Matt Fargo Matt Fargo
Matt has WON a RIDICULOUS +$49,694 in the NFL since the 2012 Regular Season after a SWEET 20-11 run since Week 2! He is also 14-5-2 his last 21 Top Plays! Four Winners going on Sunday! 183-114 (+$41,741) NHL L2Y!
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NCAA-F SUBSCRIPTIONS
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NHL SUBSCRIPTIONS
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Oct 20, 2018
Dodgers vs Brewers
Brewers
+108 at 5Dimes
Lost
$100.0
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the MILWAUKEE BREWERS for our MLB Saturday Sweet Spot. The Brewers put up four first inning runs last night and cruised to an easy victory to force a Game Seven in this NLCS. Wade Miley gave them what they needed which was an extended outing and the Milwaukee bullpen is in great shape for tonight. The Dodgers are 2-3 on the road in the postseason while Milwaukee is 4-1 at home yet Los Angeles comes in as the favorite, albeit slight, as the public will again be on the road team. This is a rematch of the Game Three pitching matchup that was won by the Brewers 4-0 and that was in Los Angeles. Jhoulys Chacin gets the ball for Milwaukee and he will likely be on a short leash with the magnitude of what is at stake coupled with the strong Milwaukee bullpen. But, he might not get in early trouble as he has been outstanding as he has not allowed a run across 10.1 innings this October, the workload split between two starts. He shut out the Dodgers in 5.1 innings in his last outing which was impressive considering he allowed eight runs in 4.1 innings there just two months prior. Still, he could get an early hook as the Brewers may turn to Josh Hader which is not a bad thing at all. Walker Buehler has incredible stuff but the postseason pressure has mounted and it will be even more so in Game Seven that determines a trip to the World Series. He struggled against Milwaukee at home where he is most comfortable as four of his innings were scoreless, but he also allowed four extra-base hits and all factored in the scoring. He struggled in Atlanta in his previous start and he has now allowed nine runs in 12 innings in the postseason. 10* (962) Milwaukee Brewers

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Oct 20, 2018
Raptors vs Wizards
Wizards
+1 -103 at 5Dimes
Lost
$103.0
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the WASHINGTON WIZARDS for our NBA Saturday Supreme Annihilator. Toronto is off to a 2-0 start and it produced a statement win last night as it rallied from an early deficit to defeat the Celtics by 12 points in a matchup of the likely top two teams in the Eastern Conference. Both wins have come by 12 points, the first coming against Cleveland, and both came at home so this will be the first road game of the season for the Raptors. The chemistry with Kawhi Leonard is already in place as Toronto has a ridiculous 2.05 assist/turnover ratio but that is not going to hold up. Washington is a team that is a mystery despite plenty of talent as it has not met expectations over the last few years. The Wizards opened the season with a disappointing loss at home against Miami by a point despite outshooting the Heat 46.9 percent to 39.2 percent. They were crushed on the boards 55-40 including a 22-7 disadvantage on the offensive glass which led to numerous second chance points for Miami. We can expect a raucous atmosphere at Capital One Arena as it was the Raptors that ended the Wizards season a year ago as they lost in six games in the first round of the NBA Playoffs. The final loss was a Game Six defeat on this floor by 10 points as Toronto outscored Washington 29-14 in the final quarter so revenge is definitely in play tonight. 10* (502) Washington Wizards

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Oct 20, 2018
Canadiens vs Senators
Senators
+122 at betonline
Won
$122
Play Type: Premium

This is a play on the OTTAWA SENATORS as part of our NHL Saturday Hat Trick. The surprise team of the NHL so far goes to Montreal as it is 4-1-1 after its third straight win on Wednesday over St. Louis. The Canadiens opened the season with an overtime loss in Toronto and the other defeat was a 3-0 shutout at home against the Kings. It took them 12 games last season to notch their fourth win and they cannot be trusted on the road just yet despite a win against Pittsburgh as last season, their 11 road victories were the fewest in the entire league. Ottawa has found something after a slow start as it has won two straight games thanks to goalie Craig Anderson allowing just two goals on 75 shots (.973 save percentage) after giving up 13 goals on 124 shots (.895 save percentage) in his first three games. His defense has to respond as he has been peppered with too many shots and since the Senators have been off since Monday, that rest will help. Here, we play on home teams against the moneyline off two consecutive home wins by two goals or more going up against an opponent off a home win by one goal. This situation is 47-15 (75.6 percent) since 1996. 9* (16) Ottawa Senators

