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Alex Smart |
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| Alex Smart Sports - Get the info the books do not want you to have. |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | May 24, 2019 Rangers vs Angels |
UNDER 9 -104 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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DREW SMYLY (L) vs. GRIFFIN CANNING (R) Angels starter Canning is coming off the best start of his career, throwing seven scoreless innings against the Royals. He scattered just three hits and a walk while striking out five and Im betting on him going long and strong in this outing vs a batting order he matches up well against according to my power rankings. Meanwhile, Rangers starter Smyly is in two starts and one relief appearance since returning from the injured list on May 5 has held opponents to a .191 batting average and is more than capable of having a decent start here again. TEXAS is 11-2 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins this season. Under is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 overall.Under is 18-7-1 in Angels last 26 home games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 18-7-2 in Angels last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.Under is 34-15-2 in Angels last 51 games vs. a left-handed starter.Under is 38-18-4 in Angels last 60 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.Under is 3-0-1 in Cannings last 4 starts on grass.Under is 3-0-1 in Cannings last 4 starts overall. Under is 2-0-2 in Angels last 4 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.Under is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.Under is 3-0-2 in Angels last 5 during game 1 of a series Under is 14-3 in the last 17 meetings in Los Angeles.Under is 20-8 in the last 28 meetings. MLB Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (LA ANGELS) - on a good fielding streak, 15 straight games with one or less errors, after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs are 37-13 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate! Play on the UNDER |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | May 24, 2019 Diamondbacks vs Giants |
Giants +117 at betonline |
Lost $100.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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ROBBIE RAY (L) vs. DREW POMERANZ (L) SF starter Pomeranz gave up two runs over 4 2/3 innings against the D-backs on Sunday in his first start since returning from the injured list and should be even stronger here as he grades back into game shape. He goes against a struggling Arizona side on a 5 game losing streak and losses in 6 of their L/7 on the road. I know the DBacks will start their ace Ray, but The DBacks have lost 10 of the L/14 in this series and in their current form fade material in this spot . Arizona will be without manager Torey Lovullo, who will be attending his son Connor's high school graduation. MLB Road favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (ARIZONA) - good offensive team (4.7 or more runs/game) against a below average starter (ERA 5.20 to 5.70)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start are 19-36 L/22 seasons for a 66% conversion rate! Play on the SF Giants to win on the ML |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | May 24, 2019 Marlins vs Nationals |
Marlins +125 at YouWager |
Lost $100.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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PABLO LOPEZ (R) vs. KYLE MCGOWIN (R) The Nationals are struggling entering this series vs Miami and are 12 games under .500, after losing 20 of their L/28 games and are fade material in their current vs a up trending Marlins team on a 5 game win streak. WASHINGTON is 2-13 against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season like the Marlins starter Lopez.WASHINGTON is 9-21 against the money line in night games this season Play on the Miami Marlins to win on the ML |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | May 24, 2019 Rays vs Indians |
Indians +122 at GTBets |
Won $122 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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BLAKE SNELL (L) vs. SHANE BIEBER (R) Cleveland starter Bieber became the fourth-youngest pitcher since at least 1908 to record 15 strikeouts without a walk in a complete-game shutout against the Orioles and is my choice today to buoy the Indians to a victory vs TB. TAMPA BAY is 5-16 against the money line in road games after allowing 2 runs or less 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Indians are 9-4 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.FRANCONA is 63-30 against the money line after 2 straight losses by 4 runs or more in all games he has managed since 1997. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better on the season-AL against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.200 or better on the season-AL are 31-18 L/22 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Cleveland Indians to win on the ML |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | May 24, 2019 Padres vs Blue Jays |
Blue Jays +108 at pinnacle |
Lost $100.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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JOEY LUCCHESI (L) vs. TRENT THORNTON (R) The Padres will start left-hander Joey Lucchesi (3-3, 4,28 ERA) Friday night against Toronto right-hander Trent Thornton (1-4, 4.41). LUCCHESI has struggled on the road this season where he has garnered a 8.10 ERA. Meanwhile, Thornton will head to the mound to open a three-game Interleague set against the Padres, looking for his second win of the season. The rookie right-hander is coming off one of his best starts of the year, allowing one run on three hits with four strikeouts over six innings against the White Sox last time out, and gets my support here tonight. San Diego is playing well and on a 3 game winning streak, but it must be noted that GREEN is 7-26 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins as the manager of SAN DIEGO. MLB Home teams (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs are 43-20 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Blue Jays to win on the ML |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 20 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes. My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigous event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%! I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections. |