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Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 12, 2018
Jazz vs. Grizzlies
Total
205½ -124
  at  PINNACLE
in 2h

Memphis enters this game ranked 28th in offence (103.1 ppg) and 1st  in D  ppg allowed(101.1) and and 30th in pace . The Grizzlies are methodical in their approach to all games, and are a very physical team. It must be noted that 6 of the Grizzlies L/9 opponents did not breach the 100 point plateau.  Meanwhile, the Utah Jazz are ranked towards the middle of the pack in most major categories, but have for a long time now based their successes and failures on their ability to play a top tier brand of two way hoops. Right now they have gotten away from that a bit , but tonight they will be forced into a slower pace and acclimate themselves well to that slower speed limit. With that said, Im betting on this tilt being a hard fought old school type affair that stays on the low side of the Total. 

Under is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 7-1 in Grizzlies last 8 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.Under is 4-1 in Grizzlies last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 12-5 in Jazz last 17 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Under is 7-3 in Jazz last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Under is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings in Memphis.Under is 15-7 in the last 22 meetings.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 200 (UTAH) - revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite of 7 or more against opponent off a home win are 31-7 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors

.Play UNDER 

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 11, 2018
East Tennessee State vs Creighton
East Tennessee State
+11½ -105 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

E.Tenn State is an explosive offensive teams as ws evident against HIWASSEE COLL as they took a 109-44 win. They have enough fire power to hand here with a very good Creighton team.  TENN ST is 7-0 ATS  in road games after playing a game as an underdog over the last 3 seasons. CREIGHTON is 5-15 ATS  after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Play on E Tenn st to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 11, 2018
Vanderbilt vs USC
USC
-2 -110 at YouWager
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

The Trojans showed how explosive they can be when they took out Robert Morris last time out in a powerful well balanced  83-62 win. The Trojans shot 53.2 from the field and allowed their opposition to convert on a lowly 34.3 % of their their shots. Vandy obviously offers up more talent, but travelling from west to east is never any easy proposition for any team , and it will be a factor in what Im betting will be a road loss for the Commodores. USC has played well against non-Pac-12 opponents covering the spread in 31 of the last 47 and is 7-3 ATS L/10 vs SEC teams. 

VANDERBILT is 1-10 ATS  in non-conference games over the last 2 seasonsVANDERBILT is 7-19 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. 

Play on the USC Trojans to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 11, 2018
Bucks vs Nuggets
OVER 223 -115 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Milwaukee comes at their opponents with a run and gun take no prisoners attitude, and essentially force any all opponents to partake with some offensive fireworks of their own this  or be blown off the court. The Bucks rank 4th in pace and 2nd in offence (121 .7 ppg) in the league a even though the Nuggets operate at a slower pace, Im betting they will have to up their speed or like I said get crushed by a high flying group. The Nuggets are on a couple days rest so they will be ready . One last thing, I know the thin air of Denver, can take its toll on visiting squads, but the Bucks are one of the leagues best conditioned teams and should have no problems with energy despite of playing last night. 

The L/2 meetings (lat season) have seem combined scores of 253 and 257 poinss going on the board. 

DENVER is 47-24 OVER versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 227.5 ppg scored. MILWAUKEE is 13-4 OVER  when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct.  70% or better ) over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 224.7ppg scored. 

MILWAUKEE is 13-4 OVER when the total is 220 to 229.5 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.4 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games are 26-4 OVER L/5 seasons for a combined average of 226.5 ppg going on the board.

Play OVER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 11, 2018
Magic vs Knicks
Knicks
+1 +102 at 5Dimes
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

 When you first look at this matchup would might assume that the Magic are the superior side, and deserve to be slight favourites here on the road, because of there better play of late as compared to their struggling counterparts. But according to my power rankings charts, and the Orlandos history of ATS futility I feel we have value on a picket line with the ver hungry home team. I know the Kncisk lost last night to Toronto, but I liked their offensive flow in a 128 -112 loss and feel like it could carry into this game. Note The Magic are 11-23 ATS  when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. Orlando took out the reeling Wizards last time out at home in Central Florida , but are just 3-13 ATS  off an upset win as a home underdog over the last 3 seasons. 