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Oct 20, 2018
Avalanche vs Hurricanes
Hurricanes
-155 at 5Dimes
Lost
$155.0
Play Type: Premium

This is a play on the CAROLINA HURRICANES as part of our NHL Saturday Hat Trick. Carolina opened the season with a loss against the Islanders at home in overtime and then went on to win its next four games including impressive road wins at Columbus and Minnesota. The Hurricanes closed their roadtrip with two losses against Tampa Bay and Winnipeg, two of the best home venues in the league, despite outshooting the opposition 40-27 and 43-26 respectively. Back home, we expect Carolina to get back into the win column. We won with Colorado on Thursday as it defeated New Jersey which came after two straight losses, both in extra time. Colorado trails Nashville by just two points in the Central Division thanks to strong home ice. The Avalanche are now 2-2 on the road and going back, they are 8-22 in their last 30 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. Here, we play on home favorites against the moneyline after one or more consecutive losses, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team in the first half of the season. This situation is 104-39 (72.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 8* (4) Carolina Hurricanes

Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Oct 20, 2018
Devils vs Flyers
Flyers
+100 at betonline
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the PHILADELPHIA FLYERS as part of our NHL Saturday Hat Trick. We played against New Jersey on Thursday as it lost at home against Colorado and while this typically would be a good bounce back opportunity, this is a unique situation this late into the season. The Devils opened the season with a neutral ice game against Edmonton and then came back to the U.S. and played their next four games at home making this their first true road game of the season. Going back, the Devils are 19-40 in their last 59 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400. Philadelphia is coming off a loss on Thursday as well as it lost in Columbus to fall to 3-4 on the season. It is imperative to win the special teams in this matchup as the Flyers have gone three straight games without a power play goal while New Jersey has scored at least one in all five games while allowing just two all season. Here, we play on home teams when the mone line is -100 to -150 that are getting outscored by 0.2 or more gpg in the third period, after allowing five goals or more two straight games. This situation is 52-18 (74.3 percent) since 1996. 10* (2) Philadelphia Flyers

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2018
Charlotte vs Middle Tennessee State
Middle Tennessee State
-16½ -110 at BMaker
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

This is a play on the MIDDLE TENNESSEE ST. BLUE RAIDERS as part for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Trifecta. This is a perfect setup for Middle Tennessee as it is coming off an upset loss at Florida International by a field goal, its first conference loss of the season so now running the table in the C-USA East is not an option. The Blue Raiders are back home where they are 2-0 and have a chance to beat up on Charlotte which is coming off a 26-point victory over Western Kentucky as a 9.5-point home underdog. This happened before when the 49ers defeated Old Dominion as home underdogs and then went on the road and lost crushed by a bad Massachusetts team. Again, they are in the wrong place at the wrong time. Blue Raiders quarterback Brent Stockstill had to leave the game against FIU because of an ankle injury but all indications are he is good to go. Even if he is limited, backup Asher O'Hara is a capable backup that can carve through the Charlotte defense. Middle Tennessee is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games after one or more consecutive straight up losses while going 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games after allowing 75 or fewer rushing yards last game. Meanwhile the 49ers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. 9* (396) Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2018
NC State vs Clemson
NC State
+17½ -108 at pinnacle
Lost
$108.0
Play Type: Premium

This is a play on the NC STATE WOLFPACK as part for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Trifecta. NC State is quietly off to a 5-0 start and it could be ready to make some noise in the ACC. We were on the Wolfpack two week ago before their bye week and despite outgaining Boston College by 215 total yards, they won by just five points as the Eagles sealed the cover with a late blocked punt return for a touchdown. Quarterback Ryan Finley was picked by many as First Team All-ACC and he is living up to that and he could really make a name for himself here against a Clemson defense that has shown some vulnerability at times. Clemson is also coming off its bye week after opening the season with six straight wins but a couple of those were a little close for comfort. Clemson has dominated this series throughout the years but the gap is closing as despite owning a decisive 7-1 straight up advantage over the Wolfpack in their last eight games against them, the Tigers are just 2-6 ATS over that stretch as five of the last six Clemson wins have been by fewer than what it is laying in this game. Here, we play on road teams that are averaging 6.2 or more yppl going up against a team allowing 4.2 or fewer yppl, after gaining 525 or more total yards in their previous game. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (389) NC State Wolfpack

