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Alex Smart |
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Alex Smart Sports- /CBB/NBA/NHL action now on board. Get the info the books do not want you to have. |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Feb 23, 2021 Warriors vs Knicks |
Warriors -3 -109 at Draft Kings |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Golden State has lost two in a row and are very motivated to get back in winning form here tonight against the NY Knicks that despite of winning 4 of 5 are without top center Mitch Robinson. The Warriors are 4-0 SU this season when trying to snap a 2 game losing streak which include away victories over teams like the Los Angeles Lakers and San Antonio Spurs. Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation here tonight in revenge mode for. a 119-104 home loss back in January to the Knicks. Kerr is 32-16 ATS in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games as the coach of GOLDEN STATE. GOLDEN STATE is 23-10 ATS in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points over the last 3 seasons. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Feb 23, 2021 Wolves vs Bucks |
Bucks -10½ -110 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The Bucks after a unprecedented 5 game losing streak have now won 2 in a row and are getting back into top form. With that said, Im betting that the 7-24 Wolves, will get gobbled up tonight vs a very strong and up-trending opponent.The Bucks are 14-0-1 ATS SU as a 7-17 point home favorite with less than two days rest. Play on The Milwaukee Bucks to cover |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | Feb 23, 2021 Oilers vs Canucks |
UNDER 6½ -107 |
Lost $107.0 |
Play Type: Free | ||
Edmontons defence has been in top form for a while now allowing 2 or less goals in 6 of their L/7 and here on the road nothing will change, and that Im betting will help usher in a final score that fails to eclipse this total. Under is 4-0 in Oilers last 4 road games. Under is 7-1-3 in the last 11 meetings in Vancouver. EDMONTON is 23-11 UNDER in road games against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.5 gpg scored. NHL Home teams where the total is 6 or more (VANCOUVER) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, a bad team (30% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record in the first half of the season 67-32 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDEr |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | Feb 23, 2021 Canadiens vs Senators |
UNDER 6 -104 |
Lost $104.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Montreal has only scored more than 2 goals once in their L/8 games and Im betting on a similar output here . Meanwhile, despite of Ottawa finding the net more often than anticipated recently Im betting on them finding the sledding will get tough in this spot. These two teams have played very low scoring affairs in their L/7 meetings with no game seeing more than 5 combined goals go on the board. Under is 5-0 in Senators last 5 games as a home underdog.OTTAWA is 11-2 UNDER against good offensive teams - averaging 29.5+ shots on goal per game this season Under is 5-0 in Canadiens last 5 games as a favorite and 4-0-1 in Canadiens last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Ottawa.Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more (MONTREAL) - off a close road loss by 1 goal, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 45-16 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Feb 23, 2021 Notre Dame vs Louisville |
Notre Dame +3½ -101 at pinnacle |
Lost $101.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Feb 23, 2021 Oklahoma vs Kansas State |
Kansas State +10 -107 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Feb 23, 2021 Ole Miss vs Missouri |
Ole Miss +4½ -110 at BetCris |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Feb 23, 2021 Kansas vs Texas |
Texas -2½ -108 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Feb 23, 2021 Buffalo vs Northern Illinois |
Northern Illinois +12½ +100 at linepros |
Lost $100.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Feb 23, 2021 Penn State vs Nebraska |
Nebraska +7 -110 at Draft Kings |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Feb 23, 2021 Illinois vs Michigan State |
Michigan State +6½ -110 at linepros |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | Feb 23, 2021 Predators vs Red Wings |
Predators -133 at linepros |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
No comment |
PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | Feb 24, 2021 Stars vs Panthers |
Stars +123 at linepros |
Won $123 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
No comment |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Feb 24, 2021 Spurs vs Thunder |
Spurs +2½ -109 at Draft Kings |
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Play Type: Premium | ||
The Spurs won the first meeting between the teams, 112-102, in Oklahoma City on Jan. 12 and now Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation in the rematch.Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.Spurs are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games as a road underdog.Spurs are 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings. Play on San Antonio to cover |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Feb 24, 2021 Seton Hall vs Butler |
Butler +7½ -105 at linepros |
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Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Feb 24, 2021 Western Carolina vs NC-Greensboro |
Western Carolina +14 -110 at pinnacle |
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Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 20 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes. My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%! I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections. |