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Alex Smart Sports- CFB Thursday Night Football - NC State @ Georgia Tech

North Carolina State visits Georgia Tech in Thursday night College Football action. Which side has the edge? Your 100% Guaranteed answer is locked and loaded and ready to make the books pay for taking our action. Kick off after 8 pm et 

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Nov 19, 2019
Bruins vs Devils
Devils
+131 at pinnacle
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

Blackwood,  the Devils  goalie, who turns 23 next month, has gone 3-1-0 while starting the last four games, including both ends of the back-to-back set last weekend against the Canadiens and a night earlier against the Pittsburgh Penguins. He is now the future of the Devils and gives them a solid chance at holding down the explosive Bruins tonight. To much value to pass up with a up trending home side. 

Play on the NJ Devils on the ML

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 19, 2019
Texas Southern vs Arkansas
OVER 149 -115 Lost
$115.0
Play Type: Premium

Arkansas put 91 plus points on the board vs Rice in their first game of the season, and are more than capable of repeating that performance here on their own home floor tonight in a game I have pegged to eclipse the total. 

TEXAS SOUTHERN is 6-0 OVER versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 163.4 ppg scored.TEXAS SOUTHERN is 9-2 OVER  when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 169 ppg scored.

Play OVER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 19, 2019
New Hampshire vs Central Connecticut State
New Hampshire
-5 -115 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

This one is strictly mathematical as I have made New Hampshire a 7 or more point favorite which gives us value on this line. 

C CONN ST is 2-10 ATS  versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.C CONN ST is 0-8 ATS  after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.C CONN ST is 1-9 ATS  after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Play on New Hampshire to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 19, 2019
Eastern Michigan vs Northern Illinois
UNDER 57 -110 Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

  Eastern Michigan  has shown itself to have a porous D, but N.Illinois is highly inconsistent and if it were not for big plays they would be a stagnant offence. Eastern Michigan’s defense  has limited big plays  bad,  ranking  43rd in defending explosive plays. Meanwhile, Northern Illinois is strong at controlling opposing run games, but weak in the secondary, however, Eastern Michigan has not been consistent through the air, even though their numbers look decent . Overall, the combination of the above factors have me taking an under stance here on a slightly bloated total. Note: N ILLINOIS is 33-17 UNDER vs. good passing teams averaging 250 or more passing yards/game . N ILLINOIS is 11-1 UNDER  as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992 with a combined average of 45.1 ppg scored.

CFB teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 (E MICHIGAN) - good passing team - averaging 255 or more passing yards/game, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 45-17 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 19, 2019
Suns vs Kings
UNDER 217½ -109 Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

Sacramento has gone under in 3 straight games and have not allowed more than 99 points in any of those tilts . The Kings own the 29th ranked pace, and 28th ranked offensive output. Look for more methodical action tonight, as they look to slow down the high flying Phoenix Suns! 

Walton is 21-8 UNDER  in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games in all games he has coached since 1996 with a combined average of 210 ppg scored. 

The Suns are 0-14 UNDER L/14 on the road when the line is within 3 of pick off a game as a favorite facing an opponent with an assist-to-turnover ratio less than 1.5 with the verage combined score clicking in at 193.8 ppg. The Suns are 0-13 UNDER  off a loss as a favorite when they are off two games in which their opponent had double-digit steals with a combined average of 193.1 ppg scored. 

NBA Teams are 8-40-2  UNDER when the line is within 3 of pick with less than two days rest off a win as a home dog facing an opponent taking more than one third of their shots from beyond the arc with a combined average score of 207 ppg scored.

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (PHOENIX) - after going under the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a losing team are 31-10 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Nov 19, 2019
Ohio vs Bowling Green
Bowling Green
+21 -110 at Bovada
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

The Bobcats hopes for a MAC title or anything even close to that ranking  were  put to end over the last couple of  weeks thanks  in part to a porous defence. Now they are being made 21 point chalk. The line is viable, but the Bobcats motivational stimulus is not there , which makes taking the points a investment option.OHIO U is 0-7 ATS   as a favorite this season.OHIO U is 9-21 ATS  in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992. I know Bowling Green does not inspire most bettors, but they have shown flashes of life of late with wins vs Toledo and Akron of late. 

Bobcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games.Bobcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.Bobcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November.Bobcats are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.Bobcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games.Bobcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.Bobcats are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.Bobcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.Bobcats are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.Bobcats are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Bobcats are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Bowling Green.Bobcats are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 meetings.