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2018
Virginia vs Duke
Duke
-6½ -119 at pinnacle
Lost
$119.0
Play Type: Premium

This is a play on the DUKE BLUE DEVILS as part for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Trifecta. Virginia is coming off an upset win over Miami as it defeated the Hurricanes by a field goal despite getting outgained by 108 total yards. The Cavaliers managed only 231 yards of offense but both teams tossed three interceptions and they were able to capitalize the most. Virginia moved to 4-0 at home but it is still winless on the road at 0-2 with the losses coming at Indiana and NC State. As bad as Virginia has been over the years, it has won three straight meetings in this series so Duke is in revenge mode. The Blue Devils lone loss came against Virginia Tech at home and that was an unfortunate spot as the Hokies were coming off that embarrassing home loss to Old Dominion. Duke has won all of its games by at least 14 points including road wins at Northwestern and Georgia Tech so this game is in the same type of significance as far as the opposition goes. It was unclear when quarterback Daniel Jones was going to be back after getting injured but he was back quicker than expected and it has shown. Here, we play against road teams coming off an upset win as a home underdog of seven points or more, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team. This situation is 27-5 ATS (84.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (322) Duke Blue Devils

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2018
Mississippi State vs LSU
Mississippi State
+7 -129 at GTBets
Lost
$129.0
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the MISSISSIPPI ST. BULLDOGS for our CFB Saturday Ultimate Underdog. We won with LSU last week as it upset Georgia and it remains home on upset alert. The Tigers lost the previous week against Florida for its first defeat of the season and they have to avoid a letdown here. The public is all over LSU this week after that big upset as they are seeing a line that is considered shorter than it should be. For LSU, the Tigers will look to establish a balanced attack against the Bulldogs, much like they did against Georgia, finishing with 275 rushing yards and 200 passing yards but it will not be easy. The Bulldogs are also coming off an upset of their own as they defeated Auburn at home by 14 points as underdogs but the big difference is that they are coming off a bye week so there is no chance of a letdown. Quarterback Nick Fitzgerald and running back Kylin Hill stole the show, rushing for 195 yards and 126 yards, respectively and the Tigers linebackers and secondary will be tested by Fitzgerald's ability to turn busted plays into first downs. Here, we play on road underdogs that are averaging 230 or more rushing ypg going up against a team averaging between 190 and 230 rushing ypg, after gaining 6.0 or more ypc last game. This situation is 26-7 ATS (78.8 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (403) Mississippi St. Bulldogs

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2018
Ohio State vs Purdue
Purdue
+12½ -110 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the PURDUE BOILERMAKERS for our CFB Saturday Star Attraction. This is one of the biggest games for Purdue in recent memory as it has been a while since the Boilermakers have been featured on a nationally televised nighttime game. They opened the season with three straight losses but those came by a total of eight points so instead of sitting at 3-3, Purdue could very well be 6-0 at this point. The offense is rolling along with the passing game leading the way but they also possess a pair of backs that is going to present matchup problems for Ohio St. With the Buckeyes struggling in pass defense, they will also have to deal with two very talented runners in the backfield. Purdue has 24 plays of 30 or more yards and Ohio St. is No. 106 in the country in allowing plays of 40 or more yards. Ohio St. is 7-0 but it has struggled in its two road games as TCU kept it close most of the game and it narrowly escaped Penn St. The Buckeyes also feature a strong passing attack but the Boilermakers defensive backs have only allowed two passing touchdowns so far this season. Purdue falls into a contrarian situation where we play against road favorites of 10.5 to 21 points that are outgaining their opponents by 125 or more ypg, after gaining 525 or more total ypg over their last two games. This situation is 47-17 ATS (73.4 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 9* (334) Purdue Boilermakers

