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Ben Burns |
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| Burns WON HUGE in Aprill and May and he's winning again in June. He's winning again in both baseball and CFL, the two sports currently in play. Invest in a subscription today and EXPECT YOUR ROI TO GO THROUGH ROOF! |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jun 23, 2019 Marlins vs Phillies |
Phillies -170 at betonline |
Lost $170.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Phillies are going to be in an angry mood today and I expect their very best effort. While Yamamoto has gotten off to a great start for the Marlins, he's still only made two starts and has still only faced one team. He doesn't have dominant stuff and I expect the Phillies to bring him back down to earth here. De Los Santos gets the call for the Phillies and he knows this is his opportunity to push for the #5 starter's job. Even factoring in yesterday's result, the Marlins are still just 7-16 (-4.2) in day games; the Phillies are 15-11 (+2.2). The Phillies are a profitable 15-7 as home favorites in the -125 to -175 range. Going back further finds them at 39-21 their last 60 in that role. Expect them to improve on those stats this afternoon. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jun 23, 2019 Angels vs Cardinals |
Cardinals -130 at pinnacle |
Lost $130.0 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. The Cards have taken the first two games of this series and I like their chances of completing the sweep this evening. Mikolas has a stellar 2.88 ERA and 0.887 WHIP through eight home starts. Last time out, he tossed six shutout innings. Skaggs also pitched well last time out. However, he's still got a poor 5.27 ERA on the road. While Mikolas averages 6.6 innings per home start, Skaggs averages 5.3 innings per road start. LA relievers have a 4.67 combined ERA on the road while St. Louis relievers have a 3.83 mark at home. With Trout in the lineup, the Angels may often look tempting when listed as underdogs. They haven't fared well in that role though. They're 48-75 as road underdogs the past few seasons, 32-51 (-11.5) as road underdogs in the +100 to +150 range. During the same span, the Cards were 59-42 as home favorites of -150 or less. That includes a 13-3 mark in that role this season. In what may be Pujols' final game ever here, break out those brooms, Cards' fans. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jun 23, 2019 #Marlins vs #Phillies |
#Phillies -156 at 5Dimes |
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| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. Analysis to follow |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jun 23, 2019 Giants vs Diamondbacks |
UNDER 9½ -110 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm playing on SF/Arizona UNDER the total. The UNDER is a healthy 71-52-3 in Arizona day games the past few seasons. I expect those stats to improve Sunday. Admittedly, Kelly wasn't great last time out. However, given that he was 3-0 with a dominant 0.81 ERA in his previous three starts, I'm willing to cut him a little slack. On the season, through seven home starts, he's got a solid 3.05 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. He's averaged better than six innings per start here and he's got 40 K's vs. only four walks. Not surprisingly, the UNDER was a healthy 5-1-1 in those games. Anderson has a respectable 3.86 ERA and 1.34 WHIP through three road starts, averaging slightly over six innings per. His last three starts have all been quality. Anderson's lone starts against Arizona finished with eight combined runs. Kelly's lone start against SF finished with seven runs, Kelly allowing none of them. Look for this one to prove lower-scoring than many will be expecting. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jun 23, 2019 Reds vs Brewers |
Brewers -178 at betonline |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on MILWAUKEE. The Brewers are 9-1 in Woodruff's last 10 overall and also 9-1 in Woodruff's last 10 home starts, dating back to last season. That includes a perfect 4-0 record his last four starts here. Last time out, despite ultimately coming up short, he hit 100 on the radar gun and kept the Padres hitless until the fourth. Desclafini, 1-3 with a 4.87 ERA here at Miller Park, has an ugly 5.77 ERA in seven daytime starts. (As compared to a 2.75 ERA in seven evening starts.) As a team, the Reds are 11-22 (-10.6) in day games. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 18-10 (+7.4) when playing during the day. Momentum back on its side, Milwaukee rolls. |
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| PICKS IN PROGRESS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jun 24, 2019 White Sox vs Red Sox |
Red Sox -167 at betonline |
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| Play Type: Premium | ||
