|
Alex Smart |
|
|---|---|---|
| Alex Smart Sports -Where winning means everything. Get the bankroll expanding info the books do not want you to have. |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
|---|---|---|
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
|
NCAA-B | Jan 16, 2020 CS Sacramento vs Northern Colorado |
OVER 124½ -110 |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
|
My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision. Play OVER |
||
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
|
NCAA-B | Jan 16, 2020 Colorado vs Arizona State |
Arizona State +1½ +102 at pinnacle |
Lost $100.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
|
Colorado has played really good hoops this season, but here on the road where they are just 1-1 in true away games Im betting they are at a disadvantage vs a Arizona State side that has won 6 of their 7 home games. Tonight I look for the Sun Devils downtown shooting prowess to be effective vs the Buffaloes pac defence which is not as proficient at stopping beyond the arc attempts as is it in close conversion attempts. COLORADO is 2-12 ATS in road games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons. ARIZONA ST is 12-3 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 80% or more ) over the last 3 seasons. Buffaloes have lost their six games visits to Arizona State by an average of 13 points per game. Rinse and repeat. Play on Arizona State to cover |
||
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
|
NBA | Jan 16, 2020 Celtics vs Bucks |
OVER 224½ -110 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
|
The Bucks took 128-102 win against the New York Knicks on Tuesday with the comfortable margin of victory allowing them to limit the minutes of their starters. Im betting they will be very fresh here and ready to really bring some heat on the Celtics offensively . That in part is why the books laid such a big side number on this game, also factoring in the Celtics fatigue factor with this being a back to back situation for them, and also taking into consideration that HC Stevens left alot of the starters in for more minutes than expected. While the side, is to inflated to have me on the Bucks I do expect their motivation to really see them show no mercy tonight and for the proud Celtics to fire back with some offensive fire works of their own in chase mode which Im betting sees a score that eclipses this total. |
||
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
|
NBA | Jan 16, 2020 Magic vs Clippers |
Magic +11½ -109 at GTBets |
Lost $109.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
|
The Magic have won 4 of their L/5 games and have covered 7 of their L/8 as they are playing their best hoops of the season at the moment as they come off a victory vs Lakers last night. This will be the Magics 2nd straight game in LA as they now face the mighty Clippers in a back to back situation. I know it might seem like the Magic are at a huge disadvantage , but they are very well conditioned , and will not easily run out of fuel here down the stretch vs a far more talented team, which gives credence to a competitive effort and if need be a back door cover. . Note: Teams playing on back to back nights in LA are a profitable bet , going 82-64-1 ATS L/147 for a 56% conversion rate for bettors in their escape from LA game. ORLANDO is 14-4 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons. The Magic are 14-1 ATS L/15 as a dog with less than two days rest off a win as a road dog when they lost 2 straight vs current opponent. NBA Teams like the Magic are 40-11 ATS L/51 as a road dog off a win as a road dog when they lost 4 straight vs current opponent. NBA Road underdogs of 10 or more points (ORLANDO) - in non-conference games, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 54-28 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Orlando to cover |
||
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
|
NBA | Jan 16, 2020 Jazz vs Pelicans |
Jazz -4½ -105 at pinnacle |
Lost $105.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
|
New Orleans is hosting a Jazz team that has won 10 games in a row and currently playing their best hoops of the season. With Pelicans key contributors Brandon Ingram (knee), Jrue Holiday (elbow), JJ Redick (hamstring) and Derrick Favors (hamstring), all day to day and less than 100% the home side is at a disadvantage. Note: Utah has won and covered their L/4 trips to the Bayou and get Im betting on a rinse and repeat situation in this spot. The Pelicans are 0-12-1 ATS /0-13 SU L/13 at home when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a dog after allowing 50-plus points in the paint. NBA Teams like the Pelicans are 0-11 ATS /SU as a home dog with more than one day of rest off a win as a road dog. NBA Road favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (UTAH) - after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after a combined score of 215 points or more 3 straight games are 32-1 L/23 seasons with the average margin of victory coming by +9 ppg which qualifies on a ATS parameter. Play on Utah to cover |
||
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
|
NHL | Jan 16, 2020 Hurricanes vs Blue Jackets |
UNDER 5½ -120 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
|
GOALTENDERS: CAROLINA - PETR MRAZEK, COLUMBUS - ELVIS MERZLIKINS Both theses teams play a similar tight forechecking type of defensive hockey, that results in consistent low scoring outputs, both from themselves and their opponents. For example Columbus has won back to back games by 3-0 nothing scores, while, Carolina has shut out 2 of their L/3 opponents but scored just 5 goals in in total in thier L/3 trips to the frozen pond. Im betting on more of the same tight defensive play and top tier goaltending when both sides meet tonight. CAROLINA is 6-0 UNDER in road games revenging 2 straight close losses vs opponent by 1 goal or less over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 4.2 gpg scored.(Columbus won both meetings this season, by one goal counts) COLUMBUS is 9-1 UNDER in a home game where where the total is 5.5 this season with a combined average of 4.7 gpg scored.COLUMBUS is 8-0 UNDER after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games this season with a combined average of 3.9 gpg scored. NHL Home teams where the total is 5.5 (COLUMBUS) - after 2 straight blowout wins by 3 goals or more against opponent after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game are 71-29 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER |
||
|
SERVICE BIO |
|---|
|
Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 20 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes. My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigous event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%! I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections. |