Will Rogers Will Rogers
It was a FANTASTIC start to October for Rogers and it continued over the weekend as he won his NCAAF Total of the YEAR + his NFL Game of the Month! It's not just American Football either. 13-3-1 Premier League Run!
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Oct 20, 2018
Canadiens vs Senators
UNDER 6 -115 Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Top Premium

The set-up: Shockingly I think, Montreal comes in having won four of its last five. It comes in off a strong 3-2 home win over St. Louis and I think it’ll carry over that momentum here, as the Habs continue to get much better defensive and goaltender play from Carey Price. The Sens have won two straight and they’ve scored nine goals in the process. Ottawa though is also getting excellent defensive play and goaltending, having allowed just two goals in the same span.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Montreal has seen the total go “under” the number in seven of its last ten after a two games or more unbeaten streak, while Ottawa has seen the total go “under” in eight of its last 13 home games when the line in the contest is set between -135 and +135. This number is high, play the “under.”

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 20, 2018
Raptors vs Wizards
Wizards
+1 -103 at 5Dimes
Lost
$103.0
Play Type: Top Premium

The set-up: This is a great “situational” play in my opinion, as Toronto has an extremely tough game at home on Friday night against Boston. Washington on the other hand lost at home to the Heat in its Opener 113-112 as a 5.5 points favorite. The Wizards will be extra motivated here after that letdown and they catch a Toronto team tired on the second-game of a back-to-back. As mentioned above, I think this is a great “situational” play.

The pick: And take it for what you will as well, but Washington has gone 7-3 ATS in its last ten following a 1-point loss at home. Play on the Wizards.

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2018
Oregon vs Washington State
UNDER 68 -109 Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium
The set-up: While it’s true that these two teams combine for 84 points and 967 yards per game this year, I believe tonight’s contest will fall “under” this sky-high number. Oregon looks primed for a bit of a letdown here in my opinion after playing ranked teams in three consecutive weeks, with two of those games going to OT. The teams: Oregon is averaging 43 PPG and it’s limiting opponents to 122.8 rushing yards per game. Also note that the Ducks are averaging 209.5 rushing yards per game themselves. I think we’re going to see a heavy dose of the run tonight. Washington State is averaging 41.8 PPG, as Gardner Minshew has 2,422 yards, 19 TD’s and four INT’s.  The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Oregon has seen the total go “under” the number in four of its last six after two or more consecutive SU victories, while WSU has seen the total go “under” in four of its last six home games when the total is set between 63.5 and 70. This number is high, play the “under.” 
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2018
Houston vs Navy
Navy
+11½ -106 at pinnacle
Lost
$106.0
Play Type: Top Premium
The set-up: Houston comes in complacent here in my opinion after three straight wins, most recently a 42-20 victory on the road at ECU. Conversely, it’s going to be “all hands on deck” for Navy, which has lost three in a row, most recently a 24-17 setback to Temple. Note as well that this is a “revenge” game for Midshipmen after the Cougars won 24-14 at home last year.  The teams: Houston is averaging 48.7 PPG and it’s allowing 28. QB D’Eriq King has 1,571 passing yards, 20 TD’s and only three INT’s. The Cougars are rolling and it’s difficult to say too many negative things about them, so I’m not even going to bother. I simply feel the conditions are right here for a bit of a mental letdown in their second road game and on such a long and commanding win streak. Also in facing lowly Navy, who won’t be going down without a fight this afternoon. The Midshipmen average 28 PPG and they allow 31.8. Malcolm Perry leads the team in rushing with 632 yards.  The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Houston is just 1-4 ATS in its last five as a favorite in the 10.5 to 21 points range, while Navy is 2-0 ATS in its last two as an underdog in the same range. Look for the hungry Midshipmen to keep this one competitive until the final moments.
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2018
Penn State vs Indiana
Indiana
+15 -105 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

The set-up: Penn State dropped its second straight in a 21-17 home loss to MSU last Saturday and I think it stumbles again here. The Hoosiers enter off a 42-16 home loss to Iowa this past weekend, their second straight setback. To say this is a “revenge” game would be a bit of an understatement, as the Nittany Lions have take the last four meetings, including a 45-14 home win last September.