Since 1989, sub win percent than opponent underdogs off of a win against a team that just played on the road are just 58-97-5 ATS/61-120 SU  in regular season when the final margin of their last game was smaller than the margin going into the fourth quarter. (Orlando)

Orlando HC Clifford is 9-23 ATS in road games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game in all games. 

NBA  Road teams vs. the money line (ORLANDO) - off an upset win over a division rival as a home underdog against opponent off a loss by 10 points or more to a division rival are 5-24 SU L/22 seasons for a 83% go against conversion rate for bettors on the blind.

Play on the NY Knicks to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 11, 2018
Hornets vs Pistons
Hornets
+2½ -105 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Hornets have consistently proven their not an easy out , as was the case in their last trip to the hardwood vs the Philadelphia 76ers on the road as they lost a heart breaking 133-132 OT decision. Now with rest they come back out looking to rebound vs a inconsistent Detroit team, that just recently ended a 5 game losing streak with a pair of wins vs lower tier teams  Orlando and Atlanta. Tonight against this run and gun and high energy Charlotte group Im betting this Motown crew is at a disadvantage.

DETROIT is 19-35 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons

NBA team vs the money line (DETROIT) - poor three point shooting team ( 33% or less ) against an average 3PT defense (33-36.5%), after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent are 23-73 SU lL22 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 11, 2018
Pacers vs Rockets
Pacers
+2½ -110 at 5Dimes
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

The Indiana Pacers currently rank very high on my power ranking charts, while Houston is sinking like a rock, and in their current form look very much like fade material. The Rockets are talented but their seems to be an issue with flow and chemistry right now. Add to that their on tired legs in this spot, after finishing off an extended 5 game road trip that resulted in them losing their last two tilts including one last night in San Antonio . This is actually the Rockets 2nd back to back game scenario in the L/9 days, so Im betting their going to be exhausted. Meanwhile, the Pacers  despite of losing 2 of their L/3 games are a deep team that works at an accelerated pace, and Im betting the Rockets wont be able to handle their speed in their current form.I

NDIANA is 31-18 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasonsINDIANA is 23-6 ATS after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.D'Antoni is 8-21 ATS in home games in non-conference games as the coach of HOUSTON.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (INDIANA) - very good shooting team - shooting 48% or more  on the season against opponent after a game where a team made 35% of their shots or worse are 27-4 SU L/22 seasons for a 87% conversion rate witht he average point differntial clicking in a 6.4 ppg. 

Play on Indiana to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 11, 2018
Celtics vs Blazers
Blazers
-2½ -107 at 5Dimes
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The  Boston Celtics successes  in recent years has been their ability to play top tier  defence, but recently especially on this current road trip they look to be struggling .As a result  the Celtics have lost 3 of their L/4 games and have failed to cover 4 straight games. Meanwhile, Portland their hosts tonight are playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum, and have won 3 straight and 6 of their L/7 behind some solid two way basketball that has result in allowing 3 of their L/7opponents to score 93 points or less. With that said, Im recommending we lay the short lumber here with the Blazers.

 PORTLAND is 35-23 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons. HC Stotts is 11-1 ATS  off 2 consecutive home wins by 10 points or more as the coach of PORTLAND.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are 26-3 SU L/22 seasons for a 90% conversion rate with the average point differential clicking in at 12.8 ppg.

NBA Home teams vs. the money line (PORTLAND) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game against opponent after scoring 115 points or more are 29-3 SU L/22 seasons for a 91% conversion rate with the average margin point differential coming by 14.9 ppg. 

Play on Portland to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
CFL  |  Nov 11, 2018
Winnipeg vs Saskatchewan
Saskatchewan
+1 +102 at 5Dimes
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

 CFL Playoffs - Western Semifinals

Im betting the running game of Saskatchewan will  have success on the  ground and pound  away with success vs a over rated Bombers front-seven, opening up the passing option for Shaq Evans and Jordan Williams-Lambert.

SASKATCHEWAN is 6-0 ATS  versus good rushing teams - averaging 5.7 or more rushing yards/carry over the last 2 seasons.SASKATCHEWAN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games after outgaining opp by 70 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games .