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I'm playing on BOSTON. The Red Sox are going to be in an angry mood, after dropping b2b games vs. the Jays. They're 5-1 the past six times that they were off b2b losses as a home favorite against an AL East opponent. Overall, they're a dominant 42-19 the past 61 times that they were off b2b losses. Rodriguez, 3-1 in six Fenway starts, went seven innings in each of his last two starts. He's 2-0 with a stellar 2.66 ERA in four starts vs. Chicago. His team won the last three of those by a combined score of 24-5! Giolito was nothing special (7 hits, 3 runs, 5 innings) against Boston earlier and he came back down to earth in a big way last time out. Through four innings, he served up three home runs and six earned runs overall. Boston rolls. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jun 24, 2019 Mets vs Phillies |
Phillies -122 at YouWager |
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| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Mets are at the wrong place, at the wrong time. After getting swept by the Marlins and the Nationals before that, the Phillies desperately need a win. With Eflin, they've got the right guy on the mound to get one. Eflin has a stellar 2.13 ERA and 0.992 WHIP through six home starts. Last time here, Eflin allowed two runs on just five hits, through eight complete innings. He recorded nine K's against only one walk. Yet, the Phillies provided him with no run support in a 2-0 loss. That shouldn't be an issue as Matz has an ugly 6.21 ERA through eight road starts. Last time out, he gave up five runs in five innings. He got taken deep twice in that short span, while walking more (4) than he struck out (2). Speaking of bad outings, the last time that Matz pitched here at Philly, he didn't record a single out, yet managed to allow eight runs, six of them earned. Including that result, the Phillies are 3-0 the last three times that they faced Matz here, winning by a combined score of 28-11. Expect another big win. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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MLB | Jun 24, 2019 Blue Jays vs Yankees |
OVER 10½ -120 | |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
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I'm playing on New York/Toronto OVER the total. Sabathia's last start against the Jays resulted in a 8-7 slugfest. Despite Sabathia lasting only 2 1/3 innings, he managed to serve up three home runs. I'm expecting another high-scoring affair. The Jays are swinging the bats well right now. They've scored six or more runs in five straight and seven of their last eight. Ditto for the Yankees, who have now have hit home runs in 26 games, a franchise record. They'll face struggling Aaron Sanchez who is 0-3 with a terrible 13.50 ERA and 2.368 WHIP his last three starts. Over that 12 2/3 inning span, Sanchez has served up five home runs and 20 runs (19 earned) overall. On the season, he's 3-6 with a 6.07 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in nine road starts. Not surprisingly, six of those finished above the number. His last two starts finished with scores of 11-6 and 15-2. Each of Sabathia's last two starts have also produced 12 or more combined runs. Look for the OVER to improve to 6-1-1 when the Jays were listed as underdogs of +200 or greater. |
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SERVICE BIO |
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Age: 45 Background In "Outliers," Malcolm Gladwell asks the question: "What makes high achievers different?" Gladwell suggests that those at the top of their field have a number of similarities - that their upbringing (culture, family, what generation they came from, experiences) had much to do with their success. As a professional sports handicapper, Ben Burns is widely recognized as being "at the top of his field." A look at Ben's upbringing shows that he fits Gladwell's model to a tee. Exposed to the world of point spreads early and often as a child, Burns reached adulthood as the Internet was first beginning to explode, just as the first offshore sportsbooks were springing up. By that time he'd already spent thousands of hours learning and studying stats. From an early age it became apparent to family and friends that Ben wasn't a "typical" fan. At age 11, he was mentioned in a major newspaper (Toronto Star) for correctly predicting a high profile trade before the Major League Baseball trading deadline. (Winner of the contest got tickets to the All Star game.) Ben's father and uncles were always involved in a weekly NFL (ATS) pool. Some of Ben's earliest memories included that pool and his fascination with it. As soon as he was allowed to play, Ben demonstrated an uncanny ability to surprise the adults. Around this time, one of his uncles moved his casino business to the Caribbean. This was the environment which he came from. The caption underneath Ben's high-school graduation photo references Ben's love for betting on football. That's because he was famous throughout his school for annually