Jack Jones Jack Jones
Jack Jones has CRUSHED the books over the past 14 months! He is riding a 707-543 Run L430 Days that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $114,920! Get a 365-Day Pass for $1499.95!
15* Stanford/UNC ESPN 2 No-Brainer! (WATCH & WIN)

No. 1 Ranked Basketball Capper All-Time! Check the long-term results and you'll see that Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 1,951-1,664 Hoops Run since 2012 that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in a WHOPPING $168,860! You can look, but you won't find better!

FOUR Top-10 College Basketball Finishes L7 Years! Jack Jones finished ranked as the #2 CBB Capper in 2011-12, #4 in 2012-13, #2 in 2013-14 and #9 in 2015-16! He has put together a 850-738 CBB Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $57,930!

Get ready to WATCH & WIN on the NCAA hardwood tonight with Jack's 15* Stanford/UNC ESPN 2 No-Brainer for just $34.95! He has the winning side in this game NAILED tonight behind a PERFECT 7-0 System in his analysis!

GUARANTEED or the next day of college hoops is ON JACK!

*This package includes 1 NCAA-B Spread pick

Jack's Monday 5-Play Power Pack! (HOT 111-71 Run L51 Days)

Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 14-plus months! He is riding a 707-543 Run L430 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $114,920! He's on a HOT 111-71 Run L51 Days on all premium plays as well!

Jack has THREE TOP-9 NFL Finishes (#2 in 2009-10, #5 in 2017-18, #9 in 2008-09) to his credit! He went 59-39 (60.2%) last season on the pro gridiron and is riding a 113-75 NFL Run over his last 188 releases! He is also on a 40-20 NFL Totals Run along with a 31-17 MNF Run! He is coming off a 10-1-1 Weekend on the gridiron!

No. 1 Ranked Basketball Capper All-Time! Check the long-term results and you'll see that Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 1,951-1,664 Hoops Run since 2012 that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in a WHOPPING $168,860! You can look, but you won't find better!

This money train stays right on track with Jack's Monday 5-Play Power Pack for $59.95! Leading the charge is his 20* Giants/49ers MNF TOTAL OF THE MONTH in pro football! You'll also receive 1 CBB & 3 NBA winners on the hardwood tonight upon purchase!

Sign up and bet with confidence knowing you are GUARANTEED PROFITS or Tuesday's entire card is ON JACK!

*This package includes 5 Picks (1 NCAA-B Spread, 3 NBA Spread & 1 NFL Total)

15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR! (12-1 & 9-0 Systems)

Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 14-plus months! He is riding a 707-543 Run L430 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $114,920! He's on a HOT 111-71 Run L51 Days on all premium plays as well!

No. 1 Ranked NBA Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has put together a 1,524-1,302 NBA Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $126,300! He is a 4-Time Top 10 NBA Capper (#1 2012-13, #3 2017-18, #9 2008-09, #10 2015-16) as well!

Jack releases his 15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR for just $34.95 Monday! Check out the SWEET 12-1 & 9-0 Systems in his analysis that will have you sprinting to the pay window to place your wagers!

GUARANTEED or Tuesday NBA is ON JACK!

*This package includes 1 NBA Spread pick

Jack's Monday NBA 3-Pack! (#1 NBA All-Time)

Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 14-plus months! He is riding a 707-543 Run L430 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $114,920! He's on a HOT 111-71 Run L51 Days on all premium plays as well!

No. 1 Ranked NBA Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has put together a 1,524-1,302 NBA Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $126,300! He is a 4-Time Top 10 NBA Capper (#1 2012-13, #3 2017-18, #9 2008-09, #10 2015-16) as well!

Give your man the beating he deserves on the pro hardwood tonight with Jack's Monday NBA 3-Pack for $49.95! Leading the charge is his 20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK! You'll also receive two 15* plays upon purchase tonight!

You are GUARANTEED PROFITS or Tuesday NBA is ON JACK!

