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Alex Smart |
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| Alex Smart Sports - Get the info the books do not want you to have. |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Apr 25, 2019 Indians vs Astros |
Indians +141 at 5Dimes |
Won $141 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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TREVOR BAUER (R) vs. GERRIT COLE (R) Houstons starter tonight Cole, finished fifth in the 2018 American League Cy Young Award voting with an 15-5 record and 2.88 ERA, is off to just a 1-3 start with a 5.22 ERA this season. Thanks to his reputation and that of his teammates he is still listed a hefty favorite despite of going against a top tier hurler in the Tribes Trevor Bauer.Bauer (2-1, 2.20), and finished sixth in last year's Cy Young voting behind Cole, is a perfect 7-0 with a 3.18 ERA in eight career starts against the Astros and gets my support here tonight on a value line. HINCH is 6-15 against the money line vs. struggling power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game as the manager of HOUSTON . Play on Cleveland to win on the ML |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Apr 25, 2019 Blue Jackets vs Bruins |
UNDER 5½ -105 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Eastern Conference Semifinals - Best of 7 - Game 1 Play UNDER |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Apr 25, 2019 Nuggets vs Spurs |
UNDER 207½ -110 |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 6 - DEN Leads 3-2 This series is getting more physical, and both sides are figuring the other sides schemes out. Last time out we saw a lower scoring affair, and Im betting nothing changes here tonight, especially considering the Spurs have to fight for their playoff lives to force a deciding seventh game in Denver on Saturday. In the last 14 seasons , betting the under in Game 6 and 7 of a playoff series has gone 96-65 UNDER for a just under 60% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (SAN ANTONIO) - an excellent offensive team (102 or more PPG) against a horrible defensive team (102 or more PPG), after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games are 99-57 UNDER L/22 seasons for a 64% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Apr 25, 2019 Yankees vs Angels |
Yankees -110 at BMaker |
Lost $110.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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MASAHIRO TANAKA (R) vs. TREVOR CAHILL (R) Tanaka bounced back from a loss to pitch seven strong innings of one-run ball vs the Royals in his last trip to the hill and has lasted into the sixth inning in four of his five efforts and looks to be getting stronger . Meanwhile, Cahill his Angels pitching opponent , has some troubling numbers, that indicate teams are seeing the ball well against him. Note: Cahill gave up only eight homers in 110 innings last year but has already equalled that total in 26 1/3 innings this year. The Yankees despite of being banged up have enough talent in their offensive lineup to really put a deep ball hurt on Cahill and the Halos, making them my choice here on the ML. LA ANGELS are 0-9 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 2 seasons. NY YANKEES are 23-9 against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -150 over the last 2 seasons. TANAKA is 3-0 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 1.59 and a WHIP of 0.958 and his team has won all 6 of his career starts vs the Halos. Play on the NY Yankees to win on the ML |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Apr 25, 2019 Nuggets vs Spurs |
Spurs -2½ -110 at 5Dimes |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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Western Conference - Round 1 - Best of 7 - Game 6 - DEN Leads 3-2 Denver looked good last time out, but this Spurs team has for some reason, struggled on the road this season, so I was not completely surprised when they lost the key game 5 in the Mile High City. The Spurs are 33-10 SU home this season and have an edge here on their own floor against almost anyone in this league. When the going gets tough having a guy like Popvich in your corner is a good thing . Note: The Spurs behind Popovich are bankroll expanding 30-17-2 ATS in Games 5-7. SAN ANTONIO is 24-5 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent this season and is 13-2 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more this season. SAN ANTONIO is 21-8 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. Play on San Antonio to cover . |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 20 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes. My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigous event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%! I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections. |