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2018
UTSA vs Southern Miss
Southern Miss
-16 -110 at BMaker
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI GOLDEN EAGLES for our CFB Saturday Enforcer. Southern Mississippi fell to 2-3 on the season after its second consecutive loss last week. The first loss was a respectable 11-point loss at Auburn but last week, they went to North Texas and lost by 23 points so they will be out for a big win as they return home. They are 2-1 with the lone loss coming by a point against UL-Monroe which was attributed to four turnovers. UTSA had a three-game winning streak snapped with a 31-3 home loss against Louisiana Tech but that winning streak cannot be taken too seriously. Two wins were against the two worst teams in C-USA while the other victory came against the worst team in the Sun Belt Conference. The Roadrunners were actually outgained in two of those victories and on the season, they are getting outgained by an average of 115.4 ypg. Here, we play on favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after two or more consecutive straight up losses, with a winning percentage between .400 and .499 on the season. This situation is 24-2 ATS (92.3 percent) over the last 10 seasons with the average margin of victory being 26 ppg. 10* (394) Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-F  |  Oct 20, 2018
Utah State vs Wyoming
Wyoming
+15½ -110 at Bovada
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the WYOMING COWBOYS for our Underdog Game of the Year. Wyoming has lost three straight games and five of its last six and it is getting closer to missing out on a bowl game. The recent schedule has been tough as the Cowboys faced Boise St. and lost by 20 points then had to travel to Hawaii where they played a competitive game but fell short and had to turn around to travel to Fresno St. last week where they were overmatched. They are back home and in a great contrarian situation. Utah St. lost its season opener at Michigan St. by just seven points and it has rolled over its last five opponents. The Aggies have covered all six games this season which is inflating this line and while they defeated BYU in their last road game by 25 points, they outgained the Cougars by just 27 yards as they took advantage of three turnovers. Wyoming falls into a great contrarian situation where we play on team after five or more consecutive losses against the spread going up against an opponent after one or more consecutive wins against the spread. This situation is 35-10 ATS (77.8 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (360) Wyoming Cowboys

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NHL  |  Oct 21, 2018
Lightning vs Blackhawks
Lightning
-140 at Bovada
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Sunday Breakaway. Tampa Bay hit the road for the first time this season last night and built a 3-1 over Minnesota but allowed three straight goals before tying the game late in the third period. The Lightning eventually lost in overtime which snapped a three-game winning streak but we expect a rebound tonight. Chicago is off to a 4-1-2 start and is tied for fifth place in the Western Conference in what has been a dramatic fall for the 2015 Stanley Cup Champions. The Blackhawks went from 109 points in 2016-17 where they were swept by Nashville in the first round of the playoffs to 76 points last season, the third fewest points in the league. They have been fortunate as three of their wins have come in overtime so the record is a bit deceiving but what is not deceiving is their lack of power play ability as they are just 2-23 on the man advantage, good for third worst in the NHL. That is a real problem here as Tampa is the only team in the league to not allow a power play goal, stopping all 25 opportunities. The Blackhawks are 1-12 in their last 13 games against teams with a winning percentage above .600 while the Lightning are 21-8 in their last 29 road games against teams with a home winning percentage of less than .400. 10* (53) Tampa Bay Lightning

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 21, 2018
Patriots vs Bears
Bears
+3 -110 at Bovada
Lost
$110.0
Play Type: Premium

This is a play on the CHICAGO BEARS for our NFL Sunday Ultimate Underdog. After taking the league by storm through the first six weeks, the Bears put up a dud against Miami last week as they led 21-10 but the defense fell apart late and they eventually lost in overtime. While there is speculation that the defense may not be as good as advertised, it actually is and Chicago wilted in the 90 degree Miami heat so not much can be done about that. The Bears has won three straight prior to that and since it came against weak opposition, not many will be giving them a chance here. New England is coming off a massive win over Kansas City last Sunday night, which was its third straight win and all of those came at home where they are 4-0. Conversely, they are 0-2 on the road and have been outgained by 383 yards in those games. The Patriots offense is clicking for sure but the three defenses they faced at home were nothing special and the Bears still possess a top ten defense despite the second half debacle last week. Here, we play on underdogs or pickems coming off an upset loss as a road favorite, with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. this situation is 36-12 ATS (75 percent) since 1983. 9* (454) Chicago Bears

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 21, 2018
Bills vs Colts
Colts
-7 -120 at BMaker
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