*This package includes 3 NBA Spread picks

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK! (#1 NBA All-Time)

Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 14-plus months! He is riding a 707-543 Run L430 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $114,920! He's on a HOT 111-71 Run L51 Days on all premium plays as well!

No. 1 Ranked NBA Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has put together a 1,524-1,302 NBA Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $126,300! He is a 4-Time Top 10 NBA Capper (#1 2012-13, #3 2017-18, #9 2008-09, #10 2015-16) as well!

If you want Jack's biggest release on the pro hardwood tonight, then sign up here for his 20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK for just $39.95! This bad boy is backed by a PERFECT 100% System in his analysis that simply cannot miss tonight!

GUARANTEED or Tuesday NBA is ON JACK!

*This package includes 1 NBA Spread pick

15* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout! (B-L-O-W-O-U-T)

Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 14-plus months! He is riding a 707-543 Run L430 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $114,920! He's on a HOT 111-71 Run L51 Days on all premium plays as well!

No. 1 Ranked NBA Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has put together a 1,524-1,302 NBA Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $126,300! He is a 4-Time Top 10 NBA Capper (#1 2012-13, #3 2017-18, #9 2008-09, #10 2015-16) as well!

If you want the biggest B-L-O-W-O-U-T on the pro hardwood tonight, then sign up here for his 15* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout for just $34.95! You'll be counting your chips by the end of the 3rd quarter in this one behind a PROVEN 36-11 System in his analysis!

GUARANTEED or Tuesday NBA is ON JACK!

*This package includes 1 NBA Spread pick

20* Giants/49ers MNF TOTAL OF THE MONTH! (40-20 NFL Totals Run)

No. 4 Ranked Football Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 952-783 Football Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $92,280! That includes a 276-186 Run on his last 462 football plays! He is coming off a 10-1-1 Weekend on the gridiron!

Jack has THREE TOP-9 NFL Finishes (#2 in 2009-10, #5 in 2017-18, #9 in 2008-09) to his credit! He went 59-39 (60.2%) last season on the pro gridiron and is riding a 113-75 NFL Run over his last 188 releases! He is also on a 40-20 NFL Totals Run along with a 31-17 MNF Run!

Jack caps off Week 10 with one final winner in the form of his 20* Giants/49ers MNF TOTAL OF THE MONTH for just $39.95! This is the easiest over/under winner on the MNF stage in the month of November behind TWO 100% Totals Systems in his analysis that simply cannot miss!

GUARANTEED or Thursday NFL is ON JACK!

*This package includes 1 NFL Total pick

ALL SPORTS SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 1-Day All Sports Pass!

With this package you will receive EVERY SINGLE PLAY released by Jack Jones in all sports for one day. You are GUARANTEED PROFITS or the next of of premium picks in all sports is ON JACK!

*This subscription includes 5 Picks (1 NCAA-B, 3 NBA & 1 NFL)

Jack Jones 3-Day All Sports Pass!

This is one of the most popular packages sold on Friday and Saturday during the football season. You get EVERY single play I release in EVERY sport for three consecutive days with nothing more to buy! You are GUARANTEED PROFITS or the next 3 days of premium picks in all sports is ON JACK!

*This subscription includes 5 Picks (1 NCAA-B, 3 NBA & 1 NFL)

Jack Jones 7-Day All Sports Pass!

Looking for a little more value? Pick up Jack's weekly package and get SEVEN DAYS for the PRICE OF THREE! It's easy to see why this is one of the most popular choices on the site as you'll get EVERY SINGLE PLAY Jack releases for the entire week. You are GUARANTEED PROFITS or the next 7 days of premium picks in all sports is ON JACK!

*This subscription includes 9 Picks (4 NFL, 1 NCAA-F, 1 NCAA-B & 3 NBA)

Jack Jones 30-Day All Sports Pass! ($1,400.00 DISCOUNT)

Want to SAVE A TON of money? Then check out Jack's one month package. You'll get 30 days of winners in all sports while SAVING $1,400.00 off the cost of 30 daily packages ($60.00 times 30 = $1800). Of course, Jack GUARANTEES PROFITS or the next 30 days of premium picks in all sports is ON JACK!