CFL Favorites (SASKATCHEWAN) - off a home win by 17 points or more, when playing on a Sunday are 32-8 ATS L/22 years for a 80% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Saskatchewan  to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
CFL  |  Nov 11, 2018
BC vs Hamilton
BC
+1½ -105 at 5Dimes
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

CFL Playoffs - Eastern Semifinals

Both of these teams enter this playoff tilt  after  inconsistent seasons.They spilt their two meetings, but my own current updated power rankings suggest the Lions will come out of this with the victory. Look for the Lions to rally around HC Buono who is in his final year of his illustrious career, and get the victory. 

Note: Hamilton enters the Eastern Semi-Final with just one of their key receivers remaining in their lineup from the start of the season — Luke Tasker.

HAMILTON is 1-9 ATS  in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.BRITISH COLUMBIA is 15-4 ATS L/19  in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 38 or more points .BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games this season.

CFB Underdogs or pick (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread, when playing on a Sunday 105-54 ATS L/22 seasons. 

Play on the BC Lions to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 11, 2018
Patriots vs Titans
Titans
+7 -110 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Titans are a methodical team, that is capable of keeping this score close enough to cover the number here vs Tom Brady and company. No, really , you might be laughing right about now, but the Titans have the better D, by 49 ypg, and must not be underestimated as TD underdog at home. The Titans have only been non competitive in one of their games this season, a 21-0 shutout vs Baltimore, but the wins and even the losses have all been 3 points or less including a impressive win vs the defending Super Champs the Philadelphia Eagles. It hard to bet against the Pats, but this is actually a good spot for the Titans. Note: The Titans are 7-0 ATS L/7 when they are at home between two road games. 

Play on Tennessee to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 11, 2018
Saints vs Bengals
Bengals
+6 -105 at Bovada
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

The Bengals are one of the most under rated teams in the NFL, and despite of the Saints getting all the accolades could easily be in a letdown spot after gruelling  back to back games  and wins against the Minnesota Vikings and the LA Rams and in a look ahead situation to the Eagles who are next on the agenda. Bengals are 8-1-1 SU and 10-0 ATS as home underdogs against NFC opponents and look like a viable bet here today. 

NEW ORLEANS is 8-20 ATS L/28 against AFC North division opponents.Cincinnati has covered 3 straight at home in this series and get the nod again taking points. 

The Bengals are 9-0-1 ATS L/10 at home off a win in which they were outgained by their opponent. The Bengals are 6-0 ATS L/6 when they are off three consecutive games with a positive DPA.

NFL Home teams vs. the money line (CINCINNATI) - mistake-free team (1.25 roles TO/game committed) against a team with 1.25  or less TO/game forced, after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better are 58-9 L/5 seasons for a 86% conversion rate for bettors. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 11, 2018
Falcons vs Browns
Browns
+6½ -115 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Falcons are playing better ball of late , but are just  0-8 ATS in its last eight games against AFC opposition. Also you can not escape the fact that the Browns have a game changing QB at the helm of their offence and looks to be getting more comfortable each time out.   Baker Mayfield. The No. 1 draft pick has started three games and has thrown for 1,768 yards and 10 touchdowns with seven interceptions. He's been sacked 22 times but rushed for 91 yards when scrambling. In last week's loss to Kansas City, Mayfield threw for 297 yards and two touchdowns. Mayfield helps his team get us the cover here. ATLANTA is 11-32 ATS  after gaining 375 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games .

Cleveland Browns to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 11, 2018
Cowboys vs Eagles
UNDER 43½ -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

The Eagles are only 4-4 coming off their bye week and  take on a Dallas side that is 3-5 on the season.  This contest features a Eagles team that bases its successes and failures on top tier defence and a methodical attack that averages 19 ppg in offense at home and a team  in Dallas that has problems scoring especially on the road averaging just 13.5 ppg (0-4 UNDER this season). The Eagles are particularly stingy /conservative at home, going UNDER in 16 of their L/22 home tilts. Meanwhile, Dallas has gone under in 15 of their L/20 road games and when the total is 43 or less they have gone under 5 of 6 times. I know the Cowboys played a high scoring game last time out, but Im betting that won't be the case this Sunday night. 

Dallas is 0-7 L/7 UNDER on Sun Nights .

Philly is 0-3 UNDER  L/3 vs Dallas.