winning the local football contest, along with the $1700 per year which was awarded to the champ. Coming of age right as the first sports books were coming online, Ben was fortunate to enjoy some success with his some of his early online sports betting endeavors. He did so well that the first shop he ever played at ended up refusing to take his hockey bets. Also, in the very early days of the Internet, Ben won an NBA playoff contest, put on by a company which was called NSS.net. The contest victory awarded him a trip for two to Las Vegas, $1000 cash, a limo at his disposal, free shows, hotel and live sports odds for a year. Not a bad prize for a kid in his early 20s. However, the bigger prize was that Ben was exposed to the world of "professional sports handicapping." Inspired by his personal success and encouraged by his peers, Ben first made his picks available to the public in 1998. Achievements in Handicapping/Sports Top Ranked NFL Handicapper From the years of 1998-2007, Ben's selections were independently documented at one of the Internet's earliest and most respected sports monitors, Big Guy Sports. During that time, Ben earned literally dozens of documented Top 3 finishes in football, basketball, baseball AND hockey, including numerous #1 titles. Competing against a field of 150 of the biggest names in the industry, he ranked as the #1 NFL handicapper in the existence of that sports monitor, in their All-Time rankings. No competing handicapping service ever came close to matching his NFL record. In fact, Ben also ranked as the #1 combined NFL/NCAA football handicapper. 10 Straight Super Bowl Winners A big part of the reason for Ben's #1 NFL titles was his annual success in the playoffs. He fared particularly well with his Super Bowl selections. In fact, from 1999-2007, he released 10 Super Bowl picks (3 Sides, 7 totals) and went a perfect 10-0. (All selections independently documented.) In the middle of that 10-0 streak, in the 2002-2003 season, Ben won with both the Bucs and the "over" the year that they beat the Raiders. That win was particularly sweet as he predicted that Tampa would win the Super Bowl in a number of national magazines, prior to the season even starting. Fantasy Legend Ben got pretty seriously into the DFS world in 2014 and 2015. Recently, he was featured as "The High Roller" in the 2015 documentary, "Living the Fantasy." A regular fixture at Fan Duel and Draft Kings live championship events, Burns has taken down 6-figure scores in football, basketball AND baseball. While many of the other prominent DFS players come from a poker background, two decades as a sports handicapper provide a unique perspective. Biggest Win of 2016 The year has just begun but Ben has already enjoyed some notable wins. His "Bowl Game of the Year," which happened to be a total (WVU/ASU "over") saw the teams combine for 85 points and 1196 total yards, all of them in regulation. Closing out the campaign with wins on Clemson AND the "over" in the championship game was also rewarding. Systems Used For Handicapping Bruce Lee noted: "Man, the living creature, the creating individual, is always more important than any established style of system." Lee was known to talk about being shapeless, formless (like water) and ready to adapt to any situation. Likewise, Burns doesn't rely on any one particular methodology. Rather, he combines fundamental, technical and situational techniques, making use of any and all data, which he deems relevant to the situation. Ben does tend to pay particular attention to the 'situational' side of things. Among numerous other factors, this includes trying to determine when (and why) a team will be extra motivated ("pumped up") to play its best and also when a team may be ripe for a "letdown." Burns has a contrarian nature and this trait is often revealed in his selections. Betting Philosophy Ever adapting, Burns is just as likely to take points as he is to lay them. Over the years, he's played more "unders" than "overs" but that doesn't mean that he won't pull the trigger on an "over" when the time is right to do so. While many handicappers shy away from playing MLB/NHL favorites on the money-line, Ben has proven that one can be highly successful by doing so. For him, it’s all about value. If he can get a team at -130 that he likes and that believes should be -160, than that's a play.
Rating and Titles of Plays Ben uses a scale of 5-10 to show his level of confidence with each play. Plays may include "titles" in order to give users a better idea of what to expect. Some of those titles include: Personal Favorite - Strongest favorite (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day. Best Bet - Strongest underdog (or pick'em game) in that sport for the day, occasionally can be a total. Blue Chip Total - Strongest rated total in that sport/category for the day. Main Event - Big play which is featured on national television. Game Of The Week/Month/Year - Top rated side or total for that particular week/month/year. |