunate distraction."

Phillies are 5-1 in Pivettas last 6 home starts. Phillies are 20-6 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Phillies are 29-11 in their last 40 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Mets are 7-19 in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

8* play on Philadelphia Phillies.