*This subscription includes 9 Picks (4 NFL, 1 NCAA-F, 1 NCAA-B & 3 NBA)

Jack Jones 90-Day All Sports Pass!

This package gets you three months (90 Days) of all picks in all sports! You are GUARANTEED PROFITS or the next 90 days of premium picks in all sports is ON JACK!

*This subscription includes 9 Picks (4 NFL, 1 NCAA-F, 1 NCAA-B & 3 NBA)

Jack Jones 180-Day All Sports Pass!

This package gets you every play in every sport for a full 6 months! The ultimate package for maximum action and the biggest winners in the industry! You are GUARANTEED PROFITS or the next 180 days of premium picks in all sports is ON JACK!

*This subscription includes 9 Picks (4 NFL, 1 NCAA-F, 1 NCAA-B & 3 NBA)

Jack Jones 365-Day All Sports Pass! (ONLY $4.11/Day)

If you are looking for AS CLOSE TO A SURE THING AS YOU'LL FIND in sports handicapping then grab a year of picks from Jack Jones. You'll learn how the pros make a living through sports betting with EVERY PLAY Jack releases over the next 365 days. Plus, you pay ONLY $4.11/DAY to bet alongside the best handicapper in the business! Jack is so sure he'll profit that he GUARANTEES it or the next 365 days of premium picks in all sports is ON JACK!

*This subscription includes 9 Picks (4 NFL, 1 NCAA-F, 1 NCAA-B & 3 NBA)

NCAA-F SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 2018-19 CFB Season Pass! (#1 CFB All-Time)

No. 4 Ranked Football Capper All-Time! Jack has put together a MASSIVE 941-779 Football Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $85,880! That includes a 265-182 Run on his last 447 football plays!

Jack has delivered FOUR TOP-9 College Football Finishes L6 Years (#3 in 2012-13, #4 in 2014-15, #8 in 2016-17, #9 in 2017-18) to really put a beating on the books on the NCAA gridiron! 

No. 1 Ranked CFB Capper All-Time! Jack is riding a 527-409 CFB Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $81,070!

Get Jack's 2018-19 CFB Season Pass for $349.95 and bet with the most consistent college football capper over the past six seasons! You'll crush your book on the NCAA gridiron through the four-team playoff!

*This subscription includes 1 NCAA-F pick

NCAA-B SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 2018-19 College Hoops Season Pass! (4 Top-10 CBB L7 Years)

No. 1 Ranked Basketball Capper All-Time! Check the long-term results and you'll see that Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 1,951-1,664 Hoops Run since 2012 that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in a WHOPPING $168,860! You can look, but you won't find better!

No. 4 Ranked Basketball Capper in 2017-18! Jack validated his long-term success on the hardwood with another great season last year! He now has FIVE Top-5 Basketball Finishes L7 Years! (#1 2012-13, #3 2013-14, #4 2017-18, #4 2011-12, #5 2015-16)

FOUR Top-10 College Basketball Finishes L7 Years! Jack Jones finished ranked as the #2 CBB Capper in 2011-12, #4 in 2012-13, #2 in 2013-14 and #9 in 2015-16! He has put together a 850-738 CBB Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $57,930!

Crush your book all year long on the NCAA hardwood by signing up for Jack's 2018-19 College Hoops Season Pass for $599.95! This package will earn you all of his CBB premium plays from today through the NCAA Tournament in March/April!

*This subscription includes 1 NCAA-B pick

NBA SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 2018-19 NBA Season Pass! (#1 NBA All-Time)

No. 1 Ranked Basketball Capper All-Time! Check the long-term results and you'll see that Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 1,951-1,664 Hoops Run since 2012 that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in a WHOPPING $168,860! You can look, but you won't find better!