The teams: Penn State is averaging 44.2 PPG and it’s allowing 21. QB Trace McSorely has 12,41 passing with with 11 TD’s and two INT’s.

This is an important game for the Hoosiers, who are still bowl hopeful at this point. Indiana is averaging 26.1 PPG and it’s allowing 28.1. QB Peyton Ramsey has 1,624 passing yards with 12 TD’s and seven INT’s.

The pick: Take it for what you will though, but Penn State is 0-4 ATS in its last four off a loss against a conference rival, while Indiana is 6-4 ATS in its last ten against teams with winning records. I’m banking on the Hoosier catching the Nittany Lions “flat footed” in this one, so grab those points!

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2018
North Carolina vs Syracuse
North Carolina
+10 -105 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium
The set-up: UNC comes in off a 22-19 loss at home to VT last weekend, while Syracuse enters off its bye week, previous to that falling 44-37 in OT on the road to Pitt.  The teams: UNC is averaging 20.6 PPG and it’s allowing 33.8. QB Nathan Elliot has 920 yards and a poor 4:4 TD/INT. The Tar Heels put up a hell of a fight against the Hokies last weekend and I think the team carries that grit and determination over into this one. Syracuse is averaging 43 PPG and it’s allowing 25.2. QB Eric Dungey has 1,208 passing yards with ten TD’s and four INT’s.  The pick: Take it for what you will though, but UNC is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after scoring 20 points or less in its previous contest and 6-4 ATS in its last ten as a road dog in the +10.5 to +14.5 points range, while Syracuse is only 3-7 ATS in its last ten off a loss against a conference rival. I think that “rest” leads to “rust” for the Orange, leaving the back door wide open for the hungry Tar Heels. Grab the points.
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2018
Cincinnati vs Temple
Cincinnati
+3½ -115 at BetPhoenix
Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Top Premium

The set-up: Cincinnati is undefeated at 6-0, most recently dispatching of Tulane two weeks ago. The Bearcats come in hungry for more out of their break and I think they’ll catch a complacent and tired Temple team “flat footed.” The Owls come in off consecutive wins over East Carolina and Navy.

The teams: Cincinnati has put up 63, 34, 49 and 37 points over its last four games. QB Desmon Ridder has 1,062 passing yards with ten TD’s and two INT’s. Overall the Bearcats are allowing only 13.7 PPG.

Temple enters off the 24-17 win over Navy. Prior to the back-to-back wins, QB Anthony Russo had looked pretty horrible, throwing just one TD pass, while being picks off five times over his first four games.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last five on the road and 4-1 ATS in its last five following a SU victory. Look for the well rested visitors to pull away down the stretch.

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 21, 2018
Hawks vs Cavs
Cavs
-7 -118 at pinnacle
Play Type: Top Premium

The set-up: This is a battle of “bottom feeders,” as each team comes in with identical 0-2 records. However, I think this one sets up well for Kevin Love and the home side to finally punch one into the win column (both SU and ATS of course!) The Cavs come in forces here, they have two whole nights off after this before another home game against the Nets. The young Hawks though are feeling the pressure after back-to-back road blowouts, most recently a 131-117 setback to the Grizzlies. But with three nights off before its first home game against Dallas, it’s definitely not too hard to imagine Atlanta getting caught “looking ahead” here as well.

The pick: And take it for what you will, but the Cavs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine as home favorite in the -3 to -9 points range. Lay the points, play on Cleveland.

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 21, 2018
Browns vs Bucs
UNDER 51 -102 Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

The set-up: Tampa’s fallen on hard times since starting out 2-0, coming into this one having lost three straight. Cleveland is 2-1 in its last three, but it got destroyed at home by the high-flying Chargers last weekend. I believe the conditions are right for a lower-scoring “under” between these two hungry teams.

