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Alex Smart |
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| Alex Smart Sports - Consistent Long term winning results. Get the info the books do not want you to have. |
| FREE PICKS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
| NCAA-F | Sep 23, 2017 Army vs. Tulane |
Army +2½ -105 at BMAKER |
in 2d |
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Army works on ball control via a ground heavy attack. The Cadets average 364.7 ypd via the rush this season. Meanwhile, the Green Wave despite of knowing what to expect are just 6-49 SU in their L/55 games when they allow 200 or more yards rushing including a recent loss to Navy 23-21. Play on Army to cover |
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| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Sep 20, 2017 Cardinals vs Reds |
UNDER 9½ -115 |
Lost $115.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Right-hander Luke Weaver (6-1, 1.89 ERA) will start for St. Louis on Wednesday. Weaver is 5-0 in his L/5 starts has recorded a 1.15 ERA, having walked four and struck out 42.Cincinnati counters with right-hander Rookie Davis, a 24-year-old rookie who rejoined the rotation after Triple-A Louisville's season ended. He's a solid pitcher that still has some maturing to do and despite of not looking all that good in limited MLB action is still respected by his own organization. I expect both hurlers to do enough to help keep this tilt on the low side of the number. Under is 4-1-1 in Weavers last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 overall.Under is 5-1 in Reds last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 9-1 in umpire Segals last 10 games behind home plate. The Cardinals have gone under 13 straight times as a road favorite of more than 140 after a game in which they used five-plus pitchers and it is not a series opener with a combined score of 4.76 rpg going on the board with highest total run count during that span clicking in 7 combined runs! Play on the UNDER 1 unit reg selection |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Sep 20, 2017 A's vs Tigers |
A's -107 at betonline |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
| Daniel Mengden the As starter this afternoon, tossed a complete-game shutout against the Philadelphia Phillies last time out and gets my support here this afternoon . He is opposed by the inconsistent Anibel Sanchez (3-4, 7.03 ERA).OAKLAND is 6-0 against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 6.40 or worse this season.SANCHEZ team when he starts is 9-21 L/30 against the money line against AL West opponents in his career. With these teams playing at the opposite proverbial end of the performance spectrum at the moment it will be an easy decision to back the As this afternoon. Note: Motown has lost 9 of their L/11 while Oakland has won 3 in a row and 10 of their l/13. MLB teams when the money line is +125 to -125 like As - after 2 straight games where they stranded 10 or more runners on base, with a tired bullpen - after 3 straight games throwing 4+ innings are 61-28 since 1997 for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Oakland As to win on the moneyline (LATE STEAM) | ||
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SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 18 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes. My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 17 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigous event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%! I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections. |