No. 4 Ranked Basketball Capper in 2017-18! Jack validated his long-term success on the hardwood with another great season last year! He now has FIVE Top-5 Basketball Finishes L7 Years! (#1 2012-13, #3 2013-14, #4 2017-18, #4 2011-12, #5 2015-16)

No. 1 Ranked NBA Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has put together a 1,524-1,302 NBA Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $126,300! He is a 4-Time Top 10 NBA Capper (#1 2012-13, #3 2017-18, #9 2008-09, #10 2015-16) as well!

No. 3 Ranked NBA Capper in 2017-18! Jack also validated his long-term success on the pro hardwood with a great season last year! Crush your book once again this season by signing up for Jack's 2018-19 NBA Season Pass for $599.95! You'll receive every NBA premium play Jack releases from today through the 2019 NBA Finals in June!

*This subscription includes 3 NBA picks

BASKETBALL [NBA+NCAAB] SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 2018-19 NBA & CBB Season Pass COMBO! (#1 BBall All-Time)

No. 1 Ranked Basketball Capper All-Time! Check the long-term results and you'll see that Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 1,951-1,664 Hoops Run since 2012 that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in a WHOPPING $168,860! You can look, but you won't find better!

No. 4 Ranked Basketball Capper in 2017-18! Jack validated his long-term success on the hardwood with another great season last year! He now has FIVE Top-5 Basketball Finishes L7 Years! (#1 2012-13, #3 2013-14, #4 2017-18, #4 2011-12, #5 2015-16)

No. 1 Ranked NBA Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has put together a 1,524-1,302 NBA Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $126,300! He is a 4-Time Top 10 NBA Capper (#1 2012-13, #3 2017-18, #9 2008-09, #10 2015-16) as well!

FOUR Top-10 College Basketball Finishes L7 Years! Jack Jones finished ranked as the #2 CBB Capper in 2011-12, #4 in 2012-13, #2 in 2013-14 and #9 in 2015-16! He has put together a 850-738 CBB Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $57,930!

Sign up for Jack's 2017-18 NBA & CBB Season Pass COMBO for $899.95 and win all season long on the hardwood! It would cost you roughly $1200 to buy his CBB ($600) & NBA ($600) season passes separately, so YOU SAVE $300.00 with this combo package!

You'll receive every basketball premium play Jack releases from today through the 2018 NBA Finals in June!

*This subscription includes 4 Picks (1 NCAA-B, 3 NBA)

FOOTBALL [NFL+NCAAF] SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 2018-19 NFL & CFB Season Pass COMBO! (SAVE $200)

No. 4 Ranked Football Capper All-Time! Jack has put together a MASSIVE 941-779 Football Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $85,880! That includes a 265-182 Run on his last 447 football plays!

Jack has delivered FOUR TOP-9 College Football Finishes L6 Years (#3 in 2012-13, #4 in 2014-15, #8 in 2016-17, #9 in 2017-18) to really put a beating on the books on the NCAA gridiron!

No. 1 Ranked CFB Capper All-Time! Jack is riding a 527-409 CFB Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $81,070!

Jack has THREE TOP-9 NFL Finishes (#2 in 2009-10, #5 in 2017-18, #9 in 2008-09) to his credit! He went 59-39 (60.2%) last season on the pro gridiron and is riding a 110-74 NFL Run over his last 184 releases!

Come get your hands on his 2018-19 NFL & CFB Season Pass COMBO for $499.95! It would COST YOU $700 to buy his NFL ($350) and CFB ($350) season passes separately, so YOU SAVE $200.00 with this combo pass!

This package will earn you all of his NFL & CFB picks THROUGH SUPER BOWL 53!

*This subscription includes 5 Picks (4 NFL, 1 NCAA-F)

NFL SUBSCRIPTIONS
Jack Jones 2018-19 NFL Season Pass! (Top-5 NFL Last Season)

No. 4 Ranked Football Capper All-Time! Jack has put together a MASSIVE 941-779 Football Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $85,880! That includes a 265-182 Run on his last 447 football plays!