The teams: The Browns offense looked terrible last week against a pretty mediocre Chargers’ defense. Baker Mayfield was picked off twice and he only connected on 47.8 percent of his passes. So far he has a 4/5 TD:INT ratio. Mayfield doesn’t have many standout receivers, so look for Cleveland to try and establish the run here so as to alleviate some of the pressure of their rookie pivot.

The Bucs fired defensive coordinator Mike Smith following a 34-29 setback to the Falcons last Sunday. With the shift in management, I believe we’ll see a marked improvement on that side of the ball this weekend.

The pick: As mentioned off the top, I believe the “conditions” are right for a lower-scoring “chess match,” rather than a wide open “shoot-out.” Play the “under.”

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 21, 2018
Cowboys vs Redskins
Redskins
PK -120 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Top Premium

The set-up: These division rivals are very evenly matched, but I think the Cowboys will stumble in this difficult road venue. Both teams enter with identical 3-3 records.

The teams: Dallas comes in off a 40-7 win over a road-weary Jacksonville team. I’m not going to read too much into the victory though and I do believe regression is imminent here as the team has shown a propensity to struggle away from friendly confines already this season. Overall the Cowboys are averaging 20.5 PPG and allowing 17.2.

Washington is averaging 21.2 PPG and it’s allowing 20.9. Last week Alex Smith had 163 yards with two TD’s and no INT’s. I think the veteran pivot will have some opportunities today in front of the home town crowd as well.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Dallas is just 2-8 ATS in its last ten after scoring 40 points or more in its previous contest. Divisional battles are always the most important and they always mean more to the home side. Lay the points.

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 21, 2018
Vikings vs Jets
Vikings
-3½ -106 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

The set-up: The Vikes come in off a 27-12 home win over the Cardinals and I look for the team to carry that momentum over here. New York enters off a 42-34 home victory over Indianapolis, but it now faces one of its most challenging defenses of the season. In my opinion, this one has “blowout” written all over it.

The teams: Vikes’ QB Kirk Cousins had 233 passing yards with one TD and one INT last week. So far he has 1,921 passing yards with a sharp 12/3 TD:INT. RB LaTavius Murray had 155 rushing yards in the victory. The defense was tremendous, holding the Cards to just 269 total yards, including only 61 rushing yards.

Jets’ QB Sam Darnold has a 9/7 TD:INT after going for 280 yards and two TD’s last weekend. While the offense looked decent though, note that the defense allowed 428 total yards.

The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but the Jets are just 1-5 ATS in their last six after scoring 30 or more points in their previous game, while the Vikes are 7-3 ATS in their last ten on the road. The Vikes come in with momentum, taking out the Eagles on the road and then the Cards at home. Look for New York to take a predicable step back this week and lay the points.

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 21, 2018
Patriots vs Bears
Bears
+3 -115 at Bovada
Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Top Premium

The set-up: The Patriots look poised for a letdown here in my opinion after their epic shootout victory at home over the Chiefs last Sunday night. The Bears recent momentum was stopped in a humbling loss to Miami last week and I believe they’ll bounce back and find a way to defend Soldier Field.

The teams: Tom Brady faced the league’s worst pass defense last week and he shredded it. It was a dream match-up and the legend delivered the goods. But we’ve already seen Brady struggle this year in difficult road venues against capable defenses.

And Khalil Mack and the Bears’ defense at home is an entirely different “animal” than KC. Brady may have looked great last weekend, but what looked horrible for New England was its defense. The unit is lucky that Brady played as well as he did, otherwise the Chiefs would still be undefeated. Suffice it to say, I think that Bears’ QB Mitch Trubisky will have his opportunities today.

The pick: The Bears have yet to lose at home this year and I believe that trend continues. And take it for what you will as well, but note that Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last five as a home dog of three points or less. Play on the Bears.