Play on Bowling Green to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Nov 19, 2019
Wild vs Sabres
Wild
-103 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Sabres went 0-4-2 after recording a 2-0 win in Detroit over the Red Wings on Oct. 25 and are 2-6-2 in their last 10 games and not looking like they have confidence  or flow. entering this home tilt vs the Minnesota Wild. I know the Wild dont inspire bettors either , but recently an uptick has taken place,I behind, left winger Kevin Fiala who has registered four goals and two assists while Zach Parise has three goals and three assists in the last 7 games and could light up a Sabres D that has allowed 21 goals over their L/4 games. MINNESOTA is 9-3-0 straight up against BUFFALO since 1996.

Play on the Minnesota Wild to win on the ML

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Nov 19, 2019
Lightning vs Blues
UNDER 6½ -116 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Blues also are coming off a home-ice loss Saturday -- 4-1 to the Anaheim Ducks. Prior to that loss the Blues earned points in nine consecutive games, going 7-0-2 , with 8 of  9 of those games seeing them allow no more than 3 goals. Also during their current 0-1-2 winless streak, the Blues scored just five goals. Tonight against an explosive TB offense Im betting we see the Blues hunker down in disciplined fashion and turn this game into a grinding affair, with limited offensive output from both teams, which will help keep this game to the low side of what my numbers say is a slightly bloated total.ST LOUIS is 60-40 UNDER  against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game over the last 3 seasons for a 60% conversion rate for low totals bettors. 

Play UNDER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Nov 19, 2019
Flyers vs Panthers
UNDER 6½ +103 Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Premium

Flyers Net minder Hart, who had a 2.83 goals-against average as a rookie last season and is at 2.50 this year, credits  veteran goalie Elliott as a mentor."Brian has been a big help to me," Hart said of Elliott, who has a 2.87 GAA. Both Flyers goalies look solid this season, as well as a D, that has allowed a total of 15 goals in their 7 games overall ( 6 of those 7 games went under the total).  Here on the road tonight Im betting on a top tier defensive effort from the Flyers, vs the Florida Panthers and a subsequent under hitting on the board. The L/3 meetings here in this series have gone under all 3 times.

PHILADELPHIA is 28-18 UNDER  in road games against terrible defensive teams - allowing 3+ goals/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 5.6 gpg scored.PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 UNDER  in road games after a close loss by 1 goal in their previous game over the last 3 seasons with a combined 5.1 gpg scored.

Play on the UNDER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 19, 2019
North Alabama vs South Dakota State
South Dakota State
-9 -109 at GTBets
Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

The Jackrabbits, under the direction of first-year head coach Eric Henderson, are back in Brookings after a three-game and week-long road trip. The Jacks are 3-2 on the season and have won both home games in 2019-20 and get my support here on home court again for their 11th straight victory as a host. The Jacks own a 105-6 record at Frost Arena over the last seven seasons dating back to 2011-12, which includes perfect home records in five of the last seven years. This is not a good environment for a team like North Alabama. 

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (S DAKOTA ST) - good 3 point shooting team from last season - made 37% of their attempts, with just one or fewer starters returning from last season are 38-13 ATS L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on south Dakota State to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 19, 2019
Southern Illinois vs Murray State
Murray State
-9½ -110 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

One of the top regional rivalries in college basketball finds the Southern Illinois Salukis traveling to Murray, Kentucky, Tuesday to meet the Murray State Racers. The last time the Racers lost a game home was last January to the Belmont Bruins. Last season, the Racers were 3-0 against Evansville, SIU and Missouri State. The Racers are 262-44 (.853) SU  all-time  at home as they play the 22nd season in the arena and 108-17 (.850) against non-OVC opponents. Advantage Murray State. 

CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MURRAY ST) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 12+ points/game, after allowing 50 points or less are 34-19 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Murray State to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 19, 2019
Detroit vs Wyoming
Detroit
PK -109 at GTBets
Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

The Titans have done a good job of rebounding in their first two games against two ACC opponents in NC State and Clemson, owning a +3 margin on the glass.Detroit Mercy outrebounded the Wolfpack, 40-33, and led for much of the game against the Tigers, where the Titans were edged, 39-38.This is a Titans side that must not be underestimated after playing power 5 competetion. Meanwhile,Wyoming is 1-3 on the year, beating Idaho State at home and dropping games to South Carolina, Cal State Fullerton and Oregon State, and according to my power rankings do not matchup well here. 