Jack has THREE TOP-9 NFL Finishes (#2 in 2009-10, #5 in 2017-18, #9 in 2008-09) to his credit! He went 59-39 (60.2%) last season on the pro gridiron and is riding a 110-74 NFL Run over his last 184 releases!

Come get your hands on his 2018-19 NFL Season Pass for $349.95! Jack is ready to deliver another huge NFL season for his premium clients!

This package will earn you all of his NFL picks THROUGH SUPER BOWL 53!

*This subscription includes 4 NFL picks

FREE PICKS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 12, 2018
Mavs vs. Bulls
Mavs
-1 -105
  at  5DIMES
in 2h

Jack’s Free Pick Monday: Dallas Mavericks -1 

The Dallas Mavericks are certainly one of the most improved teams in the NBA this season.  They are only getting outscored by 3.0 points per game on the season and they have been competitive against many of the league’s top teams.  They should handle their business here in basically a pick ‘em roll against the Bulls. 

The Bulls are one of the worst teams in the NBA this year.  They are off to a 4-9 start and getting outscored by 6.6 points per game on the season.  Injuries have certainly not helped the Bulls with Markkanen, Valentine, Dunn and Portis all out for an extended period of time.  Zach LaVine is having to shoulder a big load right now. 

I think the Mavs will be extra motivated to get their first road win here.  They came close in narrow losses to Toronto, San Antonio and the Lakers, covering the spread against each of those three teams, but coming up just short of an outright win.  This is their best opportunity to get that road win, and I expect them to take advantage. 

The Bulls are just 1-5 ATS in their last six home games vs. a team with a losing road record.  Chicago is 1-8 ATS in its last nine Monday games.  The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last five trips to Chicago.  Bet the Mavericks Monday.

Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 14-plus months! He is riding a 707-543 Run L430 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $114,920! He's on a HOT 111-71 Run L51 Days on all premium plays as well!

Jack has THREE TOP-9 NFL Finishes (#2 in 2009-10, #5 in 2017-18, #9 in 2008-09) to his credit! He went 59-39 (60.2%) last season on the pro gridiron and is riding a 113-75 NFL Run over his last 188 releases! He is also on a 40-20 NFL Totals Run along with a 31-17 MNF Run! He is coming off a 10-1-1 Weekend on the gridiron!

No. 1 Ranked Basketball Capper All-Time! Check the long-term results and you'll see that Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 1,951-1,664 Hoops Run since 2012 that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in a WHOPPING $168,860! You can look, but you won't find better!

This money train stays right on track with Jack's Monday 5-Play Power Pack for $59.95! Leading the charge is his 20* Giants/49ers MNF TOTAL OF THE MONTH in pro football! You'll also receive 1 CBB & 3 NBA winners on the hardwood tonight upon purchase!

Sign up and bet with confidence knowing you are GUARANTEED PROFITS or Tuesday's entire card is ON JACK!

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  Nov 11, 2018
Magic vs Knicks
Knicks
-1½ -107 at 5Dimes
Lost
$107.0
Play Type: Premium

15* NBA Sunday No-Doubt Rout on New York Knicks -1.5 

The Knicks are better than their 4-9 record, while the Magic are worse than their 5-7 record thus far.  I think we are getting value on the Knicks here as only 1.5-point home favorites over the Magic because of the perception that the Magic or better.  But that’s not the case. 

Let’s look at point differential.  The Magic are getting outscored by 7.1 points per game this season, while the Knicks are only getting outscored by 3.6 points per game.  And the Magic have played a home-heavy schedule with eight of their first 12 games at home.  The Knicks have played seven of their 13 on the highway. 