This is a play on the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS for our NFL Sunday Supreme Annihilator. While the Colts may be 1-5 on the season, they are arguably the best team in the league with a losing record. They have lost four straight and while the defeat to the Eagles was not as good as the final score indicates, they have outgained each of the last three opponents and overall, they have won the yardage battle in four of their five losses. Obviously winning is the main focal point but Indianapolis is close and it welcomes the perfect opponent to get back on track and this is the start of a stretch of 10 straight games to end the season that are all winnable as none are against teams with a solid shot to make the playoffs. Only two games back, this division is sill wide open. Buffalo had a chance to pull off another upset but quarterback Josh Allen got hurt against Houston and the rest is history. The Bills are averaging just 12.7 ppg this season, and will now turn to veteran quarterback Derek Anderson, who will be replacing Allen and with just a few days with the players and playbook, this could easily get ugly. Buffalo is getting outgained by 89.2 ypg which is not horrible for such a bad offense but the defense has overachieved and Andrew Luck can pick them apart. 9* (462) Indianapolis Colts

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 21, 2018
Cowboys vs Redskins
Redskins
PK -109 at GTBets
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the WASHINGTON REDSKINS for our NFL Sunday Enforcer. If there was any question that the Dallas offense was struggling, last week should have answered that. Or at least many will think that but that is not the case as one week does not make a cure but that is what the public saw and now the line reflects that. The Cowboys improved to 3-3 with the victory but the venue has played a big part as they are 3-0 at home and 0-3 on the road. Dallas is 7-23 ATS in its last 30 road games after allowing nine points or less last game. Washington is coming off an impressive win over Carolina although it was outgained and took advantage of three Panthers turnovers. The defense is no joke as the Redskins are ranked No. 5 overall and No. 8 in scoring defense and this is with that New Orleans debacle from a couple weeks ago. They should be out for some payback as Dallas has won the last four meetings in this series that has always been notoriously close. Going back, the Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog, with a winning percentage of between .450 and .550 on the season. This situation is 32-10 ATS (76.2 percent) since 1983. 10* (472) Washington Redskins

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 21, 2018
Saints vs Ravens
Ravens
-2½ -120 at Bovada
Lost
$120.0
Play Type: Top Premium

This is a play on the BALTIMORE RAVENS for our NFL Game of the Week. The Saints come in red hot having won four straight games following a season opening loss against Tampa Bay but they caught a momentum killer with a bye last week. The New Orleans offense is firing on all cylinders right now but it has yet to face a defense this strong, especially on the road where it has faced scoring defenses ranked No. 31 and No. 24. New Orleans is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 road games after scoring 25 points or more in three straight games. The Ravens are coming off a 21-0 shutout over Tennessee in sloppy conditions but even with that, this is a very strong defense. Baltimore is ranked No. in the NFL in both total defense and scoring defense as it has held all but one opponent to 14 or fewer points. The offense is not too shabby either as the Ravens are No. 9 in total offense and No. 12 in scoring offense and they face off against a Saints defense that is in the bottom third in both categories. The Ravens are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning record. Here, we play against road underdogs or pickems after three or more consecutive wins against the spread, in the first half of the season. This situation is 30-8 ATS (78.9 percent) over the last 10 seasons. 10* (470) Baltimore Ravens

SERVICE BIO

Matt Fargo is becoming recognized as one of the best and most consistent handicappers in the world. He has been handicapping professionally since his college days and his hard work and dedication have paid off considerably. In his 14 years of handicapping, Fargo has had winning seasons 11 times and has not had only one losing season in the past 10 campaigns. He brings with him numerous high ranking finishes in all sports with 23 Top Tens in the past five years alone including four #1's.

Matt has appeared on numerous radio shows over the last few years giving out sought after information, free plays and spot-on analysis that the bettor needs. He is commonly referred to as "Mr. Analysis" as his game day reports are considered to be some of the finest and most thorough available anywhere. If you want reasoning for a play, Matt gives it to you.

Rating Scale

Play Rating will be displayed in each title and range anywhere from 5* to 10* for Premium Plays and 3* for Free Plays.

Enforcer – this is the Signature Play for Matt and is usually backed with a 10* Rating unless otherwise noted.

Supreme Annihilator – this is typically a favorite or a pickem that Matt feels has the opportunity to destroy the line.

Dark Horse Dandy – this is an underdog that is being faded for the wrong reasons and usually has a chance to win a game outright.

Star Attraction – this is a game that can be seen on national television providing great watch and win opportunities.

Total Dominator – while rare, these are the best over/under releases and occur more in football and baseball than any other sports.