The Cowboys are 8-24-1 UNDER against any team off a bye and 2-13-1 UNDER record on the road. PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 UNDER  in home games vs. struggling passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score clicking in at just 31.1 ppg. PHILADELPHIA is 6-0 UNDER  in home games vs. poor kickoff coverage teams, allowing  24 or more  yards per return over the last 3 seasons. 

Play UNDER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 11, 2018
Jaguars vs Colts
UNDER 47 -109 Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

The Jaguars are desperate for wins  and have lost 4 straight after starting their season at 3-1 including a win vs the New England Patriots.  They are off their bye week and should be fresh and ready to take on Andrew Luck  and his Colts this week. I know for a certainity that they have no plans of getting their QB Bortles to go head to head with Andrew Luck, so Im betting on a more methodical conservative approach here that should slow this game down to their liking , and which in turn will help see this Total combined score stay on the low side of the Total. The Colts had a alot of good results runnign the ball this week, so I can see them coming right back and being happy to pound the ball again here, against a team that will most likely do the same.

The Jaguars have gone UNDER 8 straihg times on the road when their ATS margin increased over their past two games.The Colts  have gone under 8 straight times  at home off a road game in which they rushed for at least 50 yards more than their average which was the case last week, and are also 10-0 UNDER when they are facing a divisional opponent and they are off a victory in when they had at least 8 more rushes than their season-to-date average and accumulated at least 100 rushing yards. The Colts  have gone under 6 straihgt times at home after they outgained their opponent.

NDIANAPOLIS is 8-0 UNDER in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 34.9 ppg scored.INDIANAPOLIS is 12-3 UNDER in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons witht he average combined score clicking in at 43.5 ppg. 

NFLHome teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (INDIANAPOLIS) - an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential) against a poor team (-3 to -7 PPG differential), after scoring 30 points or more last game are 29-7 UNDER L/35 seasons for a 80% covnersion rate for bettors on the blind. 

NFL team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (JACKSONVILLE) - after 4 or more consecutive losses, team with a losing record in the second half of the season are 41-16  UNDER L/5 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 11, 2018
Lions vs Bears
UNDER 44 -105 Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

The Lions (3-5) are struggling mightily and known the division basement after scoring just 19 points in consecutive losses to the Seattle Seahawks and Vikings. Detroit failed to get into the end zone in the 24-9 loss at Minnesota and quarterback Matthew Stafford has been sacked 10 times. It hasn't helped the WR Golden Tate was traded away by the Lions , and leaves you scratching your head for answers to why it was done. Detroits  entire offensive line looks lost and scoring won't come easily again this week vs the Bears with defensive stalwart Khalil Mack expected back in the Bears lineup. The Bears even with Mack out allowed their L/2 opponents to a combined  19 points and not allowing a touchdown in either game until the fourth quarter. Key Trend: The Lions are 0-6 OU L/6   on the road off a road game in which they made 4 or fewer third downs. 

Im  betting the Lions will have problems converting this week, and for this to have a direct effect on the total combined score , which Im betting ends up on the low side of the Total. Note: The Lions have gone under in 9 of their L/11 as division road dogs. 

Under is 4-1 in Bears last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road recordUnder is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.

Play UNDER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 11, 2018
Chargers vs Raiders
Raiders
+11 -128 at 5Dimes
Lost
$128.0
Play Type: Premium

The Raiders looked horrendous last week in their loss,  34-3 vs the 49ers last week and  have lost four in a row and are tied with the New York Giants for the worst record in the NFL at 1-7. Meanwhile, the Chargers won last week, but looked a little pooched, and won 25-17 vs Seattle last week. Their numbers however, were not overwhelming. It must be noted that the chargers are just  0-10 ATS  as a favorite of more than three points coming off a game as a dog where they allowed at least 22 first downs  , and 0-7 ATS L/7 as a favorite off a game as a underdog when they had less than 28 minutes time of possession, which was the case last week.  The Raiders lost on the road to the Chargers earlier this season 26-10 but will be a much tougher out this time around at home. NFL team (OAKLAND) - revenging a road loss against opponent, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite are 42-17 ATS L/35 seasons for a long erm 71% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Note: NFL  home Teams which are more than 7 point  dogs are actually long term good bets going   192-162-4 ATS . I know its hard to take the Raiders considering their form, but if you can just plug your nose and pull the trigger on this stinker, you can feel confident that we have an edge on the books. 

Play on the Oakland Raiders 

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.