The Magic are 3-13 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog over the last three seasons.  The Knicks are 18-8 ATS in home games in the first half of the season over the last two seasons.  The Magic are 18-43-1 ATS in their last 61 games following a win.  Bet the Knicks Sunday. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 11, 2018
Jaguars vs Colts
Jaguars
+3 +105 at 5Dimes
Tie
Play Type: Free

Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Jacksonville Jaguars +3 

This is certainly a ‘buy low’ opportunity on the Jacksonville Jaguars today.  Earlier in the season there’s no way they would have been 3-point road underdogs to the Indianapolis Colts.  But the way things have been going lately, the Jaguars are undervalued while the Colts are overvalued. 

The Jaguars have lost four straight coming in.  A big reason for their struggles is because they haven’t found a running game without Leonard Fournette.  They are 2-0 in games he plays this season, and 1-5 in the rest.  Well, Fournette returns this week.  He brings the offensive identity that the Jaguars want to be, which is a power running team setting up play action for Blake Bortles.  They aren’t a good team when Bortles has to throw 40 times a game.  He won’t have to this week. 

Conversely, the Colts come in on a two-game winning streak with blowout wins over the Bills and Raiders.  Their other win this season came against the Redskins, who aren’t as good as their record.  I’m still not sold that this is a very good team, and they certainly aren’t as good as the Jaguars.  Jacksonville won the two meetings with Indy last year by a combined 57-10 score. 

The Jaguars still have one of the best defenses in the NFL.  They rank 2nd in total defense, giving up just 313.2 yards per game this season.  They are also 2nd in yards per play (5.0) allowed.  The Colts are 23rd in total defense at 371.4 yards per game and 25th in scoring defense at 26.6 points per game.  Andrew Luck has been feasting on some bad defenses of late.  This is the best defense he’s seen all season. 

The Colts are 1-8 ATS after gaining 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last three seasons.  Plays on any team (Jacksonville) - after losing by 42 or more points total ATS in their last five games against an opponent that went over the total by 28 or more points in their last three games are 36-9 (80%) ATS over the last 10 seasons.  This might be the last time the Jaguars are underdogs all season, so take advantage this week.  Bet the Jaguars Sunday.

No. 4 Ranked Football Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has put together a MASSIVE 950-782 Football Run long-term that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $91,580! That includes a 274-185 Run on his last 459 football plays! He is coming off an 8-0-1 Saturday in college football!

Jack has THREE TOP-9 NFL Finishes (#2 in 2009-10, #5 in 2017-18, #9 in 2008-09) to his credit! He went 59-39 (60.2%) last season on the pro gridiron and is riding a 111-74 NFL Run over his last 185 releases! Jack is 10-1 on 25* GOTY Plays in football this season!

This pro football money train stays right on track with Jack's Sunday NFL 3-Play Power Pack for $59.95! Leading the charge is his ONE & ONLY 25* NFC North GAME OF THE YEAR! Knowing you get this top play alone makes this package worth the price of admission! But you'll also receive his 20* Seahawks/Rams NFC Late-Afternoon ANNIHILATOR and his 15* Cowboys/Eagles NBC Sunday Night BAILOUT upon purchase!

Sign up and bet with confidence knowing you are GUARANTEED PROFITS or Monday NFL is ON JACK!

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 11, 2018
Cowboys vs Eagles
Cowboys
+7 -110 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

15* Cowboys/Eagles NBC Sunday Night BAILOUT on Dallas +7 

This is a great ‘buy low’ opportunity on the Dallas Cowboys.  Everyone saw them lose to the Tennessee Titans on Monday Night Football last week, and now the betting public wants nothing to do with them.  But it was their own mistakes that cost them in that game, and they’re easily fixable. 

For starters, the Cowboys rushed for over 50 yards in the first quarter, but then were held to just 72 yards for the entire game.  That’s because they quit trying to run the ball.  They were up 7-0 and instead of running it, Dak Prescott threw an interception in the end zone.  It totally changed the complexion of the game.  They managed to run the ball just 19 times the whole game.  I think they’ll make the proper adjustments and force feed Zeke Elliott, which is when they are at their best offensively. 