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 21, 2018
Titans vs Chargers
Titans
+7 -115 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

The set-up: I think a trip across the pond does the Titans good after their worst offensive performance in a decade. Conversely, I believe this trip will be detrimental to the Chargers’ recent chemistry. I’m not calling for an outright victory, but Marcus Mariota and the Titans definitely have something to prove this weekend after last Sunday’s performance.

The teams: Despite last week’s 21-0 loss to Baltimore (the Ravens own the leagues’ No. 1 defense), Tennessee is still tied atop the AFC South.

LA comes in complacent in my opinion after winning three straight, most recently a 38-14 victory at Cleveland. Melvin Gordon was a standout with 132 yards rushing and three TD’s.

The pick: Take it for what you will, but Tennessee is 6-3 ATS in its last nine as an underdog in the 3.5 to 9.5 points range and 4-0 ATS in its last four after two or more consecutive SU losses, while LA is just 3-4 ATS in its last seven after two or more consecutive SU victories and only 7-9 ATS in its last 16 as a favorite. Grab the points.

SERVICE BIO

Age: 59 

Will Rogers believes that there is always value somewhere, and he wants to help you find it. Rogers is here to serve as your personal guide through the world of sports investing. He will help you navigate through both opportunities and pitfalls with the one goal to help you make money. 

These are some of the many attributes Rogers brings to the table.

Success: A proven winner in every walk of life.

Vision: A laser-like ability to focus on relevant data.     

Resources: A team of proven handicappers.  A vast network of contacts. 

Background

Rogers has worked hard his entire life and he's achieved success at every level. Five years in university. Five years in research. quantitative analysis. Twenty five years in his second passion of running high-end kitchens. He's rubbed shoulders with the rich and big players. Royalty, sometimes. He's built and motivated kitchen brigades. He's taken the heat and he's delivered the product. 

Before committing to sports investing full-time Rogers was working as a trouble shooter.  He was analyzing and resolving issues in failing workplaces. Rogers' career was intense and pressure-filled but he never stopped loving or following sports. With the advent of the Internet, participating in fantasy pools and investing in sports was a natural progression. Success followed. 

Achievements In Handicapping

Rogers officially turned "pro" in 2013. Since then, he's found success in EVERY sport. Right off the bat, his 2013 NHL season was nothing short of phenomenal. He won 67% of ALL plays (for the season!), going 97-48-4 and finishing +$24,786 in net profit! But many consider his most impressive achievement to date to be his incredible performance in the 2014 NFL playoffs. He was 18-3 overall, showing profits of more than +$13,000, and of course he had the Seahawks in the Super Bowl. Not to be outdone, in 2015, Rogers put together an outstanding College Football regular season (+$13,944).Most recently, NBA was Rogers' biggest MONEY-MAKER! He just finished the (2016-17) season by going 116-67-6 with sides and on an overall 17-7 playoff run (4-1 Finals).For whatever reason, May has ALWAYS been Rogers "time of year." 2016 saw him turn a $25,358 profit for the month. Incredibly, May of '17 was EVEN MORE PROFITABLE at $27,960.But even though NBA is now over, don't expect the profits to stop ROLLING in. Rogers has been *ON FIRE* throughout the first half of the MLB season!

Money Management/Rating Of Games

Rogers takes a conservative long-term approach to investing on sports.  He has seen too many sharp handicappers done in by mismanaging their money. 

He's not interested in unnecessary risk and/or high volatility. He's confident in his abilities.  But, he keeps his wager sizes to a small percentage of his bankroll and consistent.  He's content in the knowledge that his long-term strategy will produce profits. 

A 10* rated play represents 0.5 percent of his bankroll. 

Systems Used For Handicapping Games

Rogers and his team take pride in their day-to-day knowledge about every team on the board. They have a wide variety of proven handicapping techniques in their arsenal. Knowing when to utilize and employ is key. Quite frankly, methods will vary from day-to-day, sport-to-sport and week-to-week. Nothing works forever. An ability to shift on the fly and to adjust to changing market conditions keeps the Rogers' group ahead of the curve. 

Quote: "Even if you are on the right track, you'll get run over if you just sit there."