Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports -Testing 38-22 NBA run with my dime players up by more than $13000.00. Get the pro hoops info the books do not want you to have.
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NCAA-B SUBSCRIPTIONS
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NBA SUBSCRIPTIONS
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**2014 NBA Champion!**
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 26, 2020
Rutgers vs Penn State
Rutgers
+5 -110 at sportsbook
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

 Penn State's offense was the main problem in Sunday's 68-60 defeat at Indiana and tonight against a Rutgers team that predicates it successes and failures with their defense first mind set , Im betting the Nitanny Lions have problems putting points  on the board again, exposing their biggest weakness. Note: Rutgers allows just 62.2 ppg . 

RUTGERS is 13-6 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game this season. 

Play on Rutgers to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 26, 2020
Maryland vs Minnesota
Minnesota
+1 -110 at Bovada
Tie
Play Type: Premium

Minnesota Im betting will use Ohio State blueprint for beating the Terrapins. Last time out the Terps were shut down by Buckeyes, and I expect the Gophers to get it done as well on their own home floor  where they are 10-5 this season.

Golden Gophers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite.

Golden Gophers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home favorite.

Terrapins are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.

MINNESOTA is 8-2 ATS in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.

Play on Minnesota to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 26, 2020
St. John's vs Villanova
Villanova
-12½ -109 at GTBets
Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

Villanova Im betting takes their  fifth consecutive victory when it hosts St. John's on Wednesday.The No. 12-ranked Wildcats improved to 21-6 overall, and 10-4 in the Big East, following an impressive 64-55 win at Xavier on Saturday and look like viable favs here again vs a side that owns a ugly 3-11 Big East record and off a  81-65 beatdown  to host Seton Hall on Sunday.VILLANOVA is 16-4 ATS   off a road win over the last 3 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at 15 ppg. 

Play on Villanova to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Feb 26, 2020
Celtics vs Jazz
UNDER 219 -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Going from sea level in Portland and than traveling to the high altitudes of Utah, in the 2nd part of a back and back road games, makes for a situation where I expect the Celtics to be a little slower than usual and for a Jazz team in desperate need of shoring up a bleeding defence to  make a concerted effort  at turning this into a  physical affair that I project to stay on the low side of the total. BOSTON is 15-5 UNDER in road games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 212.3 ppg scored. UTAH is 21-6 UNDER  off a double digit loss as a home favorite of 6 or more with a combined average of 195.1 ppg going on the board. ( Phoenix lit up the Jazz at home 131-111) 

The Jazz are 0-14-2 UNDER l/16 as a home favorite with rest off a loss after a game in which their opponents points per field goal attempt was better than 1.5 with a combined average 188.4 ppg scored.

The Celtics are 0-10 UNDER L/10 as a dog after they had assists on less than 45 percent of their field goals with a combined average of 183.1 ppg going on the board.  

NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (BOSTON) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record ARE 55-19 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 26, 2020
East Carolina vs South Florida
UNDER 128 -109 Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

My College basketball totals selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

Play UNDER

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 26, 2020
East Tennessee State vs Wofford
Wofford
+4 -110 at sportsbook
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

Wofford is on a five-game losing streak , and despite of being home court underdogs here vs a top tier opponent (E.Tenn State) they are always dangerous as hosts and must not be underestimated getting points in front of their own alumni. It must be noted that Wofford when coming off a road loss and coming home are 23-1 SU L/24 opportunities and have cashed 16 straight times. 

WOFFORD is 7-0 ATS  versus excellent ball handling teams - committing 12 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Wofford is 5-1 ATS L/6 in this series.

CBB Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (WOFFORD) - off a close loss by 3 points or less to a conference rival against opponent off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite are 53-25 ATS L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Wofford to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Feb 26, 2020
Wolves vs Heat
OVER 228½ -115 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Minnesota has a one way modus operandi and that is full throttle take no prisoners basketball that pays very little attention to defence ranking 7th in pace in the league and 27th in pgg allowed and a respectable 13th in offensive ppg output . Meanwhile, Miami plays a different style of hoops, and a slower pace, but will have to adjust a bit to the Wolves speedy style as has been the case over the last 5 games, as the Heat have combined with their opponents to average 231.4 ppg and have gone over in 4 straight tilts. The Heat overall have averaged 116.9 ppg at home this season, and Im betting on that number being eclipsed here and for the Wolves to chase and get themselves into the +110 range offensively, which will result in a over. 

The Timberwolves are 15-0 OVER L/`15 as a dog off a loss as a dog in which they had assists on less than 45 percent of their field goals with the 3 most recent games in this subset dating back to last season seeing 243,240, and 256 combined ppg going on the board. 

NBA team (MINNESOTA) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in three consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 135-63 OVER L/23 seasons for a 63% conversion rate for bettors.

NBA Teams like the Wolves are 23-4 OVER L/27 as a 8+ dog facing an opponent averaging less than 58 ppg from 2-point range with a combined average of 237.6 ppg scored.

NBA Teams like the Heat are 22-1 OVER L/23 as a favorite with rest off a road game facing an opponent averaging more than 7 refereed turnovers per game with a combined average of 238.5 ppg scored.

NBA

The Heat are 11-0 OVER L/11 as a home 8+ favorite with less than two days rest off a game as a favorite facing an opponent getting less than 25 percent or their rebounds on the offensive end with a combined average score of 231.3 ppg going on the board.

Play OVER  

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Feb 26, 2020
Indiana State vs Southern Illinois
Southern Illinois
-2½ -109 at pinnacle
Lost
$109.0
Play Type: Premium

 Indiana State is a different team on the road then they are at home as is evident by recording a  2-12 SU and 3-11 ATS record dating back to last season, including 1-6 ATS during this campaign. Considering  Indiana State struggles in this series vs Southern Illinois , going   3-13 SU and 1-7 ATS away it wont be a hard decision to take a  SIU side that despite of  having clinched a first-round bye in the MVC Tournament but with a a win over Indiana State, SIU would clinch a top-four seed. Note: SIU has held 11 opponents under 40% shooting this season. Key to victory: SIU's overall defensive efficiency ranks 81st nationally, which is second-best in the MVC to Loyola. In MVC games, SIU's defensive efficiency leads the league. 

SIU ranks 9th nationally (of 353) in scoring defense, allowing just 60.9 points per game. SIU also ranks top-55 nationally in fewest fouls per game (10th) and 3-point field goal percentage defense (51st) and are 12-2 at home this season. 

Play on Southern Illinois to cover 

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigous event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.