I know the Eagles are off a bye week, but I think that’s getting factored into the line too much.  Most would say the Cowboys are on a short week, which they are, but it’s not a true short week.  The Cowboys had their bye prior to the Titans game.  So this will still be just their 2nd game in 21 days.  They should be plenty fresh for this game. 

The Cowboys will also be playing with a chip on their shoulder to redeem themselves from that poor Monday night performance.  And they realize this is a must-win game, so they will be laying it all on the line.  They can’t afford to fall further behind the Eagles or the Redskins in the NFC East if they want a realistic shot of winning the division.  A win and they’re right back in the hunt.  I have no doubt they’ll show up with a big effort Sunday night. 

It’s certainly worth noting that Dallas hasn’t been more than a 3-point underdog all season to anyone.  So we’re getting value here on them as 7-point dogs.  And they have seemed to thrive in the role of the underdog in recent seasons, and struggle in the favorite role.  Dallas is 35-20 ATS in its last 55 games off a loss by 14 points or more. 

And it’s not like the Eagles are blowing anyone out this season.  They are clearly in the midst of a Super Bowl hangover at 4-4 on the season.  Only one of their four wins came by more than 6 points, and that was against the hapless Giants.  It’s worth noting the Giants actually outgained them in that contest, and the Eagles have been outgained in five of their eight games this season.  In fact, seven of the eight Eagles games have been decided by 6 points or fewer this season. 

Plays on road underdogs or PK (Dallas) - in a game involving two average teams with a +/- 3 PPG differential, after scoring 14 points or less last game are 99-51 (66%) ATS since 1983.  The Cowboys are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games on grass.  Grass fields fit perfectly into what they want to do, which is run the football.  The Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last six games on grass.  The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last six trips to Philadelphia.  The road team is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings.  Roll with the Cowboys Sunday night. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 11, 2018
Seahawks vs Rams
Seahawks
+10 -115 at sportsbook
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

20* Seahawks/Rams NFC Late-Afternoon ANNIHILATOR on Seattle +10 

Fading the Los Angeles Rams has paid off big-time for myself and my clients of late.  And I’m not going to stop now that they are 10-point home favorites here against the Seattle Seahawks.  This is once again too many points as the Rams continue to be overvalued due to their 8-1 record, previously 8-0 before they finally lost to the Saints last week, and I had the Saints as my 25* NFC GOTY. 

The Rams are now just 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.  They have won just one game by more than 7 points during this stretch, and that was against the 49ers.  And I certainly question the Rams’ motivation coming into this game.  They are in a ‘hangover’ spot from their loss to the Rams, and a ‘look-ahead’ spot because they play the Chiefs next week.  That makes this a sandwich game from them, and I’m not expecting their best effort. 

The Seahawks will be playing with revenge in mind after losing a 31-33 heartbreaker at home to the Rams in Seattle in the first meeting.  The Seahawks actually led that game by 7 points in the fourth quarter before getting outscored 9-0 in the final period to lose by two.  At 4-4 on the season, this feels like a make-or-break game for the Seahawks as well if they want any shot of making the playoffs. 

All four of Seattle’s losses this season came by 8 points or fewer, so they’ve been competitive in every game and haven’t lost yet by double-digits.  And this is the biggest underdog role of Russell Wilson’s career.  He’s never been a double-digit dog.  And Wilson is 3-0 ATS when listed as a dog of 7.5 points or more in his career. 

The Rams have some defensive problems right now.  They have allowed over 27 points per game int heir last six games coming in.  They haven’t been the same since losing Aqib Talib to injury, and their pass defense has suffered.  The Seahawks also rushed for 190 yards on the Rams in their first meeting.  The Rams are 24th in 3rd down defense.  The Seahawks are 7th in 3rd down defense.  The Seahawks are also 3rd in turnover differential this season, so they don’t beat themselves. 