WYOMING is 3-13 ATS  in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Davis is 7-0 ATS  after 2 straight losses by 15 points or more in all games he has coached since 1997

Play on Detroit Mercy to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 19, 2019
Radford vs Northwestern
Radford
+6 -109 at GTBets
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

 Radfords being under rated here by the linesmakers,. Offensively, Radford's 74.7 points per game ranks fifth in the Big South. On the other end of the court the Highlander defense is a tough as nails group   allowing only allowing 60.7 points per game, which ranks first in the league. Radford is also winning on the glass with a +11.0 rebounding margin against opponents and averaging 41.3 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, Opponents are outscoring Northwestern 67.0 to 66.5 and their offense Im betting wont get much room again tonight. 

Play on Radford to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 19, 2019
Suns vs Kings
Kings
-1½ -110 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Sacramento continues to uptrend in my power rankings and showed their toughness when they ended the 10-game winning streak of the Boston Celtics via a  100-99 victory on Sunday. Now with plenty of momentum on their sides, I like their chances of  the Kings winning tonight on home court vs a Suns team that could be without key component  the injured Ricky Rubio .If the two way star does play  he will be less than 100% which will effect his teams cohesiveness. 

SACRAMENTO is 7-0 ATS  in November games this season.SACRAMENTO is 20-9 ATS  as a favorite over the last 2 seasons and is is 12-3 ATS at home when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.

Home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings and the Kings have won 3 of the L/4 meetings here at home SU in this series.

NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (PHOENIX) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 100 points or more 5 straight games are just 3-26 SU L/23 seasons for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. 

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after 3 straight games where both teams scored 100 points or more are 7-31 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 82% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Road teams where the line is +3 to -3 (PHOENIX) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game, after allowing 105 points or more 3 straight games are 4-23 ATS L/23 seasons for a 85% go against conversion rate for bettors. 

Play on the Sacramento Kings to cover

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 20, 2019
Arkansas State vs Colorado State
Arkansas State
+12½ -110 at sportsbook
Play Type: Premium

A-State is 4-0 this season and is 26-4 SU under head coach Mike Balado, when scoring 65 points more points vs  its opponent. My mathematical estimates suggest value with Arkansas State at +67 offensive output vs a Colorado State Rams hoops program getting just a little bit to much love here. 

COLORADO ST is 6-15 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Arkaasas State to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 20, 2019
Belmont vs Lipscomb
Lipscomb
+10 -105 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

 The 145th instalment of the “Battle of the Boulevard” as Belmont comes to Allen Arena.The Lipscomb-Belmont rivalry is the closest basketball rivalry in NCAA Division I as the two schools are separated by just two miles. Cincinnati/Xavier and Rice/Houston each sit three miles apart. Recdnt meetings between these teams have been spirited and closely contested and Im betting on more of the same tonight as Lipscomb covers. 

Belmont knocked off the Bisons 87-83 at Allen Arena in the first meeting of 2018, despite 27 points from Garrison Mathews.In the second meeting last season, the Bruins hit a go-ahead shot with 4.9 seconds on the clock and the Bisons rimmed out a game-winning three to allow Belmont to escape with a 76-74 victory at the Curb.

LIPSCOMB is 7-0 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.LIPSCOMB is 8-1 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 2 seasons.

Lipscomb to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 20, 2019
Jazz vs Wolves
Jazz
-3 -113 at pinnacle
Play Type: Premium

Minnesota handed Utah its first home loss of the season on Monday. The Jazz  now have a quick pay back on their agenda vs the Timberwolves again Wednesday in Minneapolis. With Andrew Wiggins  downgraded to OUT Wednesday vs Utah ( Illness ) the advantage rests with the visitors in revenge mode. 

The Jazz are 13-0 ATS L/13 covering by almost 12 ppg on average on the road off a loss in a home game when seeking same season revenge for a loss at home. 

Play on the Utah Jazz to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 20, 2019
Northern Kentucky vs Ball State
Northern Kentucky
+8 -109 at GTBets
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Northern Kentucky is an experienced side that was in the NCAA tournament last season, and Im betting they will be wide awake and ready to upset a Ball State side that I personally  believe is operating above all expectations. 

BALL ST is 3-11 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.BALL ST is 2-10 ATS  in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.

