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Alex Smart |
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Alex Smart Sports- NFL/CFB/CBB/NBA action now on board. Get the info the books do not want you to have. |
FREE PICKS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Jan 22, 2021 Rockets vs. Pistons |
Total 215½ -110 at MIRAGE |
in 1h |
Houston has taken part in some fairly low scoring affairs of last going under in 9 of their L/10 trips to the hardwood. Meanwhile, Pistons HC Casey has not been happy with his teams defense of late, and is mobilizing for a more conservative effort that pays attention to the opponents transition game. Back to basics for the Pistons has me leaning on this being a grinding affair that stays on the low side of the total. |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | Jan 21, 2021 Jets vs Senators |
Senators +107 at linepros |
Lost $100.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
After surrendering a pair of two-goal leads to the Winnipeg Jets in Tuesday's 4-3 overtime loss, the Ottawa Senators will be primed to bounce back and get the full two points when they host a Jets side on tired legs as they play their 3rd game in 4 night again on Thursday. WINNIPEG is 0-8 ATS after winning their previous game in overtime over the last 2 seasons. WINNIPEG is 1-10 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | Jan 21, 2021 Lightning vs Blue Jackets |
Blue Jackets +145 at Mirage |
Lost $100.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
No comment |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Jan 21, 2021 Lakers vs Bucks |
Lakers +2 -112 at BetCris |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
In a game in fron of no fans, Im betting on the better side pulling off the win in a West vs East super matchup. As good as Giannis Antetokounmpo is , and as much as he brags about his obvious prowess, he has yet to put his money where his mouth is. Meanwhile, LeBron James and company are the real deal, and until the Greek Freak and step up in big games, Ill be fading him in this type of line. |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Jan 21, 2021 Pelicans vs Jazz |
Pelicans +7 -112 at pinnacle |
Lost $112.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
analysis to follow thank you for your patience Van Gundy is 79-52 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more in all games he has coached since 1996. NBA team (UTAH) - after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 17-53 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. New Orleans to cover |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | Jan 21, 2021 Devils vs Islanders |
Islanders -145 at Mirage |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The Islanders have garnered shutouts in 2 of their first 3 games of the season, and continue to grind their opposition down, with solid defensive hockey under HC Barry Trottz Im betting on more of the same hockey here tonight against a Jersey team that needs to play a more wide open style of hockey to succeed. NHL team against the money line (NEW JERSEY) - off a road win against a division rival against opponent off a home win where they shut out their opponent are 5-22 L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on NY Isles to win on the ML |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | Jan 21, 2021 Flyers vs Bruins |
Flyers +120 at linepros |
Lost $100.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Flyers are a side that deserve respect as underdogs and are being slightly disrespected here on the opening line vs a Boston side that is not as powerful as many might assume, especially with key offensive cog Pastranak out of the lineup. Note the Flyers are 9-2 in their last 11 road games. Despite of this being the Flyers 3 rd game in 4 nights, they are prepared to compete as I rank them as the most well conditioned team in the league/ Flyers are 4-1 in their last 5 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. Flyers are also 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.Bruins are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bruins are 1-6 in their last 7 overall. Play on the Philadelphia Flyers to win on the ML |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 21, 2021 Eastern Illinois vs Belmont |
Eastern Illinois +13 -105 at all |
Tie |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 21, 2021 SIU-Edwardsville vs Tennessee State |
Tennessee State -3½ -108 at pinnacle |
Lost $108.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
No comment |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 21, 2021 Tenn-Martin vs Eastern Kentucky |
Tenn-Martin +15 -109 at pinnacle |
Lost $109.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 21, 2021 Wichita State vs Memphis |
Memphis -3 -106 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 21, 2021 Montana vs CS Sacramento |
Montana +1 -117 at pinnacle |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 21, 2021 Central Michigan vs Akron |
Central Michigan +11 -110 at BetCris |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball side/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned |
PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Jan 22, 2021 Illinois-Chicago vs Youngstown State |
Youngstown State +1½ -115 at pinnacle |
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Play Type: Premium | ||
No comment |
SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 20 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes. My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%! I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections. |