I also think the Rams could be getting tired, which is another big reason I’ve faded them so frequently of late.  They are one of the few teams who have yet to have their bye week.  They don’t get their bye until Week 12 after they play the Chiefs, and by then they will certainly need it.  I also think the Rams have very little home-field advantage, as the Packers actually seemed like they were the home team when they played the Rams a few weeks ago. 

Pete Carroll is 9-1 ATS in road games vs. excellent passing teams who average 7.5 or more yards per attempt as the coach of Seattle.  The Seahawks are 12-4-2 ATS in their last 18 games following a loss.  The Rams are once again getting way too much respect from the books this week, and it will show up on the scoreboard as Seattle has a shot to win this game outright.  Bet the Seahawks Sunday. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 11, 2018
Lions vs Bears
Lions
+7 -130 at 5Dimes
Lost
$130.0
Play Type: Top Premium

25* NFC North GAME OF THE YEAR on Detroit Lions +7 

This is the perfect opportunity to ‘sell high’ on the Chicago Bears and ‘buy low’ on the Detroit Lions.  This line is maxed out with Chicago -7 as they should never be a 7-point favorite over the Lions.  But because the public has seen the Bears succeed lately and the Lions fail, oddsmakers have to set this line higher than it should be knowing the public will be quick to back the Bears. 

Chicago is coming off back-to-back wins and covers with a 24-10 home victory over the Jets, and a 41-9 road victory at the Bills.  Those are two of the worst teams in the NFL.  The Jets were banged up, especially at receiver with no weapons.  And the Bills gave the game away with four turnovers. 

There was no more misleading final score than Chicago 41-9 victory over the Bills last week.  Indeed, the Bears only managed 190 total yards in that game and were actually outgained by 74 yards by the Bills.  You read that right, the Bears had less than 200 total yards yet still scored 41 points.  I can’t remember the last time that happened.  So we’re getting extra value here due to that misleading score. 

Conversely, Detroit is coming off two straight poor performances.  They lost 14-28 at home to the Seahawks and 9-24 on the road to the Vikings.  Well, they had every chance to score in the red zone but committed 3 turnovers against Seattle.  And that was a Seahawks team coming off a bye, so it was a favorable spot for them.  And in the 9-24 loss to the Vikings the Lions played well defensively, giving up just 283 total yards.  Both of those games were closer than the final scores, and both were against two of the better teams in the NFC, not the weak competition Chicago has feasted on. 

Chicago’s five wins this season have come against the Seahawks, Cardinals, Bucs, Jets and Bills.  Those five teams are a combined 14-27 this season, and non has a winning record.  The Lions have beaten the Patriots and Packers, so they’ve proven they can play with anyone.  And I think we get a big effort from them here knowing their season is on the line.  A win and the Lions would pull within one game of first place in the NFC North.  A loss and they would be facing an insurmountable deficit, three games behind the Bears.  Detroit will be the more motivated team, hands down. 

Matthew Stafford clearly loves facing the Bears, as evidenced by Detroit’s domination in this series in recent years.  Indeed, the Lions are 9-1 SU in the last 10 meetings.  Their only loss during this stretch came by a final of 14-17 at Soldier Field.  If the Bears win this game, it won’t be by more than 7 points.  There is a ton of value on the Lions this week. 

Plays against home teams (Chicago) who force 2.5 or more turnovers per game against a team that forces 1.25 or fewer turnovers per game, after a game where they forced 4 or more turnovers are 25-5 (83.3%) ATS since 1983.  Their turnover luck has been great this season, and they can’t keep forcing turnovers at this rate.  And this just goes to show you how there’s value in fading a team coming off a 4-turnover game like the Bears had against the Bills last week. 

The Lions are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games after tailing their last two games by 10-plus points at halftime.  Detroit is 22-7 ATS in its last 29 road games off a loss by 14 points or more.  The Bears are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games following two consecutive covers as a favorite.  Take the Lions Sunday. 

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