Play on N.Kentucky to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 20, 2019
Austin Peay vs Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt
-8 -109 at GTBets
Play Type: Premium

Vandy is also looking to start a new winning streak after its first loss of the season. On Thursday, Richmond made a single free throw with less than a second to play in overtime and sent the Dores home with a 93-92 defeat. Now in bounce back mode on their own home floor Im betting on the Commodores to get win and more importantly cover.

Vanderbilt has won the L/6 games at home in this series including last seasons 73-54 victory. 

CBB favorite (VANDERBILT) - first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with 8+ losses in last 10 games, bad team from last season (20% to 40%) playing a team that had a winning record last year are 40-8 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Vanderbilt to cover

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 20, 2019
UC-Davis vs CS Sacramento
CS Sacramento
-4 -110 at 5Dimes
Play Type: Premium

Sacramento State beat UC Riverside by 13 at home on Friday. UC Davis was defeated 89-84 in overtime to VMI on Sunday and will be in a bit of letdown situation. 

CAL DAVIS is 3-12 ATS  in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons and is 2-9 ATS in November games over the last 2 seasons.

Sacramento St to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 20, 2019
Pistons vs Bulls
Bulls
-1 -115 at betonline
Play Type: Premium

These two teams are both struggling, but I personally see more promise with the Bulls at the moment because of their attention to better defensive play. The Detroit Pistons,  are currently on a four game losing streak while allowing opponents an average of 112.2 points. Earlier this season the Bulls wont a 112 -106 matchup as hosts and Im betting they repeat that trick again. Note: The Pistons are 0-12-1 ATS /0-13 SU L/13 as a road dog with rest off a road game when seeking same season revenge for a loss on the road.

NBA Teams like Detroit  are 0-13 ATS /1-12 SU on the road when the line is within 3 of pick with rest off a loss as a road favorite after rebounding less than 20% of their own misses.

Pistons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.Pistons are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS loss.Pistons are 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.Pistons are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.Pistons are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.Pistons are 5-17-1 ATS in their last 23 games overall.Pistons are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 3 or more days rest.Pistons are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games following a straight up loss.Pistons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.Pistons are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. NBA Central.Pistons are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Pistons are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.Pistons are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.Pistons are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Home team is 11-2 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

NBA Road teams vs. the money line (DETROIT) - after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, playing with 3 or more days rest are 6-30 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 83% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DETROIT) - good shooting team (45.5-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5-43.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 6-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Chicago Bulls to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 20, 2019
Spurs vs Wizards
UNDER 237 -105 Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

Both these teams have shown to have some very porous defences, and both sides know they need to fix that situation, and are working hard to get stops .  Wizards star guard Bradley Beal told reporters. QUOTE:We compete hard enough to win every game. We are top five in offense. We know that is not the problem. We just have to get stops." END QUOTE: Im betting tonight San Antonio trys to reverse a ugly 6 game win streak, by paying more attention to defence vs an explosive offensive side, which in turn will see a slighter slower pace than the Wizards would like to see.  

NBA Teams like the Spurs are 1-17  UNDER  as a road favorite when they are off two games in which they allowed 110+ points with the combined average score of 216.8 ppg scored. SAN ANTONIO is 18-8 UNDER  after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 215.4 ppg going on the board. 

NBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (WASHINGTON) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game making 12 or more 3 point shots are 26-4 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (SAN ANTONIO) - after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 110 points or more 3 straight games are 60-26 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. 

Play UNDER

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 20, 2019
Magic vs Raptors
Magic
+4½ -105 at Bovada
Play Type: Premium

The Raptors despite of being shorthanded  pounded Charlotte by a 132 -96 count last time out, and now Im betting on a regression to the mean for them here tonight against a up trending Orlando Magic team that has won 3 straight and 4 of their L/5 overall SU. 

Raptors are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.

NBA Teams like the Raptors  are 0-15 ATS  as a favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ win in a home game facing an opponent like the Magic with an assist-to-turnover ratio greater than 1.5.

ORLANDO is 11-2 ATS after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.

The Magic are 10-0-1 ATS /10-1 SU L/11 on the road off a win as a home favorite when the total is at least 15 points less than their last game.

Magic are 19-8-1 ATS in their last 28 vs. NBA Atlantic.Magic are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games playing on 2 days rest.

NBA Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ORLANDO) - after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less against opponent after scoring 110 points or more are 22-4 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on the Orlando Magic to cover 

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.